KsQh | River XRAI | Turning SDV into bluff
Posted by Savior
Posted by
Savior
posted in
Low Stakes
KsQh | River XRAI | Turning SDV into bluff
BN: $50.76
SB: $50
BB: $52.90 (Hero)
UTG: $45.32
HJ: $17.77
CO: $51.25
SB: $50
BB: $52.90 (Hero)
UTG: $45.32
HJ: $17.77
CO: $51.25
Villain is playing many tables, prob reg.
45/34/5 11k hands; profit ~0
PFR CO 60; Ft3B 47; 4B 4
CBets: 91, 55, 46
CB/F: 68, 48
WTS 25; WWSF 48; W$SD 46
1 note: [PFR] QJo | 79Ts CB 75%/3B/CAI
45/34/5 11k hands; profit ~0
PFR CO 60; Ft3B 47; 4B 4
CBets: 91, 55, 46
CB/F: 68, 48
WTS 25; WWSF 48; W$SD 46
1 note: [PFR] QJo | 79Ts CB 75%/3B/CAI
Preflop
($0.75)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
K
Q
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO raises to $1.50, BN folds, SB folds, Hero calls $1
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO raises to $1.50, BN folds, SB folds, Hero calls $1
It could be value 3B probably.
Flop
($3.25)
J
8
K
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
CO bets $2.43,
Hero calls $2.43
Default call vs. wide range and agressive opponent?
Turn
($8.11)
2
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
CO bets $6.08,
Hero calls $6.08
River
($20.27)
A
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
CO bets $15.70,
Hero raises to $42.89
There is a problem...
I was trying to make him fold Ahxh, K2, J8, maybe sometimes K8, 22.
So, I deceided that his BCalling range is: AA, KK, JJ, 88, AK, Ah8h, KJ, QT = 35 combos.
He has about 27 combos of TP {AQ, AT, Ahxh}, 58 combos of No made hands that he could bluff on this River card {busted FD, Q9, T9, 97, T7}.
If he bets all busted draws and TP+ and calls only with given range 35/140, FE = 75%.
I was trying to make him fold Ahxh, K2, J8, maybe sometimes K8, 22.
So, I deceided that his BCalling range is: AA, KK, JJ, 88, AK, Ah8h, KJ, QT = 35 combos.
He has about 27 combos of TP {AQ, AT, Ahxh}, 58 combos of No made hands that he could bluff on this River card {busted FD, Q9, T9, 97, T7}.
If he bets all busted draws and TP+ and calls only with given range 35/140, FE = 75%.
Hand equity vs. his Betting range = 41.429%, with 30% pot odds. Call is going to be +ev.
Any thoughts?
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