NL200 55 on KT5KQ

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

NL200 55 on KT5KQ

Blinds: $1.00/$2.00 (6 Players) BN: $208.00
SB: $215.60
BB: $725.19
UTG: $333.01
MP: $479.30 (Hero)
CO: $200.00
Villain is a good LAG
Preflop ($3.00) Hero is MP with 5 5
UTG raises to $5.00, Hero calls $5.00, 4 folds
Flop ($13.00) K T 5
UTG bets $9.31, Hero raises to $30.00, UTG calls $20.69
Turn ($73.00) K T 5 K
UTG checks, Hero bets $70.00, UTG calls $70.00
River ($213.00) K T 5 K Q
UTG checks, Hero checks
Not sure if I can value bet this river. Given I bombed the turn I think he may fold all his flushes now and not call river with just naked trips. Although some of those hands may elect to CR the turn since my sizing is so strong (eg. TT, KT, KK). I wonder if that makes him actually weaker on this river? But he can still have KQ, QQ.

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