Overpair vs donkshove on monotone flop
Posted by gyorgyligeti
Posted by
gyorgyligeti
posted in
Low Stakes
Overpair vs donkshove on monotone flop
Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players)
CO: $9.85
BN: $20.69
SB: $4.88
BB: $15.91
UTG: $10.53 (Hero)
MP: $12.62
BN: $20.69
SB: $4.88
BB: $15.91
UTG: $10.53 (Hero)
MP: $12.62
Preflop
($0.15)
Hero is UTG with
A
A
, , , ,
Probably made a mistake with the 4bet size (too small)
Flop
($4.45)
9
Q
6
Villain seems a not-so-skilled reg, plays 24/15, 3bet 7%, flop agg% 40 (500 hands).
Since he is not a fish, I think he's never shoving the nuts here, so I can remove from his range AsKs, AsJs, AsTs; with KsJs and KsTs he never 3bets on utg, so his range could be something like AsAh, 3 combos of QQ, 3 combos of 99, 3 combos of AsKx, 3 combos of AsQx and probably all the 6 combos of KK; vs this range we play a coinflip, but I'm not sure if it could really be +EV to call in such a spot. Of course with all the AA combos with the As is a snapcall, but without it?
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