The Game Plan

To Fire or Not To Fire

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

To Fire or Not To Fire

BB: $412.50
UTG: $406 (Hero)
HJ: $459.51
CO: $1447.88
BN: $147.83
SB: $414.50
Preflop ($6.00) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt Q K
Hero raises to $12, HJ folds, CO calls $12, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds
Villain plays 25/20 and is one of the bigger winners in these games.
Flop ($30.00) 2 4 J (2 Players)
Hero bets $20, CO calls $20
Turn ($70.00) T (2 Players)
Hero bets $50, CO calls $50
River ($170.00) 8 (2 Players)
By the river, I think his range is narrowed down to Jx, sets, A3cc, A5cc, and the three combos of JTs.

From a range perspective on my side, I can have a few flushes, overpairs, sets, Jx, KQ, AK, AQ, and the three combos of 89s. I'm having trouble figuring out what should be my optimal bluffing frequency on this particular river card (that's better for my range) since my only pure bluffs would be KQ/AK/AQ.

Even though his range is fairly strong, I'm assuming I have to be bluffing atleast some of the time so would betting KQ and check/folding AK/AQ and everything else bring me to a decent, balanced frequency? Any help appreciated!

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