[Z10]AKo 3bet pot line check

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

[Z10]AKo 3bet pot line check

Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players) MP: $5.96
CO: $11.61
BN: $10.04
SB: $18.57 (Hero)
BB: $18.80
UTG: $10.10
Preflop ($0.15) Hero is SB with A K
2 folds, CO raises to $0.30, BN folds, Hero raises to $1.00, BB folds, CO calls $0.70
CO is aggo reg, 33/27 on 290hands. fold to 3bet is 70% (bit high but majority of th pool is 3betting around 2-3% so that maybe could explain). he did 4b 2/22 hands so he does have a 4bet range even if the sample is useless. AF3
Flop ($2.10) 6 8 J
Hero checks, CO checks
OTF I think I have a good hand to x/call with backdoors str8 & fd. My check/calling range would look like AKo AQo with backdoors clubs KJ,QJ, some small Axcc and maybe AAc from time to time
Turn ($2.10) 6 8 J A
Hero checks, CO bets $0.90, Hero calls $0.90
OTT I decided to go for pot control, my hand doesnt need big protection holding Kc.
I think most of my check/calling range would check on that turn
River ($3.90) 6 8 J A 9
Hero checks, CO bets $2.00, Hero calls $2.00
OTR I need 25% to call, I think he'll bet for value QTs/AJ/A8/A9 and bluff his busted 1 card fd like KQc QcJ(not sure he'd call pre), KQss KTss TT at some frequency.
I don't expect to see T7s/75s that often here. I don't see too many flush combo except QTcc T9cc

Not sure about any street. Is my thought process good here ?
OTR vs this betting range we have 39% equity. Am I too optimistic witht his range ?

In game I mostly called because I was blocking fd

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