MP is 24/11, opens 20% in MP, 4bets 12% so a range of about 2,5%. AFq 15%
CO is 44/12, doesnt 3bet much, doesnt fold to 3bets. Has bet vs missed cbet of 14% in SRP, about 20% in 3bet pots. AFq 22% (18% flop)

Really awkward board for our hand and range, stacksizes are kinda good for us as we can bet 14-16$ and go with it vs the shortstack putting the CO in a tough spot with some hands, but I feel we have just an equity disadvantage too big to be betting here. Also could go with like a 6,50$ bet here and hope they both had highcards, but since we have 4 highcards in our hand it's not exactly fun either. The fact that we have Ah in our hand might make them stab a bit less, but I'm not even sure if we can use it if flop goes checked through and the turn falls off with a heart. At least I don't see them folding many flushes in that spot :)

P.S.: I kinda would want to analyze that spot in a vacuum, in higher stakes games or other lineups for MP/CO I'm definitely checking range here.