I thought it was easy get it in spot, but now I'm confused

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

I thought it was easy get it in spot, but now I'm confused

BN: $39.60
SB: $87.20
BB: $54.80 (Hero)
UTG: $52.49
HJ: $174.48
CO: $51.49
HJ looks competent reg at this stake w/ 22/14/5 stat so far and BTN is passive fish 51/9/0.
Preflop ($0.75) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt A J K A
UTG folds, HJ raises to $1.75, CO folds, BN calls $1.75, SB folds, Hero raises to $7.25, HJ calls $5.50, BN calls $5.50
Flop ($22.50) 8 K T (3 Players)
Hero bets $21.01, HJ raises to $42.02, BN folds
Ok, I did 3b and usually I just pot/call without much consideration. I put him on a range that he will going to raise and get it in as {KT,K8 , KK , TT , 88 , AKQJ,QJT9,JT98, Qd*dT!RRR}
against this range , we have 38% equity.  (Please give me better syntex to setting the range here if u think)


x{(69.5 * 0.38) + (-47.55 * 0.62)} + {22 * (1-x)} =>0

number of x comes 0.88in order to make a profit by getting it in here, villain have to fold over 88% of the time. 
Do u think our villain gonna fold over 88% of the time comparing his 3b calling range ?? 
Or did I make some mistakes so far ?? 

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