PLO100 - Overpair+GS

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PLO100 - Overpair+GS

Blinds: $0.50/$1.00 (6 Players) BN: HQ|Jonas: $546.64
SB: meatz04: $87.25
BB: Snorpy: $59.15 (Hero)
UTG: klofanisko92: $49.42
MP: buelo73: $84.61
CO: lazrom: $86.32
Preflop ($1.50) Snorpy is BB with Q A 2 A
3 folds, HQ|Jonas raises to $2.50, meatz04 calls $2.00, Snorpy calls $1.50
Flop ($7.50) K T 6
meatz04 bets $4.50, Snorpy calls $4.50, HQ|Jonas raises to $25.12, meatz04 folds

BTN appears to be a reg, a bit on the passive side over a small sample. Opening 50% OTB.

I think my hand is probably losing vs. his raise. I doubt he pots it with just a naked QJ here given SB is leading into 2 players. He must have KT+ here or at the worst some kind of KQJ6 type hand.

Still, our equity looks to be decent vs. that range since we have a few live nut outs:

board: KsTc6h
Hand Equity Wins Ties
AcAsQh2d 31.90% 186,416 9,947
66, TT, KK, KT+:ss, KQJ+ 68.10% 403,637 9,947

What does RIO think?

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