PLO200 HU top2p when riv brings straights

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PLO200 HU top2p when riv brings straights

http://weaktight.com/5980369


Villian was a fish. He calls 70% oop and 3b 8%. .

He raises 74% ip and cbets 64%.   His WTSD was 42 and his aggression % was very low.  So he was more on the loose/passive site.

RIVER: 

BET :  

 Betting is good if:    1) he calls with worser 2pairs like  T6,T8,K8,K6  + occasionally 1straightcard blocker like a 7.     2)  he 3bet/ship some % of his sets / good wraps (9874,8743) on flop OR turn. 

---->  @ 1)     Although he´s a bit on the loose/passive/callingstation side  i dont see much light calls downs with weaker 2pairs here.         @2) He was on the passive side, so he´s more likely to not raise sets /wraps flop or turn,  which increases the number of hands beating us on the river.

conclusion:   betting is not good vs this opponent. ( I think most opponents dont call with weaker 2pairs here without a crazy dynamic?)


CHECK/CALL :


check/ call is good if :    1)  he turns  weaker 2pairs / 1pair+busted draw type hands into bluffs 2) he is not vbetting sets here. 


conclusion:  @1)  This Villian is more likely checking back that hands.  ( like most Villians?)

@2) This Villian is checking back sets, too.   (Like most Villians?)

Conclusion: If he´s not bluffing here and not vbetting sets, it often goes check check and his betting range is very small. BUT then his betting range  only concludes straights and we have to

CHECK/ FOLD here.


So vs this Villian  c/f is the best option. (!?)


All thoughts are welcome.  What do u think is the best option vs most opponents?






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