PLO400HU river bluff shove

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PLO400HU river bluff shove

BB: $1237.25 (Hero)
SB: $574.50
Preflop ($6.00) (2 Players)
Hero was dealt A T Q 6
SB raises to $12, Hero raises to $36, SB calls $24
Flop ($78.00) 3 K 4 (2 Players)
Hero bets $56, SB calls $56
Turn ($190.00) 3 K 4 J (2 Players)
Hero bets $130, SB calls $130
River ($450.00) 3 K 4 J 3 (2 Players)
Hero bets $443.50
Villian is a PLO midstakes reg. I assume he´s raising either flop or turn most of his sets/2pairs.

So his riverrange is naked Kxxx, 56,52, dd** . We assume that he calls with every K*** and 3*** .

To make a shove profitable in this spot, he have to go to the river with enough hands WITHOUT a K or 3 in it.

I put this numbers into PPT and it shows that Villian only has a K or 3 43% of the time, given the above river range.


Do u think we have a profitable bluff spot here?


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