What is my highest EV play on this turn?

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

What is my highest EV play on this turn?

BN: $90.12
SB: $213.56 (Hero)
BB: $150.84
UTG: $314.29
HJ: $222.34
CO: $204.60
Preflop ($3.00) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt K 8 T A
UTG folds, HJ raises to $5.36, CO folds, BN folds, Hero calls $4.36, BB folds
Flop ($12.72) 2 J K (2 Players)
Hero checks, HJ bets $8, Hero calls $8
Turn ($28.72) 2 J K 8 (2 Players)
Hero checks, HJ bets $21

Villains opening range from MP is 25%. SPR on the turn is 7.2.

Villains cbet % on F/T are 68/56 on average. I think on this board it might be a bit higher. But based on his stats I think he has KJ+ about 17% of the time.

What is my highest EV play at this SPR? XC or XR?

At SPR 4-5 I have no doubt that XR is best but I am not certain at this SPR.

Thanks

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