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$30 MTT: Hero call on drawy board?

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

$30 MTT: Hero call on drawy board?

SB: Jon Doe: 0
BB: Player1 - VPIP: 41, PFR: 19, 3B: 12, AF: 1,1, Hands: 111: 23847
UTG: Player2 - VPIP: 36, PFR: 11, 3B: 7, AF: 0,0, Hands: 36: 32075
UTG1: Player3 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 7, 3B: 3, AF: 1,3, Hands: 83: 16162
LJ: Player4 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 6, 3B: 5, AF: 1,5, Hands: 49: 17626
HJ: Hero: 19321
CO: Player7 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 15, 3B: 6, AF: 8,0, Hands: 92: 18915
BN: Player8 - VPIP: 27, PFR: 15, 3B: 9, AF: 1,8, Hands: 55: 95719
SB has a stack of 23847 and his stats are VPIP: 41, PFR: 19, 3B: 12, AF: 1,1, Hands: 111. This is midgame of a $30 MTT with 41 to start. I don't think he knows much about position, so I assign him a wide calling range even from SB.
Flop (5500) T K 6 (2 Players)
Hero bets 2977, Jon Doe calls 2977
I go for a cbet as I think I can rep the king and the pot here a lot of the time, plus given how he's played I I'm still in front of his range which is very wide.
Turn (11454) 6 (2 Players)
Hero checks, Jon Doe checks
I see no reason to bet here, but checking to control the pot.
River (11454) 7 (2 Players)
Hero checks, Jon Doe bets 4000
I'm leaning towards a call on the river, as I can't see I'm beat often. The only thing that would make some sense is a ten, but I think he'll bet those on the turn often too. He'll bet a king on the turn, so I'm leaving that out of his range. To sum up I see his range consist of a lot of bluffs, missed flush draw in particular, and only few hands that beat me.

What do you think about those thoughts and a call? Also I would like comments on the cbet, as I'm a bit unsure if that was the right decision.


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