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How do you know when to take high vs. Low variance...frustrated and on downswing.

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Posted by posted in High Stakes

How do you know when to take high vs. Low variance...frustrated and on downswing.

More of a philosophical question on aggessive high variance vs passive low variance.

ACR 1million gauranteed 2 day event. No reads. No icm but we are deeper into day 1.

I had a fairly easy time in the tourney so far. Above average stack. Kinda cruising. Table had solid players.

8 handed I open hj JThh 2.2x sb calls 45bb eff flop QT2hsh pot about 6bb sb chk I bet 4bb he xr to 11bb I jam.

The line is solver approved. But I could also chk back flop and go to the turn. I can call his turn bet or delay cbet if he chks. If I brick I get away and move to the next hand. Different ways to play the hand.

I chose a higher variance play. I lost. I am ok with it but this is where I don't know what is right. With higher variance play if I win and double I am sitting well, but if I brick I am out. If I take a lower variance play I don't win the pot as often but I am still in the tourney. Is the higher variance play the right one? In a tourney should you skew to the lower variance side of things?

When do you take a shot to build stack, when do you just take the lower variance route?

I am also on a down swing and feel frustrated and pissed and have no confidence.

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