1/2 Live with big flush OTR vs donk bet on paired board.

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1/2 Live with big flush OTR vs donk bet on paired board.

None: Jon Doe: $0
So the live game I play in is extremely loose-passive, and the UTG villain in this particular hand is known for not giving a fuck, so his range is super duper wide. I'm not really sure about his bluffing frequency, but I assume it's quite low. Preflop he can put in a lot of money with weak hands, but post flop he seems to be more ABC.

My read in this hand is that he's obv strong when he donks flop, repping the usual sets, 2pairs, possibly TT. Also conceivable is A9, 9x, flush draws and combo draws like 4s5s, As2s etc, but those big draws are more likely to c/c or c/r imo. The spade scares him apparently but he c/c's. That pretty much rules out flushes, especially the nut flush. Then river pairs the board, and he leads. I was confused cause I don't really see 22, 33, or 99 being very likely here, but he hasn't got many flushes, and he doesn't really have any bluffs either. I guess 9x seems like a likely candidate, but the question is, do I beat enough of his value range to call here?

Hero is in MP with KsQs. UTG straddles $5, folded around to me. Hero raises to $15, BTN calls, BB calls, straddle calls.

(Pot ~$60) Flop: 2s9d3s

BB checks, UTG bets $30, Hero calls, BTN folds, BB folds. 

(Pot ~ $120) Turn 7s

UTG checks, Hero bets $55, UTG calls.

(Pot ~$230) River 9h

UTG bets $80. 

Hero?

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