AQ 3b(Sqwz pot) IP

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AQ 3b(Sqwz pot) IP

BB : 24/21 3bet over 207h is 16% but i dont think so i turn it down to 11-12%(should be fair and i think so it right) and also MP open 25% .

I did some calculating and thinking how he will play and i assume :
11% ~ 145 comb
flop :
his bet range on flop i assume will be :
value: 32comb
semi bluff FD : 9comb , 6comb GS

BDFD- 28 comb ( and i don't think so he will bet all BDFD all the time and also will not continue turn without FD coz he should understand here is no Fold equity ) .

(75comb) , if we remove some BDFD , his bet range around 58combs
check:
70(comb) Ax,high Broadway.

Turn : when he bet turn i think his range now :
14 combos : AdQd, KdQd, AdJd, KdJd, QdJd, AdTd, KdTd, QdTd, JdTd, Ad9d, Kd9d, Qd9d, Jd9d, Td9d (FD)
I'm not sure about broadway cards coz he can just cbet with it on flop(especially with BDFD) , we also can add TT-JJ?
23 combos if we add TT-JJ

river : 9combos of fd miss , 5 combos of Tx and also , 9 combos JJ-TT
and if he checking miss FD with Ax (3combos) and bluff with the rest + shove Tx and JJ-TT then we have only 30%
on river we need 32% . if he checking more than 3fd combos we dead here..

my thinking process right? Also i'm not sure about his range because as you can see player A ) can bluff with all FD's here then we are good to call , and player B) can check all miss FD because he assume i have overpairs here and will not fold(like 88+).

How should i train my thinking process/logic in spots like this ?

Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $81.43 (162.9 bb)
BB: $50 (100 bb)
UTG: $60.78 (121.6 bb)
MP: $122.60 (245.2 bb)
CO: $79.38 (158.8 bb)
Hero (BTN): $65.81 (131.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with A Q
UTG folds, MP raises to $1.50, CO folds, Hero calls $1.50, SB calls $1.25, BB raises to $7.50, MP folds, Hero calls $6, SB folds

Flop: ($18) 5 3 3 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($18) 4 (2 players)
BB bets $10, Hero calls $10

River: ($38) T (2 players)
BB bets $32.50 all in, hero ???

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