interesting math hand

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

interesting math hand

Blinds: $0.50/$1.00 (6 Players) BN: $144.21
SB: $95.53
BB: $109.80 (Hero)
UTG: $121.38
MP: $101.56
CO: $100.91
Preflop ($1.50) Hero is BB with A Q
3 folds, BN raises to $2.20, SB calls $1.70, Hero raises to $11.60, BN raises to $28.00, SB calls $25.80, Hero

SB - 25/16 44 hands 3bet -6% ----- Over SMALL sample tight rec (3bet low and postflop not aggro)
BU - 26/18 TAG RFI 54% from BU. FOLD vs 3bet 49%, not much info vs sqz. 4betting a bit but again sample is low(on 4 betting) and this hand included
BB - aggressive reg

Spend a lot of time thinking about this hand, to me seems like a clear shove considering money behind and possibility of BU bluffing. Question is how much fold equity we need ? and what is our equity(%) vs weak player?

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