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3583 points

Comment | Jeff_ commented on GG poker HUD

I'd say get subscription and check stats while playing. A ton of EV to be made (sites like smarthand provide that), of course you need to pay up to 45$ each month (for all stakes) but it silly to avoid edge - having all information on every player.

GG poker HUD is complete bullshit, small samples and so on

May 19, 2022 | 1:16 p.m.

Comment | Jeff_ commented on i want to give up
  • Desperation tilt
  • Hate-losing tilt
  • Injustice tilt
  • Entitlement tilt

  • Issues with motivation
    Not understanding your skill/variance
    Result oriented thinking

(Bit harsh but you can start address those problems)

May 7, 2022 | 7:40 a.m.

OK, I see your point. In poker it is quite easy to justify many things. In order to really prove that something is completely off, need to make player pool analyses. Which honestly is bit too much for this kind of simulation, maybe if you are looking to be top10 player in the world that's nice investment, for any other - marginal.

What do I mean by saying this - in my screenshots I have tiny bit calling range around some pocket pairs and few broadways type of combos, anything else is jamming.

May 4, 2022 | 10:30 a.m.

28min that 99 call seems quite bad, cant ever justify it as it bleeding money. But why?
we call 77$ into 203.5$ = 38% pot odds
our equity vs JJ+ AK+ is ~ 35%

TT have 36%
JJ have 39%

April 30, 2022 | 1:13 p.m.

Regarding flop mistakes, not sure I agree but see some arguments there. For example Villain bets all AT there (with suit and w/o) which he shouldn't (for example, think he can bet once in a while but can leave it) then on the turn he arrives with wrong range. Because he have wrong range - optimal range play for him will be different than for normal (''gto''), therefore everything which was good in ''normal gto'' scenario will be different now.
In that sense I think if he can spot his flop mistake : - Oh, man I overcb this flop.... What to do on the turn now? Damn, should adjust my turn strategy now!

lol, along those lines

April 28, 2022 | 11:15 a.m.

Bluffing this hand on the river is not good idea-> 1) you have showdown value 2)bluff needs to be overly successful in order to be better than check 3)blockers are nothing, he doesnt have any 4/3x 4)you have very many bluffs available (all busted FD; 2 high cards like QJ|JT)

However I think it is going to be really tough for him to call, because you have many value combos as well but he doesnt need to call much. Likely (depends on your size) peel some trips and bluff catch AA as best unblockers/blockers

April 25, 2022 | 12:58 p.m.

Bad for our range! Hand doesn't matter in that sense

Extreme example when terrible card comes out - OOP starts donking

Give me some examples to sim… I want to learn the concept you are
talking about.

Not sure I can come up with anything reasonable right now and it will be beneficial for study purpose.

April 22, 2022 | 2:35 p.m.

Funny enough it seems like we can bet 1/3 again on the turn when our range improves again over OOP and some dynamic between two ranges going on!

Another example when we want to merge some hands on relative-bad or weird card (flush/4-straight), but I don't use that strategy and haven't really heard that it is good one. Even though solver it is using but to implement it, need to be really advance player and by the way - No EV gain there

When really terrible card for IP comes on the turn, there is shouldn't be such thing as betting 1/3 because why??? You aren't getting protection because solver will polarize X/R and blew your off. In poker pretty much who have more nutted nuts - wins and get to do many many pleasant things

April 22, 2022 | 12:12 p.m.

How do you like GG games? I've been playing a bit of nl500 there and some nl1k; sample is not that huge and running breakeven.
Actually only small of amount of REGS winning there (before rb!/leaderboards), most are actually losing and rest is breakeven. Maybe around 5%(+>2bb)/10%(+1bb)/25-30%(+-0bb)//rest is losing

Myself I have mixed feelings, want to play//want to dump based on short term(plus variance) feelings

April 18, 2022 | 10:58 a.m.

I 3bet this hand because field overfolds 3bet

Understand, actually I haven't played with preflop solver and not sure about preflop exploits vs people who overfold. But postflop we gotta tight up then because our wide range playing vs tight range, and therefore likely gonna be less than 10% boards where we can range bet.

A5s-A4s A9s are better

April 12, 2022 | 1:20 p.m.

Pretty lose 3B PRE; A3s not even 3Betting SBvsBU
Why do you want to get out of line there? Is opponent big agro whale (50/30)? Or folding vs 3bets too much? Maybe you just tilted....

River mostly check and bluff AK/AQ/ Overcards with bd type of combo. Best river is K, after A and Q.

By the way, flop is good hand to X/R and bluff it off on broadways runout. Imagine sitting there with JJ/TT/QQ and facing X/R and 2 bets on K/Q turn and blank river. Pretty sure most of us will be scared and fold almost all bluffcatchers

April 12, 2022 | 12:22 p.m.

I would say nl10 to nl100 regular! in 6 months is not realistic; however have shots at nl100 is possible, but that means you are nl50 player at that time.

Either way good luck, if you want to get through all this - run in your head(visualize) 2-3 nightmare scenarios and what you will do :
1) you have time for poker or you fall out from your plan (or completely fucked up weekly schedule and played like 3-5 hours and studied even less)
2) you busted your roll/extreme downswing
3)burn out/no motivation anymore

It is about talent/personal qualities as well, in my career Ive stuck at nl50 for years, nl200 for years. Clearly I have not the best poker talents

April 7, 2022 | 12:19 p.m.

Can't be terrible but possible not max EV.
You need to ask yourself questions: What his CB-range and Bet-fold range, does he have enough bet-folds? What he will do with KQ/AK there bet-call? And second question will he overbet jam turn there ever?
I would never jam there because with his 75% cbet he screams I have TPTK and want to play 2 streets poker(either jam or check-jam turn) and not get outdrawn!

Bunch of weak nl1000, nl500 regs plays in that fashion. Lets even not talk about recreatiional

April 6, 2022 | 12:59 p.m.

I suggest you never flat in SB unless there already big fish in the pot or BB is big fish (Not a 25|7 nit). From good BB reg perspective you always have what you actually have and pretty much putting dead money for him.
Other than that can bet bigger river ~3$; he shouldn't have that many better hands to worry.

March 25, 2022 | 11:23 a.m.

Comment | Jeff_ commented on Playing vs sb limpers

4x is good I suppose, 3.5x is good as well

March 21, 2022 | 10:14 a.m.

Comment | Jeff_ commented on Playing vs sb limpers

Limping generally bad idea unless you are eager to be top5 player in the world (make sense limp in HS ante game, and crush other people at mid-high stakes normal games)

If regs are doing this at micro I guess going GTO is must unless you know how to exploit/counter exploit. Ill tease a bit - if you isolate linear range from BB after the limp SB needs to be massively overfolding if he doesn't do it you print money at that node. Because he is going to be with far weaker range and his preflop investment is burning money, nevertheless on the node check behind you should suck, and if he is smart enough to know it, he can really destroy you. And I mean really.... But no one good wont limp at nl10-nl1k because vast of time and focus (unless you play 1-2 tables)

March 18, 2022 | 3:17 p.m.

sure stars is great, have other options though. I mean microstakes you can do as many things as you want, zillion options (from apps, to really small rooms)

March 15, 2022 | 10:33 a.m.

March 14, 2022 | 3:19 p.m.

Comment | Jeff_ commented on $50/$100 Battling

Great postflop skills and preflop is weird. Lets put it that way :D

March 14, 2022 | 3:16 p.m.

Yeah that has to be call and you can fold all of your Ahigh (AK/AQ), some PPs. Thats enough to be folding

I understand feeling that he have all QQ+ and his range is tight (well MPvsEP is extremely tight 3betting range from TT+, AQo and strongest broadways). But think in this way - for example he is always barreling his QQ+, thats around 21 combos (including TT). To have appropriate amount of bluff he can bet most of his fds and half of his AQ\AK, definetly easy to be bluffing enough unless he iss 16|12 nit

March 12, 2022 | 1:15 p.m.

Comment | Jeff_ commented on 10NL line check AKo

I agree on jamming turn, I rarely see people go with crazy bluffs like (especially when turn is another A) that and therefore we should jam all money on the turn to run over his weaker trips.

Your play is superior if he is type of guy to put airballs there as a bluff, something like 87 or 76 which has like 8% equity on the turn (if he has above 16% equity on the turn we gotta jam!!! above 16% are FDs and OESDs. Why jam? Equity denial OOP)

March 11, 2022 | 3:16 p.m.

Comment | Jeff_ commented on 10NL monotone board

I would play based on stats. There are some merits for turn raise and small bet on safe rivers, think it is pretty easy to play either way:
1)if he checks river - you valuebet
2)if he bets river big/normal on a blank- you call again
3)if he bets small river - you raise

Good reason for call - let villain spazz and put another bad with low equity (well any heart actually have decent equity vs you, so turn raise seems preferable; if he is type of guy to bet here ATo turn and bluff river call - like!!)

March 11, 2022 | 3:11 p.m.

Comment | Jeff_ commented on NL10 QQ 4! pot preflop

Haha this hand is weirdo,

Your opponent telling you: ''I am having 27% bluffs here''
Your answer: '' I believe you''

What he can have for value - AA-KK(no idea how he will play w/o heart) and like 1-2 combos of flushes; What bluffs he needs to have AhQ AhK or AxKh. I am bit shrugged here, but I think never bluffcathing there is good idea. Call sets+ and occasional AA and that's it.
Put yourself in his position, are you even happy to bluff there? what are expecting to get folds from??

March 9, 2022 | 2:54 p.m.

3Bet might be thin; usually we 3B BBvsSB somewhat polar and vs nit, that appoach even better, K9s is inbetween for example KTs - can 3bet always and all weaker KXs not really 3Bettting. Cant be huge deal, different preflop solvers give slightly different outputs.

Some misconception here - hands which in theory wants to triple barrel likely it is A9+ (not sure about A9 but 95% sure that TT jamming river for value). I would play like you vs fish, vs regs way too thin. Other note you can pile big bet on the turn and check river (seems better than half pot, but not a big deal)

March 5, 2022 | 10:55 a.m.

Comment | Jeff_ commented on NL10 Zoom

Looks fine: however something is interesting here. When he plays like this and shove river he is pretty doomed with majority of his range. Okay if he has AA-JJ without diamond, he cant bet turn for this size. If he has AA-JJ+ diamond it is not most exciting spot to triple barrel here since CO is folding every Tx on the turn and I assume JJoff.
So BB - gotta play really carefully and CO can overcall river vs those AdQ AdK and so on.

Feb. 15, 2022 | 7:45 a.m.

Comment | Jeff_ commented on The Final Grind of 2021

Something funny that villains(SB) call nowhere near exciting if hero bluffing 32s (which fold pre - everytime) or 35s --> 33 is becoming best blockers for HERO bluffs and beating 0 value for 4x pot! A2 may be massive + EV call in these situation
But I assume human will bluff some stuff like 56 and 76 instead so well played SB

Feb. 9, 2022 | 10:57 a.m.

2010 HUD xD
Great video, not surprised by crushing results. If you wanted to, you could be playing highest limits online nl100k or whatever (with some work done of course)

Jan. 29, 2022 | 7:13 a.m.

That 4Bet size is overly big, note note and note again

Cant beat nit when he made a hand, but can beat on all other occasions

Jan. 19, 2022 | 10:14 a.m.

Comment | Jeff_ commented on Is this just spew?

Generally you want to be cbetting because you have decent equity advantage here and few other advanced reasons which have to do with ranges.

On the river villain have Kx close to never, why he would check it twice? Seems silly and I doubt players are doing it (of course it might happen 1 out of 15 times but I dont care about it). But he can have 66/88 and 99. Totally and always

So we found his value range, bluffs? anything is good here as bluff - from A5cc to 55, but his size seems quite strong. If he pushed all-in to fold my AA,QQ,JJ,TT I would be more willing to bluffcatch. But I would never bluffcatch anyone except fishes and best mid-high stakes regs

Jan. 12, 2022 | 11:59 a.m.

I wouldn't even 3bet those type of hands. You aren't making money with those 3bets unless villain is over folding vs 3bets.
I know solver is doing it, but nevertheless it is quite unnecessarily

Jan. 11, 2022 | 1:21 p.m.

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