BB 3bettting range vary from player to player. ''Default one'' is quite tight, so on this board we have range advantage and bet close to range for small size. checking probably equal EV.
On the turn we of course checking, and vs close to pot size bet we need to defend ~50% of our range. I don't know how your range constructed but you can't fold all of your TT-KK, otherwise you folding frequency should reach 75% and more. And I'm not talking gto, imagine villian has any Broadway and decided to stab? or T9 or 22?.....
Feb. 24, 2019 | 5:19 a.m.
You played it good. I would never bet river though vs competent opponent. Ev of checking will be lower vs tight rarely bluffing river opponents, EV of leading can be high but you need to keep in mind your size ( you can't go ~pot size because of hand strengths, but some part of your range 6x want to go huge)
Feb. 24, 2019 | 4:20 a.m.
Think only worse hand he should be calling your all-in is JJ/AK. His sizing relatively big, you can definitely call or shove(with nl50z rake I'm always shoving), calling depends on your 4bet postflop skills. You can be surprised what we can do in 4 bet pot vs non optimal opponents.
Feb. 24, 2019 | 4:13 a.m.
I agree with some and disagree with other:
Can't be precise in my comment on deep hand with caller, because it is rare scenario and understudied by me. Button something like 140BB deep right? He has incentive to play wide calling range including PP,SC,Broadways and few slowplays. All depending on limit dynamic.
When he has somewhat wide range, flop he has good price to continue with big portion of that range (mostly draws), however on the turn some people will check them back at decent frequency.
Vs reggy opponent I think our bluffcather is alright, not printing money but shouldn't be losing. Vs fish I would just call because more chance he is unbalance towards bluffs.
Feb. 24, 2019 | 4:07 a.m.
Some mid-high stakes players when they don't grind do studies and at the same time control lobby, create new tables (pokerstars)
Pretty sure they have different setup for grinding and can study on another one to not close client. Well they might be able to do it both at the same time, run some solutions and play
Feb. 23, 2019 | 12:50 p.m.
Even though those solutions decent and give you fundamentals how you suppose to be playing preflop. They aren't 100% accurate as anything in poker because of human factors, no one playing like solver, people try to exploit each other and gain small edges (nl500z).
You can't exactly follow their opening range 1)if we have recreational player behind - which is ultimate reason- we want to play more pots and gain more +EV from that.
2)some people 3bet so little, that our defending frequency ''will burn our money''
3) other exploits we can make in game, by 3betting different combos/flatting instead,tigthing up vs overly aggro
Bit sad to see many cheap solutions available (as it removes learning excitement process) and easier for bots when before they made quite significantly preflop errors (Hello to Obborra crew!)
Feb. 23, 2019 | 12:24 p.m.
UTG: $223.46 (Hero)
Feb. 23, 2019 | 12:03 p.m.
Yep that was I thought. Was quickly matching value combos to bluffs and his stats and felt like it is winning call, but probably this guy wasn't right one (not as aspazzy as it was in my mind).
And thank you for comment, now I feel like if he had 76ss,97ss, or 65ss he might just rip it in, thinking I play sets more aggressive on the flop. (All possibilities)
Feb. 23, 2019 | 11:32 a.m.
Well played, river slam-dunk shove. After the hand take notes, next time can punish him lowering bluffing frequency. His call approximately will became -5000bb/100bb ^^, and your bluff wasn't much higher than 500/100bb
all rough mathematics to show how important to exploit opponents
Feb. 22, 2019 | 2:47 p.m.
betting turn is alright, I fold focus more on my flop ''default strategy'', because you wrote 1/3 sizing is question (prob better).
Different sizing you choose, different results you get, for example after 1/3 there are much more 88 -TT,22-33, 98... in villains range which are always folding turn(so we don't want block them). Vs half pot villain should be mixing/folding those.
Would say vs good opponent your bet isn't doing good(and even bad-tight opponent). So can x/f and bet all broadways, low sc
Feb. 22, 2019 | 2:40 p.m.
he should have many of those Qx - > QT(12),KQ(12),QJ(12), maybe some Q6(1),Q9s(1-2)
for worse he can TJ(9),KJ(9),AT(9),AJ(9). Because we didn't discount KQ we won't discount AJ.
It is around 50/50, and when we check I don't think any good will happen (not a lot bluffing from him??). When you bet small you let him spazz? or get away with those 2 pairs?
So just shove if he starts calling some weird stuff your shove is +EVVVVVVVVVVV
Feb. 22, 2019 | 12:42 p.m.
UTG: $210.45 (Hero)
Feb. 22, 2019 | 11:45 a.m.
I woudn't entirely trust on all-in EV, or keep saying how unlucky and unfair I run (To mention you didn't say it either, but some will say). Keep up good work ethic and studies and let's see how it will be in few months. (As well can turn off all-in from PT4 (graphs and statistic)
Feb. 22, 2019 | 8:45 a.m.
what site are you playing? If it is pokerstars, I belive 20BI downswings are normal in short time, and something like 50bi in longterm.
However you winning over all sample so that's fine and EV will stabilize in distance
Feb. 21, 2019 | 1:29 p.m.
I believe you need to ''change your address'' in pokerstars in order to play there (on .com). So pretty much change place your living on another.
Ask ps support for clear details.
If you meant Pokerstars, lol. Rio probably similiar to that
Feb. 21, 2019 | 1:22 p.m.
on the last one isn't 5c quite bad blocker to have? Do you think 54 plays this way for value, or he more polarizes to A4 type of stuff?
Feb. 21, 2019 | 1:19 p.m.
firstly pure check strategy shouldn't be our default on any texture. Yes on some we can do it, but all opponents are different. Mostly it has to do with ranges they are playing and they way they play them.
I wouldn't mind 1-2bb/100 difference between strategies. It is as well depending how often that spot occur and how small pot is. Blind versus blinds smaller is better of course because it will affect our winrate much more than rare situations
Feb. 21, 2019 | 1:14 p.m.
BB: $109.94 (Hero)
Feb. 21, 2019 | 11:52 a.m.
Alright, street by street-
pre (I don't know ranges you opening but ~ 70-80% is what good players do, and let's exclude limping)
This is very strong hand to defend so easy call vs 3bet.
turn flop wasn't interesting, turn we can bet multiple sizing's but I guess our combo mostly checking (KJ,KT,AT, T8, J8.....).
river Bit scary sizing from villain, it make sense with Qx,TT, KJ and flushes. KJ and flushes*(fd) mostly betting turn as Qx and TT too, lol. But he could check it, most relevant blocker is Aheart so play seem sound to me. However, kinda big sizing make me think I wouldn't be bluffing it almost ever
Feb. 21, 2019 | 9:13 a.m.
I am working on my redline the past few days.
''Change it to working on my greenline ''
Fishes are okay to attack and okay to get thin value, they play wide ranges so their folding frequency usually high. Nits targets for preflop attacks and some postflop non-standard action.
Passive players most easiest one...
VPIP, PFR, WTSD, FOLD VS CBET, RAISE VS CBET, bet sizing and right spots helps you to improve green line.
Feb. 20, 2019 | 3:10 p.m.
in theory I think you have only option to shove or fold. His sizing enormous and it will depend with what range he is doing it. If 100$ that's big too, probably same thing will apply, you aren't really wanna be calling 20bb sizing
Feb. 20, 2019 | 11:51 a.m.
You have valuebet vs TT and 9x, not sure in practice villain will call it, but in theory he should as we should have some air. But overall I woudn't be betting flop big deep. It might be alright, I'm not specialist.
Vs shove I guess it is going to be so big that we call QT, 99, QQ and some other Qx with low frequency, effectively he have 1 QTs 1 99 and he can shove Q9 against split. Not hard to be balanced in his place, and harder in ours because we don't know how people react (do they bluff 200 bb deep)