NL10 Fold to Turn Raise with Full House (medium) against TAG?

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NL10 Fold to Turn Raise with Full House (medium) against TAG?

Pacific, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players

Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.



SB: $10.64 (106.4 bb)

BB: $2 (20 bb)

Hero (UTG+1): $10 (100 bb)

UTG+2: $11.23 (112.3 bb)

MP1: $6 (60 bb)

MP2: $16.90 (169 bb)

MP3: $11.28 (112.8 bb)

CO: $1.50 (15 bb)

BTN: $10 (100 bb)



Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with A T

Hero raises to $0.30, UTG+2 calls $0.30, 5 folds, SB calls $0.25, BB folds



Flop: ($1) 4 T 4 (3 players)

SB checks, Hero bets $0.75, UTG+2 folds, SB calls $0.75



Turn: ($2.50) 4 (2 players)

SB checks, Hero bets $1.25, SB raises to $3.75, Hero calls $2.50



River: ($10) 3 (2 players)

SB bets $5.84 and is all-in, Hero calls $5.20 and is all-in


Tag is 23/19 with AF 4
Check/raise turn is 8% with reasonable sample size.

Would you fold here? What exactly is 8%? Always better than what I have currently have?

I thought about his calling Range is something like this (Flop):
QQ-22,AQo-AJo,KQo,AQs-ATs,KQs-KTs,QJs-QTs,JTs,T9s,98s,87s

Turn I would give him for the check/raise range:
QQ-TT,ATs,KTs,QTs,JTs,T9s

This Range have much more Equity than my Hand however I thought he could do this for example with some weaker Tx's which I beat. But as combo wise I think he have just much more hands which beats me and not the other way round.
(8 Combos which I beat and 13 in which he beats me) 2 combos for tie.
This assumes that he would check/raise with T9s? I am not so experienced in the micro stakes because I am starting to play again but I guess he wouldn't do that with T9s, JTs and QTs ...

Is it correct to fold on the turn? Are tags bluffing here too much so that I have to call because the check/raise range on the turn looks so strong?

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