NL200 zoom, 99 on T95m-7-8, OOP river decision.

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NL200 zoom, 99 on T95m-7-8, OOP river decision.

BN: $362.41
SB: $331.02
BB: $226.81
UTG: $300.08 (Hero)
HJ: $302.68
CO: $207.29
Preflop ($3.00) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt 9 9
Hero raises to $6, HJ calls $6, CO folds, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds
Flop ($15.00) T 9 5 (2 Players)
Hero bets $11, HJ calls $11
Turn ($37.00) T 9 5 7 (2 Players)
Hero bets $28, HJ calls $28
River ($93.00) T 9 5 7 8 (2 Players)

Villain’s calling range on the turn

AKss 1

AQss 1

AJss 1

KQss 1

KJss 1 

QJss 1 … 6 flush (16.7%)

QJs 3

JTs 3

JJ 6 … 12 str8 (33.3%)

TT 3

99 3 … 6 set (16.7%)

QQ 6 … 6 overpair (16.7%)

AsK 3

AsQ 3 … 6 miss FD (16.7%)

------------------------------

36 combos


If hero holds AsKx

villains range

flush 3 (11.1%)

str8 12 (44.4%)

set 6 (22.2%)

op 6 (22.2%)

Looks like its easy to defend enough combos for villain and hero’s value range should be QJ+.


If hero holds AxKs

villains range

flush 3 (9.1%)

str8 12 (36.4%)

set 6 (18.2%)

op 6 (18.2%)

miss fd 6 (18.2%)

Hero still cant vb with Jx, but AxKs could be a profitable bluff.


If hero holds 99

Most of hero's Jx should be a check on the river, so we dont need to defend 99 here. 

=> 99 should be a check-fold on the river.


Any opinion is appreciate.

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