NL200z trips vs fish

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

NL200z trips vs fish

Blinds: $1.00/$2.00 (6 Players) BN: $183.55
SB: $500.84
BB: $333.13
UTG: $412.69
MP: $277.02
CO: $717.94 (Hero)
Preflop ($3.00) Hero is CO with K J
2 folds, Hero raises to $5.00, BN folds, SB raises to $14.00, BB calls $12.00, Hero calls $9.00
2-3 hands on SB, i don't know him, and he play only 1 table, seems to be a fish

BB is a 25/10, few hands
Flop ($42.00) J J Q
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $28.47, SB calls $28.47, BB folds
Turn ($98.94) J J Q 6
SB checks, Hero bets $133.00, SB raises to $280.00, Hero raises to $675.47 and is all in, SB calls $178.37 and is all in
so turn i overbet to shove a lot of rivers

but i'm unhappy to see his raise; i'm not sure between call/fold/raise, since if we are not folding we want him to commit his nutdraws like AcKc AcTc KcTc etc

vs his raise, we have 22% odds, but if he shoves directly, we have (280-133+178)/(511+178+280-133+178)=32% odds if my math is correct

so i'll suppose because i'm more for shove or fold here, that we need 32%

http://fr.pokerstrategy.com
Tableau : JdJcQd6c
Equity Victoire Égalité
MP2 37.68% 27.99% 9.69% { KdJh }
MP3 62.32% 52.63% 9.69% { QQ, AJs, KJs, QJs, JTs, AcKc, AdTd, AcTc, Td9d, Tc9c, AJo, KJo, QJo }

seems a reasonable range, and i have 37% equity

maybe i'm optimsitic because he raise an overbet, so maybe we can narrow his range to better hands, but i'm not sure

so what do you think, raise, call or fold?

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