ilares's avatar


89 points

i have exactly the same problems, i started to play this game with friends and according to them, the ev of AA top 16 cards FL is WAY more than the 7-8 points of 14cards FL from their experience, but no idea what number
would be super glad to have any answer, maybe Jen Shahade could help us!

June 26, 2019 | 11:51 p.m.

why not, pm me

Aug. 27, 2017 | 10:26 p.m.

1 we have nothing fold
2 call
3 why not

Aug. 24, 2017 | 10:58 p.m.

seems fine, but people are often nitty on this kin of board OTR so maybe its too thin

Aug. 24, 2017 | 10:52 p.m.

Comment | ilares commented on Studying card removals.

check which hands have the best ev to bluff ip on the river on some 3 color or 4 color boards

Aug. 23, 2017 | 2:26 p.m.

would prefer raise than calling river, his line is quite weak he can have some mid and top pair

Aug. 9, 2017 | 9:47 p.m.

Post | ilares posted in NLHE: Cash game skype group

I've made a skype group like one year ago, we were 6 and talk a lot about strategy and exchanging HH
then sadly the group became inactive for a long time, but i tried to revive it this week, and yes Oblio and Gametheory and I are discussing

so if you are a nl or plo200+ player wanting to
-talk strategy
-discussing HH
-want to understand some pio simulations

you can come and tell me your skype by pm :)

Aug. 6, 2017 | 2:32 p.m.

i call, if this guys go broke 53s preflop, i think he s a spewtard and can have a looooooot of bluffs here

Aug. 3, 2017 | 12:06 a.m.

well the only difference that i find is that 88 donest block q9s, but it's such a small effect i wouldnt be sure
otherwise they block the same combos, really weird
you dont have an ev analysis ?

July 29, 2017 | 3:26 p.m.

hey guys i'm having a debate with a friend on why gto cbet 1/3 on flop like A72r on hu sgr pot
so for me its because we have a lot of air and want vilain to fold with a cheap bet, but he disagree saying the bigger the bet is, the more bluff we have, so if we have a lot of bluffs we should bet more, like 2/3

the 2 statements seems true, so i dont really know what to say, any idea? cheers

March 23, 2017 | 12:49 a.m.

pretty sure we don't want to reraise anything here, but to call wide

Jan. 25, 2017 | 10:36 p.m.

So, i'm talking poker with a friend, and we agree on spot like we have AK on a T92r flop, we bet 1/3 pot, sometimes we are value betting (vilain call a worse hand like AQ), sometimes we are bluffing (vilain fold a better hand like 33), but it's not important when we bet saying in front of our computer "here i value bet" or "here i'm bluffing"

what do you think? i talked about this with other poker players and they that obviously we need to know what we are doing because we were taught that way

but i think GTO doesnt really care if he's bluffing or value betting (sometimes our bet and check have the same ev, so if we bet we don't value anything or bluff anything right?) on the preflop, flop and turn

about the river:
on the river in position, our range have to be polarised (0-1 game) so we bet our worse hands (100% bluffing) our best hands (100% value betting, with our worse value betting hand close to 50% equity vs vilain calling range, adn we call that "value betting thin") and we check our middle hands

on the river out of position, sometimes we bet hands that seems to be value bets hands but have less than 50% equity when called, because checking these hands has a lower EV, since we are not guaranted to see a showdown

am i right here? do you have any comments? i liek to argue with friends but some thing i say can be quite weird at frist look :)

Nov. 25, 2016 | 10:59 a.m.

i fold flop, we have a nice hands, but versus SB range just a bluffcatcher
+ CO can reraise
on a Q or 7 of club we're not even sure we awant to call T+R

on the turn easy call
and river 1/4 or check back, i guess, some players (like me) like to x/shove river

Oct. 11, 2016 | 4:02 a.m.

Oct. 6, 2016 | 12:22 p.m.

Comment | ilares commented on 200NL BB vs MP Balance?

we can xr AQ 99 A9 some big draws and some gutshots/osed

Sept. 29, 2016 | 9:13 p.m.

call flop, fold big bet on heart turn, call big bet on non heart

Sept. 29, 2016 | 9:12 p.m.

Equity is nice, EV is better

Sept. 29, 2016 | 9:10 p.m.

well the problem is that you only have AK,QQ+

Sept. 11, 2016 | 5:55 p.m.

Comment | ilares commented on study buddy/group

nice idea!

Nov. 24, 2015 | 3:28 p.m.

Comment | ilares commented on Top pair on the river

seems ok for me F+T, we value T9 TT Jx we have a lot of draws here
on the river, i think shoving is a little better, but x/c seems ok too, even if he has a lot of T8 T9 JT who will x

Nov. 15, 2015 | 5:04 p.m.

3barrel seems a little better since you have a lot of draws on the turn

Nov. 13, 2015 | 12:06 a.m.

he doesn't have a lot of A diamond which is not a flush here...

Nov. 12, 2015 | 11:56 p.m.

yeah F/T sizings, usually go for a more polar range, leading then that we can call really lightly OTR seems he has nuts or air

Nov. 12, 2015 | 12:30 p.m.

thank you for your answer!

i never saw a reg sitting me at 50bb and we played the first hand and he called very lighly a 3bet (K3s if i remember); so yeah 99% probability for the fish

i'm ok i have better spots, i was going to fold, but i thought dude you have a set or nothing do you?
that's why i elected to call; he can has a lot of bluff and there is a few nuts combos!

and btw he showed 76 :/

Nov. 12, 2015 | 12:29 p.m.

bet flop, as played call or raise/fold turn

Nov. 12, 2015 | 1:02 a.m.

no vs 2x call 60% 3bet around 10-15%; vs 2.5x call 45-50% 3B 10-15%

Nov. 11, 2015 | 12:09 p.m.

yes 87s is better than K3s;
vs 2.5x i would call around 45-50% and vs 2x around 60%

i think it hard to say "only x% of equity is released": it is really hard to estimate this number! that's why it's hard to say which hand is the bottom call vs a range of x% at y sizing preflop, even by analyzing your hands winnings BB vs BTN

Nov. 10, 2015 | 7:07 p.m.

yes you can call :)

Nov. 10, 2015 | 7:02 p.m.

Hand History | ilares posted in NLHE: Bluffcatch vs fish at the start of HU?
Blinds: $2.00/$4.00 (2 Players) SB: $404.00 (Hero)
BB: $253.43
Preflop ($6.00) Hero is SB with J 9
BB raises to $8.00, Hero calls $4.00
Flop ($16.00) 6 7 J
Hero checks, BB bets $14.96, Hero calls $14.96
Turn ($45.92) 6 7 J Q
Hero checks, BB bets $44.42, Hero calls $44.42
River ($134.76) 6 7 J Q 6
Hero checks, BB bets $186.05 and is all in

Nov. 9, 2015 | 11:46 a.m.

But what if V never bluff raises flop AND then bluff overbets turn?

i don't see any hands who does this: 53? 67?

Nov. 9, 2015 | 10:31 a.m.

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