BB: $5.00 (Hero)
Preflop I think that I am pushing a small equity edge here so I decide to raise it up.
Getting only one caller I decide to cbet this board. I think it actually connects okay with his range. Not sure how likely people are to flat 22-66 pre so if he doesn't have that in his range he has more medium pairs like 66-99 and medium suited connectors and stuff like JTs QJs Q9s KJs KTs maybe suited Ax...
How often would you bluffcbet this flop and would you bet stuff like QJs and AQ as a bluffcbet?
WIth AdTd I have a really obvious cbet (because I want to build a pot vs weaker flushdraws and charge straightdraws).
On the turn I think he is going to do more betting mistakes than calling mistakes so I decide to trap.
Check/raising turn could be the best play here.... I wasn't sure ingame. I think people are capable of making tough folds with 2pair or sets here because my line looks nutted af. So I decide to go for check/call, lead river on blank.
As played this is a river I'm also leading.
I think he is going to do more calling mistakes than betting mistakes, for instance I think people may checkback a Tx if I check or a set but they might call a set to my bet and definitely calling me with Tx.