Plan after 1/3 cbet IP with 2rd pair

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Plan after 1/3 cbet IP with 2rd pair

Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (9 Players) UTG: $3.37
MP: $10.27
UTG+1: $11.50
MP+1: $10.00
MP+2: $21.23
CO: $10.00
BN: $10.10 (Hero)
SB: $10.63
BB: $10.15
Preflop ($0.15) Hero is BN with J J
3 folds, MP+1 calls $0.10, MP+2 calls $0.10, CO folds, Hero raises to $0.50, 2 folds, MP+1 folds, MP+2 calls $0.40
V: 32/18 3b:6 (117). He is a weaker reg.. but not recreational.
Flop ($1.25) 6 Q 5
MP+2 checks, Hero bets $0.40, MP+2 calls $0.40
Turn ($2.05) 6 Q 5 8
MP+2 checks, Hero checks
River ($2.05) 6 Q 5 8 K
MP+2 bets $1.00, Hero folds
Final Pot MP+2 wins $1.93
Rake is $0.12

Hey Guys,

Just wondering whether the 1/3 strategy which I mostly used IP as an aggressor is now really worth. In theory, this is probably a call OTR, blockers are not the worst ones and we dominate all his bluffs. If not this exact combo, I mean some 3rd pairs or worse, we are definitely supposed to call. His range after the 1/3 cbet is pretty wide and its not that clear that he is short on bluffs OTR. Therefore isnt it better to either bet bigger flop - get max value from his weaker hands and then fold to float - he also should have less bluffs and more paired combos, so we can fold the river much more easily, since he should be shorter on bluffs

Another possibility is to bet also the turn for some kind of protection/block and also value. The problem is that we might get raised since we can not really bet big (2/3 is maximum I guess) and this card is just better for his range. I would like to be more polarized tbh.

The last option which I see is to just check the flop if I feel uncomfortable OTR.. I mean in terms of EV OTF its close anyway, so my confidence in these lines matter the most maybe..

Just posted this hand, because felt a bit confused OTR since he did not bet the best card for his range, but not sure if I am not being exploited in these certain lines if I trust them too much.
Should we call that river?
Should we call on safe rivers? (2,3,5 , 6,T)

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