QTo nl50 bluffcatch

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QTo nl50 bluffcatch

http://www.flopturnriver.com/Poker-Hand-TdQh-Ring-SB-1883886.php

villain is: 27/21, call open bb vs sb 40(10), 3b 7 370hands
fold cb 44 (9), raise cb 11(9), xr flop 2/6
bet vs miss cb flop 88(8), turn 60(5)
wtsd 25/wwsf 49/w$sd 38

flop and turn is easy x/c for me, what do you think about river?
He checked back, but lets say he bet river 70%, so I would need ~30% equity.
I would probably call it looking at his aggro stats and busted draws, but Im not sure about that (because of 2nd J on river, imo players usually plays honest in that spot)
What do you think?

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