Tough spot with the top or our range

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

Tough spot with the top or our range

Blinds: $3.00/$6.00 (5 Players) UTG: $603.10
CO: $752.90 (Hero)
BN: $599.64
SB: $1338.09
BB: $214.50
Preflop ($9.00) Hero is CO with Q A
Hero raises to $15.00, BN folds, SB raises to $51.00, UTG folds, Hero calls $36.00
Flop ($108.00) Q 4 5
SB bets $54.00, Hero calls $54.00
Turn ($216.00) Q 4 5 5
SB bets $144.00, Hero calls $144.00
River ($504.00) Q 4 5 5 8
SB bets $504.00

vilain is a reg on anonymous tables; 0 info

so preflop, flop and turn is standart, but then villain shove on a SPR of 1! (you can notice he 1/2 then 2/3 and then pot)

i'm pretty sure we can exclude KQ of his range, so we loose versus KK (6), AA (3), 67s (4), A5s (2) ,maybe a 44 (3), and we tie versus AQ (6)
we win versus some flushes draws, and random bluffs, if he has these 15 combos of value he need at least 8 combos of bluffs for me to make a break even call...

i'm not sure every regs bluffs their flushes draws here 100%, and he needs AT LEAST As2s, As3s,AsKs, AsJs, AsTs, As9s KsJs, KsTs

i don't think i'm being exploited folding AQ here.

thoughts?

(i have A5s, 56s, 44, 55, 67s, maybe even 88 so i think i'm not so overfolding)

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