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Facing PS lead when board changes on the river

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

Facing PS lead when board changes on the river

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players) BB: $28.78
UTG: $41.42
MP: $34.86
CO: $70.27 (Hero)
BN: $12.65
SB: $21.48
Same Fish like in the post before - ~ FI30
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is CO with 9 A 3 K
UTG raises to $0.85, MP folds, Hero raises to $2.90, 3 folds, UTG calls $2.05
Flop ($6.15) 4 7 J
UTG checks, Hero checks
We should have bet the flop. Villain should fold a big portion of his range.
Turn ($6.15) 4 7 J Q
UTG checks, Hero bets $5.89, UTG calls $5.89
Villains range contains flushes, Sets and maybe some 2 pairs
River ($17.93) 4 7 J Q 7
UTG bets $17.17, Hero calls $17.17
As villain is also quite passive on the river - Donk Bet 5 (19), we should fold.

What is if Villain would be a standard reg with an about FI20. He than could have on the river flushes 77, JJ, QQ, although he probably lead his sets on the flop. And there want be that much sets in his range anyhow, maybe some double paired hands and a few 7789ds kind of hands. Can we give this Villain also QJ, which he could take in to a bluff? I ques here we have to fold always vs any player, also if Villain has a few QJ in his range. There are not enough bluffs, imo. Any other comments?

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