PLO25 zoom, turn spot vs unknown
Posted by Mathieu Grenon
Posted by
Mathieu Grenon
posted in
Low Stakes
PLO25 zoom, turn spot vs unknown
BN: $105.26
SB: $29.60
BB: $69.28 (Hero)
UTG: $26.98
HJ: $46.29
CO: $27.95
SB: $29.60
BB: $69.28 (Hero)
UTG: $26.98
HJ: $46.29
CO: $27.95
Preflop
($0.35)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
K
Q
9
Q
UTG folds, HJ raises to $0.85, CO calls $0.85, BN folds, SB folds, Hero calls $0.60
UTG folds, HJ raises to $0.85, CO calls $0.85, BN folds, SB folds, Hero calls $0.60
Flop
($2.65)
J
3
T
(3 Players)
Hero checks,
HJ bets $2.53,
CO folds,
Hero calls $2.53
Turn
($7.71)
J
3
T
3
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
HJ bets $7.36,
Hero folds
Final Pot
HJ
wins $7.36
First of all, villain is an unknow, only like 10 hands on him but 3/3 flop cbet, and if I remember correctly, about 30/20 no 3bet. After looking at the hand afterward, my flop play wasn't the best against an unknown. I was OOP with a hand that has a ton of equity even against the top of his range, if I had to play the hand again I would probably raise as I was OOP, but at the time, I elected to check/call as i supposed he would barrel most turn with the cbets stat he had at the time.
The turn is where I'm lost. When the 3 comes out, the board is pairing and he pots it again. I was trying to establish is range and came out with something that looked like AAQx, AAKx, some KKQx, AKKx, AKQx, (those 3 are less likely given my hand) and some sets JJ-TT. When he pots the turn i feel like the sets are less likely as he would want me to draw with no equity, but again being deep against an unknown, he might be trying to get as much value as possible. Still i think here is range is more towards overpair and gutshots or AKQ type of hands given the sizing of his bet.
Against overpairs and gutters im more or less a 70% to 30% dog and a big favorite over AKQ no pair. I opted to fold OOP as I felt overpairs where a bigger part of his range but im not sure about it. I would like your thoughts on this hand!
P.S. Awesome job on the site!
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