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777TripSevens777

248 points

Francesco,
Always enjoy these types of videos from you. At ~37:00, having 66 on 6s4s3s4h7h, do you think in practice villain checks back at higher frequency than solver? If so, do you think that block is superior play here (seems like it would over perform)? In scenario where villain checks back at higher frequency, checking seems like it would underperform, and betting large would depend on if villain under defends or over defends to that larger sizing. This is exploitable obviously, but curious what you think?

Thanks Francesco.

July 21, 2024 | 10:59 p.m.

Sam,
So, would villain use multiple 3-bet sizes (mostly traditional size, low frequency large size) and bucket hands accordingly? Or just 3-bet at lower frequency and use the larger size? Seems like using 2+ sizes would be slightly higher ev at the cost of being harder to implement (if not implemented accurately could yield lower ev)? Also, do you see this strategy used very often in the MTT's you play?

Thanks Sam.

July 21, 2024 | 10:15 p.m.

Sam,
Really good video. Really enjoy hearing you and pads talk through these hands. Curious what you think about the 7x 3-bet size to 14bb from sb (the AJs vs AKs)? Do you think this is a spot that villain is using this sizing because they think you will defend incorrectly against this larger sizing (over or under defend) or do you think they are using multiple sizing's, and this is just a low frequency play? Not sure what other hands would want to be in this bucket and balancing seems tough, as you pointed out. Interested in your thoughts on this sizing and how, if at all, it could fit into overall strategy and what that might look like.

Thanks Sam and Pads.

July 21, 2024 | 6:50 a.m.

Callum,
Makes a lot of sense. I think it was a nice play either way. Thanks again for the video and your response.

July 20, 2024 | 6:29 a.m.

Luke,
Yeah, the JJ on 9 high board facing large bet flop small bet turn then jam + player on the tighter side almost always equals fold here. Strange line for villain to take, but probably way under bluffed. The small number of bluffs that he may show up with are probably high equity bluffs, so JJ probably doesn't fare well in this situation. Seems like a good fold to me.

Thanks Luke.

July 19, 2024 | 10 p.m.

Callum,
Video lived up to the title. Some interesting hands that are pretty highly dependent on knowledge of the players involved. The play with 77 is interesting but maybe ambitious if you think this is only sets and combo draws, being that you block some of the combo draws with 7d. Do you think 77 no diamond makes for a better candidate (assuming no diamond on river)? Enjoyed the review of these hands and look forward to more content.

Thanks.

July 19, 2024 | 9:35 p.m.

Matt,
Enjoyed your review of your hands played. The 87s hand at ~32:00, do you think that the reason solver checks turn is because this hand has lots of equity but hates getting raised on turn?
Thanks.

July 19, 2024 | 2:39 a.m.

Peter,
I like the idea of drilling a single board texture like this. I usually cycle through all the sims in the folder, but this makes more sense, and I will definitely use it. Really like the way you relate the differences between the real-world environment and the theoretical one. Very nice video, looking forward to more.

Thanks.

July 18, 2024 | 5:51 a.m.

Frankie,
Fun video to watch. This was an interesting format in that as you approach the end of the game you are incentivized to try to have the biggest profit and win the side bet. I would tend to agree that the Robl hand at the end of this is a bit surprising. Robl is a very good player with lots of experience playing live deep stack cash. Seems like multi way, especially against players who are sticky, you want to be doing a lot of checking even if this board was not monotone. TT even with a spade feels kind of bad to bet multi way. Enjoyed your analysis on these spots.

Thanks.

July 16, 2024 | 1:29 a.m.

Sam,
Really good video. Some really good information in here that can be useful in improving your mindset on the poker table and off.
Thanks.

July 14, 2024 | 8:15 p.m.

Dekkers,
At 7:08 hero has 99 on flop of 8d7s2s and solver shows this hand mostly checking (TT as well) but betting JJ through AA 50%+ of the time. Why do you think that is? Seems like 99 and TT need more protection than high pairs and when we have spade, block the big combo draws that can raise aggressively. Seems like we still lose to the same hands regardless of the over pair while also having backdoor straight draw for backup. Interested in your thoughts on this.

Enjoyed the video. Thanks.

July 14, 2024 | 7:52 p.m.

Tyler,
Another very good video. At ~26:00, you have J6o on 7h6c5c turn Ad river 4s. Is this hand just a pure fold on turn given that we have plenty of hands that are pair + straight draw or flush draws as well as 8x and some Ax combos? Does our calling range on river want to mostly be 8x for the straight and some two pairs? Always enjoy your content.

Thanks Tyler.

July 14, 2024 | 7:45 a.m.

Sam,
Enjoyed your video. In MTT's, besides all of the factors you mentioned about how we play 30bb deep vs 60bb+ differently, is some of the difference due to our tournament life being worth some amount (future ev)? Do we play differently (all things being equal) if we feel we have bigger edge at our table or in the tournament verses if we are at a tougher table?

Thanks Sam.

July 14, 2024 | 2:03 a.m.

Tyler,
As usual, nice video. Good to see some hands where you feel you made a mistake in the line you took. Would like to have heard you explain a little more what hands make better candidates and why this one was not the best choice. For example, AcQc at 20:50 on rainbow board with no club, I imagine if there was a club on flop this would have been acceptable candidate?

At ~38:00 the KhQh on Td9h2c turn 8s river Jd, this is interesting spot where I am not sure how I would proceed. The check raise and the jam both have merit (check seems better against aggressive players) both lines get the money from a Q. Does block bet ever produce more ev in this spot? Look forward to your thoughts.

Thanks Tyler.

July 12, 2024 | 3:06 a.m.

Francesco,
Really good video. If we are deep stacked, say 250bb+, do we want to make sure add some more board coverage hands in our 4 betting range? When deeper stacked we tend to see more flops without being all in and having our hand play sort of face up could be problematic. I would imagine there is very little 5 betting at depth? Interested in your thoughts.
Thanks again Francesco.

July 11, 2024 | 6:56 a.m.

Alexandra,
Great video. When we go for over bets, do we generally want to use geometric sizing to be all in by river unless the spr is really high? Also, at ~34:00 you talk about over betting bottom pair and how we can get better to fold as well as worse to call and can make two pair. Is one of the reasons bottom pair (a 6 in this case) is used as an over bet because it blocks villains' best hand in bottom set?

Enjoyed the video, thanks again.

July 11, 2024 | 6:19 a.m.

Tyler,
Interesting spot at 20:00 with Qs9d on 5s7d3s turn 8s river Qd. You mention villain thinking in absolutes, "he never checks flushes or straights" when the 5% of the time they do matters when you are betting that big. Are you checking very many hands here that can comfortably call river (flushes mainly) or are you just checking bluff Catchers like one or two pairs here and just overfolding and being ok with it as an exploit? What is the threshold bluff catchers that you are calling here with if not Qs9d? Guess you only need to call here like 16% of the time to keep his bluffs indifferent, so if you check ANY flushes, it may be hard to overfold this spot.

Looking forward to your thoughts. Thanks Tyler.

July 10, 2024 | 6:40 a.m.

Luke,
Really enjoyed this video, both the content and the format. Nice hearing your thoughts on each hand and then seeing what the solver is doing. Look forward to seeing more from you.

Thanks

July 9, 2024 | 6:37 a.m.

Tyler,
The KdJd hand at 32:00 on flop of 7cKc2h turn 8h, turn bet feels pretty close but I think I would lean towards check back unless I had a good reason to think that villain under check raises turn. Might be even more disgusting if we get raised small on turn and KJs becomes indifferent? Flop seems standard (range bet small). Think as played, your analysis is spot on, and you make correct fold to the jam. Think villain played hand pretty well except I think he should raise 2.5x instead of all in?

July 7, 2024 | 11:22 p.m.

Alexandra and Paul,
On the last hand, you say that villain is capped when they play check on flop node. If villain is under betting flop (maybe close to range checking) AND under check raising flop, are they really capped? Seems like they are closer to being uncapped then capped on flop. Seems like this is reflected in the amount we check back vs bet when node locked. Player tendencies seem to change hero's strategy a lot in these spots and shift hero towards checking more. At same time, we get to realize our equity more often when we bet. Interesting spots.

Thanks Alexandra and Paul.

July 7, 2024 | 6:45 p.m.

Francesco,
At 27 minutes you have AsQs on 8d7d4c and it goes check check with Ah turn you check and face a bet of 153. You opt for a raise all in and solver has no raises. Is hero not raising turn because BTN has more two pair+ hands given that hero primarily bets these on flop and/or turn (maybe has more in range pre as well)?

Really enjoyed the drilling and in-depth analysis. Thanks.

July 7, 2024 | 7:40 a.m.

Hey Brian,
Great video. On the first hand KJo and KTo mix on river between fold and call. Do you think that this player profile will tend to under bluff rivers, maybe significantly? If so, it seems like this would push KJ into a pure fold. Also feels like smaller bet is better if villain under bluffs and trends toward passive, maybe use bigger bets with flushes+? Know this might be exploitable but don't know that this player type is punishing this play. What are your thoughts on this?
Really enjoyed the detail on this deep dive analysis and look forward to your feedback.
Thanks Brian.

July 6, 2024 | 10:16 p.m.

Horseofhell,
Good advice. I agree that most if not all of the best players in the world at poker are people who at least have a good understanding of what equilibrium looks like and then they take as much information about their opponent and environment as possible and use that to deviate in a way that they believe to be more profitable (exploit). Even the most studied players will never replicate solver play so there will always be deviations that are more +EV if you are aware and take advantage.
Enjoyed the video. Thanks.

July 6, 2024 | 9:24 p.m.

Hey Mark,
At 20:30 Hero has Td9d 3 ways to a flop of TcJs8c checks and faces a bet and call. You entertain the thought of check raising this spot. Seems like a reasonable spot to check raise, but I am curious if we want to choose Ts9s over Td9d so we have BDFD + OESD?
Thanks.

July 6, 2024 | 8:28 p.m.

Mark,
Great video. I assume these are for 100bb stack sizes. Is there any significant differences at depth? Say 200bb to 300bb?
Thanks.

July 6, 2024 | 7:56 p.m.

Francesco,
Really nice video. I enjoy the PIO analysis of hands, and your thoughts on where you think deviations should occur. On the AK hand, if villain under defends river (folding out 5x, 7x, and defending a little less of weak Kx hands) do we just start jamming pretty much everything on river except KK (maybe mix), QQ, AJ, QJ, maybe JT? Guess it depends how much they under defend. Interested in your thoughts?
Thanks Francesco

July 6, 2024 | 8:19 a.m.

Really good thoughts in this video. I agree that the solver can only solve for the input you give it, which is limited in some ways. I think the best players are able to take in all the information they have available to them and make adjustments off of the baseline. Enjoyed the content.

July 6, 2024 | 7:06 a.m.

Luke,
Enjoyed the video. Some interesting hands especially the AQ hand at the end and the KK hand at 4:00. Thanks.

July 5, 2024 | 11:14 p.m.

Francesco,
In the first hand (AdQd) when you face raise on flop, looks like the solver had some 3 bets (12% 14 combos?). You mentioned that this would be tough to balance, which I agree with. It looked like it was a lot of Ax hands which I assume are diamond draws as well, and our strong TP+ hands. Interesting that A5s doesn't really 3 bet I assume because it's blocking two pairs and weights villain towards 44 and high equity draws? Also, the logical 3 bet bluffs that a lot of players will choose are high equity draws that can stack off against jams which seems like this funnels villain towards value making us NOT wanting to choose those and go for hands that block sets (5x?). Interested in your thoughts on this as well as if strategy of villain changes much if we never 3 bet turn.

Thanks

July 5, 2024 | 1:38 a.m.

Tyler,
I play in some live games where straddles are on a fair amount of the time. How much does our play change in straddle vs natural big blind compared to BvB? Do we play more aggressive with our pre flop ranges due to extra money in the pot? Interested in your thoughts.

Thanks Tyler.

July 4, 2024 | 10:26 p.m.

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