Very well written, and great point of view. I especially agree with this line: "As pros, though, we have to be aware that if we vacate the stage as soon as the actions done the void left behind is filled with a narrative that we have no hand in shaping."
Sept. 6, 2014 | 8:06 p.m.
Phil that math sounds reasonable. BB is going to have a lot of hands in the 25-40% equity range, and that is why I am a bit afraid of giving him a small bet size to play against. When he really has nothing he obviously folds either way (which makes us like betting smaller with air, but indifferent with AA right?). What if you only bet small for value with AAJ+ in this spot?
Dec. 19, 2013 | 11:26 a.m.
That last sentence was supposed to read "I am NOT saying I disagree with betting small there..." I think there are arguments for both sizes on this flop.
Dec. 19, 2013 | 11:22 a.m.
Well I'm biased because I play in the same games as jnandez, but I have really enjoyed these two vids. I like review videos or your own.
Dec. 19, 2013 | 11:21 a.m.
The AJT8 discussion was really good. I think it's also important to consider from a GT perspective. It's very easy to find light hands to call with on draw heavy flops, but you need to continue with some "air" on Q72r boards. AJT8 w/ bdnfd is basically the best no pair hand possible, and you probably need some of those to prevent your opponent from having a profitable cbet here.
Dec. 19, 2013 | 10:20 a.m.
24:13- the AAK8 on J42 vs Le Dolce. 1) You said a lot of people lead hands they plan on continuing with on this board. Really? I would expect it some % of the time, but on such a dry board I'd typically expect opponents to mostly check their whole range here. It's a board that JNandez is probably cbetting 100% and will often have a very small bet size, so there are pretty obvious benefits to checking strong hands as well as draws (as rare as they are on this texture.).
2) Right after that you said that "betting 400 still puts him in a push/fold situation." I really don't agree with that one. It may be the case that Le Dolce decides that, but I would definitely have a check/calling range in the BB there when facing a 1/3 pot bet, and I'm pretty certain its a terrible idea not to. Given that the majority of JNandez range is AA**, basically everything that is a dog to that, but still has equity to call should be check calling, and not jamming, no? The more FE I expected to have, the more I would jam in BB there obviously.
Anyway I am saying I disagree with betting small there, I just think there are serious consequences vs smart opponents who know that they can call with any piece (and don't have to just rip it).
Thanks for the videos, really like these ones.
Dec. 19, 2013 | 9:43 a.m.
Calling the squeeze with KQ35ss seems insanely loose in minute 7:30. How confident are you in that peel? I assume 100bb deep you are folding. Are you folding KQ35 suited to the Q? It seems like the type of spot that SB could easily have flatted with AA intending on back raising, though obviously that is a very small % of his range.