Seminole Hard Rock Hollywood ran a unique format $360 MTT with $500k guarantee this weekend.
Basically, there were 8 Day 1 flights. For each bag after one's first, it's best stack forward with a $2500 bonus (taken from prizepool) for the forfeited stack. I bagged Flights 1C and 1D, with a 517k stack on 1D - one of the top stacks in the field. I proceeded to play the remaining flights solely to try to get the $2500 multi-bag bonus. In 1H last night the following spot came up:
About 125 left, 72 pay. 1500/3000 blinds with 3000 BB ante. 15k starting stack, so average stack that bags will be roughly 150k. I get dealt AJo UTG+1 9 handed with 43.5k. This is a +cEV shove (although the weakest offsuit ace I shove) but curious how much ICM sways my decision given that I'm still 50 away from the money but effectively playing a satellite. And not only am I effectively playing a satellite, others in the field who haven't bagged yet are playing a traditional MTT with a $700 mincash, so incentives vary wildly.
Any insight would be great, ICM definitely isn't the strongest part of my game.
Jan. 14, 2019 | 4:36 p.m.
MonkerSolver and $500 Zoom Session - Richard Gryko I've really been enjoying Richard's videos recently. I believe this one was his first video and I thought it was an excellent balance of live play and solver work to keep the viewer's attention.
$5,000 High Roller: From $50k -> $63k -> $36k to $50k - Apotheosis Big fan of Chris's videos for MTT play. I recall this particular video having a lot of interesting spots and analysis. I enjoy his video series in general.
Poker After Dark PLO Cash Game - Phil Galfond This is for all the PAD PLO videos Phil put out. I enjoyed the format of rolling the raw TV footage with timely pausing and analysis, plus a great group of players to analyze with all holecards exposed (Ike, Jungle, etc)
2 Table $2.5/$5 6-Max Zoom NLHE (part 3) - Ben Sulsky Didn't have any individual video in mind here, but always a fan of Ben's live play videos. Seems like there's always a new strategy or wrinkle he's implementing in his game. The Toy Gaming series was great also.
Hand Review Using Piosolver - Daniel Dvoress This video was released in 2016, long before I personally purchased Pio and when it was still pretty new to me. Enjoyed the detailed hand analysis using Pio and helping to introduce me to the power of it.
Dec. 21, 2018 | 2:43 p.m.
Have been playing on it for about 2 months, although most of my volume has been limit mix. Haven't personally noticed anything sketchy seeming, but the nature of it being on a browser-based interface is concerning. I believe I"m running a bit below expectation to date, but nothing crazy. I've had some big winning weeks and some big losing weeks, and in-between.
Dec. 15, 2018 | 6:17 a.m.
I'm not a tax expert so I could be wrong, but almost positive you could have paid on less than 210k. Professional gamblers can deduct losses within a given calendar year. Think about this in the case of professional tournament players. If someone has 1m in buyins and 1.2m in cashes but had to pay taxes on the full 1.2m gross winnings, he'd owe more in taxes than his net profit for the year. If this was how it worked, nobody would play tournaments for a living. For online, I just pay on net withdrawals (withdrawals minus deposits) and am pretty confident this is totally fine.
Sept. 12, 2018 | 5:38 p.m.
10/10/often 25 button straddle at Isle in Florida. V1 is a younger pro who has a loose aggressive image but is aware of that and plays pretty well generally IMO. V2 is a new player from Alabama who plays generally loose.
Button straddle, 1 limp, V1 (covers) makes it 125, V2 (5k) calls, I (3900) make it 525 with AAJ8sscc. Both call, we go 3 way.
Flop Qh9c5d. V1 leads 1200, V2 calls with about 3k behind, I (3400)?
Feb. 22, 2017 | 8:50 p.m.
This thread is really inspiring. Thanks for sharing guys; it's reassuring and informative to members paying $100/month. I don't think it should be mandatory for coaches to post results by any stretch but it certainly makes a difference.
Feb. 2, 2017 | 10:58 p.m.
Great video and posts, Ben. Nice job getting Kanu to post too. Very interesting hand.
June 7, 2015 | 11:34 a.m.
Definitely never folding preflop to that sizing. Turn is super close, can't make up my mind. Benefits of jamming are avoiding making large mistakes on the river and making him fold hands that have 4-5 outs against us (maybe more if he b/f AT or KT). Benefits of calling are getting to play the river in position, potentially inducing bluffs when we improve, and potentially losing less or bluffing ourselves on scare cards that don't improve us (mainly 5o). I'm honestly not sure which option I prefer.
Aug. 10, 2014 | 10:39 p.m.
I think preflop is fine although I'd more often raise from the SB and flat from the BB. I don't love your spot on the flop but gotta jam now. I do think just x/c flop is likely better on KQx, opponent is likely betting flop pretty polar and that range includes several very strong hands that beat AA
Aug. 4, 2014 | 12:36 p.m.
I say either just say poker or "self-employed". Fisherman is great tho haha
July 22, 2014 | 12:37 p.m.
I don't understand why villain can play perfectly against us on the river at all, we can have plenty more than just 54 no flush draw. I like the turn just call and I think river is close between leading to try to fold chops and check calling to pick off bluffs from double flush draws/flush draw + wraps. I think your range has way more boats than his though.
July 22, 2014 | 4:45 a.m.
Preflop is close I think, I'm quite loose from the BB but it's a real disaster when you get backraised. Thinking it's a close fold.
Flop x/c is standard both to keep bluffs in and to avoid bloating the pot OOP when many runouts are going to leave you in awkward spots. If you do lead, it's gotta be bigger than 2/3 pot. Turn just pot or x/r. Your sizing is inferior and makes the river more awkward and lets the others draw too cheaply.
July 22, 2014 | 4:32 a.m.
I don't think most players are 4bet/getting it in with TT this deep in the SB so I think flatting preflop is much better than 5bet. Turn just depends on what you think of his preflop range, namely how many bluffs are in it. His bluffs are likely to have some equity (stuff like A5dd/cc), but you are getting a fantastic price, so there's certainly an argument to be made for calling. Obviously you're drawing very slim vs his value range though. So basically "it depends"
July 21, 2014 | 10:12 p.m.
Dislike bluffing with AK especially with this sizing. If you want to turn it into a bluff I'd either lead turn and jam river, overbet lead river, or check and consider a checkraise vs a bet. In this very situation I think I like turn lead best as you should be way more likely to have Qx than your opponent and turn is checking through a lot for this reason.
July 21, 2014 | 6:03 p.m.
I think flop x/r is okay but if you're checkraising all combos of AJs with bdfd amongst other bluffs your range is gonna be way too bluff heavy. Turn seems like a close x/f
July 21, 2014 | 5:57 p.m.
Great thread. I agree that a lot of what Phil is saying is the LAG's advantage in the OP will be quantified via a higher ROI, not via lower variance. Sauce's post on TAG/LAG should clear up the standard deviation angle I think. A TAG with 40% ROI will have lower variance than a LAG with 40% ROI, but the TAG may still have greater variance (in terms of downswings and overall bankroll fluctuations) than a LAG with 70% ROI.
July 10, 2014 | 5:27 p.m.
Agree with Sam re: preflop. I think flop is super close and interesting. I'd guess we have about 45% vs his leading range. It's a clear +cEV call but given ICM considerations I think it might be a fold? I'm not an ICM expert though and could be off on this.
July 10, 2014 | 4:58 p.m.
Folding A7s to CO raise is criminal
July 10, 2014 | 3:20 p.m.
Agree with basically everything Sam said, also want to add that I don't see why he's necessarily capped at QQ on hand 2. Seems like a good spot for him to flat AA vs the 4b, although 5betting is certainly fine too.