Cozacu

Happy New Year ! ;)

Merry Christmas!

Realistically I don't think he would turn a worse Ax into a bluff, and there is a good chance he is checking those on either flop or turn. That being said I think you are facing a overwhelmingly value heavy range, so I would fold river.

1) I would suggest analyzing your hands after every session. You don't have to go over all your hands ofc, but biggest pots you won/lost... and note some mistakes you think you made. If the same kind of issue pops up repeatedly (ex I keep calling rivers light) you should address it.

2) I think you should start using the HUD as soon as possible to get used to it for higher limits. Even if you just start with some stats and add more as you learn more about the game. I would start off with a minimum VPIP/PFR, 3B FT3B, Co/Bu/SB steal, Cbet/Ftcbet. That's what I would consider a bare minimum.

3) IMO 4 table zoom is too much, especially if you are relatively new to the game and want to learn a bunch quickly.I haven't played much zoom, so I'm not the best person to try and give you advice on this. However, from my personal experience , I did considerably better when playing 3 tables instead of 4.

4) Talking notes is always useful, zoom or not. Starting early with notes will help you develop a healthy habit about it and be more focused on villains actions. Just keep in mind to keep the notes short and relevant.

5) I think the sample is too small to draw any conclusions related to BB bb/100.

6) If you are playing 1k hands in one sitting is ok. Ofc it depends how many sessions you put in during a month. As long as you are consistent with your session, you can see progress in you game playing as little as 25k hands a month IMO.

7) LOL. Equilab is used for hand analysis, it doesn't matter if you play zoom or reg cash games. Based on the question I`m guessing you haven't used the software yet. I highly recommend using it as soon as possible (preferably in all session reviews).

... and lastly: "i am trying to approach the game a little bit more seriously" - I don't like this statement at all. "No! Try not! Do or DO NOT. There is not try! " . Get serious about your game or don't, for your own sake just make a decision and stick with it. Understand what you want from poker, understand what you'll have to do to get that and act accordingly. Don't BS your self... that's a pretty common trend in the poker community. I know I've been there.

What @Disharmonist said;
I`m also either 3b PF or fold this hand.
On flop I would raise... turn I would absolutely raise vs fishier opponent, but not too large, to keep in the trashier part of his range as well as smaller flushed - that might be as bold and re'raise turn.

Given sizing I would probably call it off too, I`m heavily blocking KQ, AK prob 3b some % of the time PF so I can be on board with the call. His stack sizing also indicates he is fishy, so there is also a bigger chance that he can overplay/bet for this value with hands like 9x,TT,JJ.

Replaying the hand completely I might consider just x/calling turn (but I`m not sure if that is any good because it's capping our range).

I don't know much about HU either, but river looks like a must fold... and if you are going to fold river... you are better off simply folding turn.

@tesla79 - nice. but if you make this assumption on every play I don't believe shiping is going to be a +ev play.

Also you didn't say/know they were retards: "Not so much info about the guys, maybe recreational players."

... I think you are being results oriented but who knows, maybe I`m just a huge nit :)

Exactly what @ Master_Debater said :)

After UTG calls I don't think you are good here often enough to ship. BTN`s range is w/e and you can call against him easily, but when UTG overcalls after you fire and there is a raise... I think we are in big trouble.

BTN`s shoving range could include some Qx, but you are heavily blocking KQ, pretty unlikely he would ship QJ and under, so he will most like have QQ, AA,AQ,Q9s,55,99 or TJs.

UTG`s range on the other hand doesn't have Q9s,TJs... (or at least I don't think so)... so he is left with AQ,55,99,QQ, AA combos.

However you put it... there is a good chance one of them has a set.

I think I might end up folding flop :(... or just calling.

Looks good. Defend and postflop as well.

Wp. Would play the same (sizing wise and all).

As Cohen177 mentioned, I would bet larger on flop.
On turn I would get on board with bet/folding... any maybe x/f as well depending on villain. If he is more on the passive side I can see him check back here a bunch of p+d hands... so once he bets you could consider your hand being way behind. Vs very passive looking opponents the best move would probably be x/f turn.

I`m on board with flop cbet (sizing too). I would give up on turn.

I don't think he will often (if ever) have AJdd in this spot. Why would he float flop from UTG vs SB with that hand ?

If he starts bluffing turn I don't see why he wound't triple barrel since our range is caped. With that in mind , calling turn / x/f river looks like burning money to me.

With 50BBs already in the pot, can we really bet/fold ?
x/calling commits us and we have no Kc for redraw.
...

and check/folding would simply be too weak, especially vs fishy villain.

He might not have many but he could clearly have all combos of 88, 98s, 87s.
What worse is betting river when we check ? Do you think he is turning Tx into a bluff ?

I would 3b on flop unless villain is very aggro and likes to fire multiple streets.
As played, I would call turn, fold river.

I would bet turn to get some more value from those PPs.
I don't think NITs usually turn mid pp into a bluff on river so I would expect river to go check/check - especially on overs.

As played, over betting river doesn't make much sense IMO because vs a nit we are pretty much turning our hand into a bluff... I don't think this guy would call 66,77,88,TT vs that over bet. You would only get called by slowplayed QQ+, wonder 9x and FHs.

... against the raise, I don't know because I would not get there but I think we can comfortably fold.

IMO:
-PF is fine, but you could go larger, like 13BB (make sure you are playing the same with AK,QQ+)
-Flop fire is fine (hand needs protection and you can get value from worse)
-On turn we could go either way I think, but I`m still ok with betting, villain won't have too many 9x in his range, hand still needs protection.
-River: I don't think he will have many Kx, and he will quite a few busted draws.

So if he gets to the river with something like:
JJ-TT,T9s,AhKh,AhQh,KhQh,AhJh,KhJh,AhTh
(I think 88,77,KK,AA - would 3b flop a decent % of the time & KK/AA re`raise PF)
(some strong non T9, 9x combos would often raise turn)

vs such a range you have 63.3% eq and you only need something over 25% so that would make this a call.

OFC he might not bet 100% of his missed draws but I think we still have a +ev call.

I don't think that their x/r range is necessarily going to be super value heavy. Especially from these kind of players.

I think calling the 3b vs the 14% range is higher EV than 4b/folding a hand as strong as KQo. But I could be wrong.