Earl's avatar

Earl

6 points

Comment | Earl commented on 10K WCOOP 8 Game (part 1)

At 12:53 you said, "we have 345 in stud hi" but the game was stud hi/lo. The next hand you folded 7JJ and you wondered why you folded there. So my question is, did you wonder about that fold, cause you thought its stud hi, when you made the video, or is 7JJ in stud hi/lo a fold in general, cause i asume you knew its stud hi/lo when you played the hand.

March 3, 2015 | 6:31 p.m.

You realy think that sipinho13 guy is a winner? When you clicked on his stats he seems to be down like 18k over 4k hands, which i think is huge and i also saw him on NL100 Zoom, which is my main game. He still might be a winner with the huge amount of RB he gets, playing so many hands, but without RB i don´t think anyone can win with these stats at NL500 Zoom

March 3, 2015 | 12:51 a.m.

At 27:00 i realy don´t get the raise with 3rd nuts flush. Having the best hand there is fine, but its hard to get called by worse, and you open him the door to bluff you out with the nut blocker. I think after your flop check back i guess you rarly have the nuts there, so he can try to steal the pot with the K (2nd nut blocker on turn) which is the nut blocker at the river...

March 3, 2015 | 12:03 a.m.

I realy like your playing style. Seems lower variance than most of the regs. Watched all your videos the last 2 days. You mentioned in some videos your aggro image, but i wonder where this comes from to be honest. I can´t remember you 5b jamming as a bluff. I tried to play like you did at NL100 Zoom. My c-bet was also around 30%, but my aggro factor was not higher than 1.2... My VPIP/PFR/3b was around 24/19/7. Is that to tight?
How does your red line look, and do you even care about it?
I´m a 3 EVbb/100 "winner" at NL100 Zoom after 100k hands and a 2k downswing last 25k hands (or a massive upswing before, who knows), but my red line is -6bb/100.

Feb. 6, 2015 | 5:43 p.m.

I have a 320k samplesize for NL50 Zoom...

My CC EV bb/100 are 
SB: 23,7 (2693 hands)
BB: -23 (4290)
MP: 136 (710)
CO: 27 (1140)
BTN: 68 (2259)
The WTSD% you mentioned later in the Video... I have the same percentages for SB and BB, and they are also 2% higher than average, so not sure if that is the reason why his winrate is so low there!

My 3b bluffs as you filtered it...
SB: 97 (1865 hands)
BB: 116 (1793)
MP: 340 (99)
CO: 146 (313)
BTN: 56 (1063)

Called Preflop 4b turns from -918 EV bb/100 when folding to 392 EV bb/100 (275 hands) when calling

My called 3b stats from SB and EP are horrible i guess!!!
SB: -484 (174 hands)
EP: -258 (568)
MP: -206 (528)
CO: -81 (472)
BTN: -37 (627)

June 4, 2014 | 9:58 p.m.

I don´t think he does it with TT or JJ, but i think he does it with AK (or at least should do it)

April 23, 2014 | 1:18 a.m.

You have no clue about how your 3b stat is shown in his HUD and you also can´t be sure that he is looking how often you 3b from the SB!!!
Who says that you did 3b the same amount in the 69 hands he has on you???
But x/c river seems best, cause of the busted straight draws...

April 23, 2014 | 1:14 a.m.

You are right, when you x the flop he can stab with all his bluffs, but do you realy want to x/c there?? The hand isn´t over when you call!!! He is likely to bet turn again with his air which make your life difficult and checks back his mid pairs which beat you.

His range to raise the flop is pretty bluff heavy i guess, cause no reasonable reg will raise a pocket pair there!!! So i tend to call his raise and decide on turn. It may look like a contradiction to what i sayed before, but i think he will play the turn much more honest when you b/c instead of x/c!!

April 23, 2014 | 12:56 a.m.

Is it so rare, that someone check/shoves AK there? I would not do that always, but in that case i´m ahead of any straight and most flush draws and sometimes villan folds 9x, TT-QQ, cause his move looks so strong...

April 23, 2014 | 12:28 a.m.

Comment | Earl commented on About the HUD question

i´m missing "flop bet vs missed c-bet in raised pot IP" and "turn bet vs missed c-bet in raised pot"

April 22, 2014 | 11:49 p.m.

Post | Earl posted in NLHE: Strange hand in hindsight...

Can you imagine a constellation where it´s much easier to shove 3rd Nuts than 2nd Nuts over his River bet???

As little help, it´s BvB and he called your 3-bet preflop. Flop goes check/check, and he leads turn and pots river!!!

April 22, 2014 | 11:16 p.m.

Post | Earl posted in NLHE: Bad run or such a big diffrence

Actually i though that the winrate is pretty much the same. People are better but the rake gets cheaper in the same ratio. During the 200k hands at NL50 i had some 10-15 buy in downswings too, but its hard to believe that i started with one right at that time when i moved up...

Feb. 22, 2014 | 11:19 a.m.

Generell you are right that its not a great idea to try to fold out AA!!!
I dont like calling his river bet, cause i beat absolut nothing vs a 1% 4-bet range and a even tighter one when he cold 4-bets OOP vs UTG and MP.
vs QQ/JJ (which i think he has almost never in that spot) i didn´t get more than one street i guess, so if i check back turn, its more likely that i get a call on the river.

He was thinking for a long time, and after he folded he wrote "KK looolll nh", so maybe he is capable of folding AA (which is good in that spot imo)

Feb. 6, 2014 | 12:25 p.m.

Comment | Earl commented on KK vs Nit in 4bet pot

Your 4-bet is to big imo. But c-betting 1/3 pot seems better than x/f, cause your hand looks like what it is. The only hands i check in that spot are my 4-bet bluffs with A2-A5s, AsKs or AA

Feb. 6, 2014 | 1:50 a.m.

As long as i didn´t turn something into a bluff, i only have KK in my value range. AK (which i fold sometimes preflop too in that spot) or even slowplayed AA i would just call the river. And the times that i mess around with someone that has such a tight preflop range (AA,KK,AKs) are very, very rare. If the turn blanks and he bets again, i would fold my overpair, so in this case the K was one of the best cards except a Q.

Feb. 6, 2014 | 1:31 a.m.

You say "sometimes (like this) I can get a great flop where I could get a lot value of his hand." and you just call the flop (which might be ok) and check back the turn, so where comes your value from???
If you fear a x/r on the turn, you shouldn´t play such hands. Not betting the turn is a VERY BIG mistake imo. I don´t think that you can play this hands profitable in the longrun. Most of the time he will c-bet the flop and you have to fold otherwise you will lose much more. Just hoping that he bets once and x/f turn is not a very good gameplan. Even if you like to float him on the flop IP you should have some sort of equity (overcards for example). 

I think the reason why you should 4-bet is that there are still people behind you, that can likely squeeze you out of the pot. And by 3-betting you can take the pot down preflop, its an easy fold vs a 4-bet, and vs a call you have the initiative and position on the flop.

Feb. 6, 2014 | 1:17 a.m.

Hand History | Earl posted in NLHE: NL Zoom: Facing cold 4b from SB with QQ in MP
BN: $82.24
SB: $81.45
BB: $20.57
UTG: $46.68
HJ: $96.35 (Hero)
CO: $114.59
Villan is a Reg at these limit 23/19 4b-Range 1% (Raise 3b 4% after 25 possibilities), and i have about 1k hands on him.
I had only 6 hands on UTG but he was playing 50/33, and i give people no credit when i have no hands from them, so i decided to 3b him.
Preflop ($0.75) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt Q Q
UTG raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $4.50, CO folds, BN folds, SB raises to $12, BB folds, UTG folds, Hero calls $7.50
We are deep enough and my call there looks pretty strong, and there is still a chance that he has AKs.
Flop ($26.25) 5 6 4 (2 Players)
SB bets $9.50, Hero calls $9.50
I guess i have to call once IP
Turn ($45.25) 5 6 4 K (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero checks
After he checks here, i think he didn´t like that card to much.
River ($45.25) 5 6 4 K 5 (2 Players)
SB bets $9.50, Hero raises to $74.85, and is all in, SB folds
At this point i realy thought he had AA there, and he may put me on KK.
Turning QQ into a bluff might still be spewy, and i would not do that against a non thinking player, but in reality I don´t have a crazy image and I am sure he knows that.
Final Pot
Hero wins $61.50

Feb. 5, 2014 | 9:06 p.m.

Comment | Earl commented on Mandatory 3 barrel 20nl

At these stakes i think people see the straight and think you never bet overpair on that river and herocall you light, cause you have to have a bluff often in their eyes

Jan. 19, 2014 | 7:52 p.m.

Comment | Earl commented on Time to move up?

red -3,1k
blue 7,3k

green 4,2k
brown 2,9k

Dec. 29, 2013 | 6:50 p.m.

Comment | Earl commented on Time to move up?

My hourly for PLO100 HU was even smaller than at NL50 Zoom... But was mostly 1-2 tabling, rarly 3 tabling. Swings are much higher too, so Std Dev was 180bb/100 for PLO HU and around 80 at NL Zoom.

I also don´t like 12 tabling, so i prefer 4 tables of Zoom, which i can handle "easily" and still be able to make some notes and look at the player stats. It´s also more competitive, cause you had to beat the playerpool, no chance to tableselect.


Dec. 28, 2013 | 5:10 p.m.

Comment | Earl commented on Time to move up?

Red line is -6bb/100 (-3k) but close to even for the last 20k hands, not sure why.

Dec. 28, 2013 | 4:28 p.m.

Comment | Earl commented on Time to move up?

I was playing PLO HU for a while on FT before black friday, but its hard to find action at midstakes. In NL HU its even worse i think. You had to split your money on few diffrent sites, which i don´t like (bad software and higher rake on small sites). You waste soooo much time waiting for donks.
I tried PLO Zoom for a while too. Played around 50k hands at PLO50, but can´t beat it, due to some tilt sessions. After that i started playing NL Zoom, and that game suits to me the most i guess. So i will stay there and hopefully grind my way up to NL500 Zoom soon and make 30k/month without RB hahaha :P

I play only on Stars now...

Dec. 28, 2013 | 12:05 p.m.

Comment | Earl commented on Time to move up?

If i just play 2 tables, i think i play to many hands. But i will try it this way...

Dec. 27, 2013 | 11:40 p.m.

Comment | Earl commented on Time to move up?

I play poker for living for 5 years now, but 90% i play live. But the games getting worse, and i have the feeling that i cant reach new goals. Also my hourly stays the same, since there are not realy higher games available.

So i decided to give it a try online. My main problem is to motivate myself to play 6-7 hours during the week, to grind something like 150k hands/month...

Dec. 27, 2013 | 11:08 p.m.

Comment | Earl commented on Time to move up?

My goal is to beat NL200 Zoom next year, so i should start to add NL100. Maybe i play 3 tables NL50 and 1 table NL100 for a while instead of playing 4 tables NL100 right away.

Dec. 27, 2013 | 10:53 p.m.

Post | Earl posted in NLHE: Time to move up?

Are 90k hands at NL50 Zoom enough to say that i beat this limit or can this just be a heater?


Dec. 27, 2013 | 7:34 p.m.

So you should be up 7k based on EV, right? Then you are a 3,5BB/100 winner which i think is good.
Imo you should not think that this is the work for 1 year, cause 100k hands can be played in 1 Month too (if you do that for living), and winning 7k/Month without RB is pretty decent!!!

Aslong as you are able to play your A-Game you should not consider quitting after you lose 3 buy in. The best way, like ZenFish says, is to play as a daily routine and don´t be to much result oriented during the session...

Oct. 29, 2013 | 7:21 p.m.

nice link, but the question i have is... How many hands u have to play to get your EV winrate? (30-50k hands enough?)

Oct. 29, 2013 | 7:05 p.m.

at 26:30 when u catch the A...
why not putting the A on top? then you are ahead against villain in top line, and u still have 8 outs to pair your middle (plus some overcards), while you have only 5 outs to improve your bottom line.
I think there is no need to put the A in the middle since u are already ahead there.

Oct. 28, 2013 | 2:02 a.m.

video about setting hands sounds good

Oct. 28, 2013 | 1:24 a.m.

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