Henritank
6 points
I think there is also a relatively high chance of a good villain turning his J or one pair hands into bluffs as he has quite some sixes in his range. If you think about it hero does not have a lot of sixes besides 67 as 65,64,68 would probably check back turn. I think a value bet is too thin and vulnerable as our range is somewhat capped and checking back is better as we do not get 2 pair to fold.
Oct. 7, 2015 | 9:42 p.m.
Its interesting in the AA hand that you say its better to make it a bit bigger to get more value and anything that hits wont fold the flop. I agree with this, but in terms of balancing your range, most of our button opening range is weak on this flop and cbetting to take it down so shouldnt we make it smaller to make our bluffs more profitable?
Oct. 7, 2015 | 9:35 p.m.
UTG: 17,334
UTG+1: 4,345
MP: 10,130
MP+1: 12,658
MP+2: 15,448 (Hero)
CO: 19,464
BN: 5,648
SB: 9,418
March 15, 2015 | 8:41 p.m.
So there is a live game where I currently live and I have never seen so many fish at once.
To maximize my profits and make sure I win most I want to ask how to play in general
in this format
The format is kind of weird. Basically there are no Blinds, but the button pays 2$ every time.
This means the button is basically the blind and if all players limp he can check or raise
and then has position the whole time.
In this game if there is no raise pre there are usually 3-6 limpers. A lot of people are
playing trash like K5o,off suit connectors and all kinds of hands.
The question I am mainly concerned about: Should I play very tight/aggressive
and just vbet my strong hands very much. Or should I also try to open limp SC
and even suited kings, offsuit connectors in position just trying to flop big and try to
stack someone. Or is playing a really tight range preferred.
For example should I call a 4x raise with 87s in position or 22 with the implied odds?
It just sucks that for e.g. when UTG 4x I call with 22 lets say someone 3bets 10x
and there are 2 callers than i am committed but having paid already 10% of my BI.
Thanks for any help
March 9, 2015 | 2:14 p.m.
QJo really a fold at 5:50 with 27BB? I think JTo is a fold there, but QJ hand has decent blockers to reshoves and we can still raise fold off that stacksize?
March 9, 2015 | 3:36 a.m.
At 15:43 with JT on J36J it is pretty obvious that you continue turn.
I wonder though, because I hear a lot of arguments for not using paired board
cards to double barrel, but wouldn't that make us really unbalanced, if we mostly chose to not double barrel paired boards. So wouldn't decent players actually fold more Double Barrels on pairing turns given that you would think they would not fold thus you won't barrel your bluffs (unless its like a really strong equity hand) - And in effect we should barrel more pairing turns against thinking villains with bluffs ?
How do I balance my range here ?
March 6, 2015 | 3:53 p.m.
That makes sense. So you are basically check calling hands that block his value range so he is likely to bluff more?
I think he can have even more bluffs on the river depending on his looseness pre. Like J8s, AJs, maybe even 56s? Also do you expect him to sometimes turn low equity midpairs like 88 or 99 into 3 barrel bluffs here if you check flop or would you always expect him to check down? I think if he does turn pairs into bluffs on flop already it makes a call better.
March 4, 2015 | 2:47 p.m.
Pre:Don't you think that it might be better to open 2.5-3x with more than 80BBs and Big Blind also being relatively deep. I guess it doesn't make to much of a difference, but I think this early I am generally not minraising.
Flop: Why do you think it is better to x/c with BDs in this spot? Would interest me. I think I would bet that wet board here, because we have to have a betting range on this flop or are you generally x/c anything but air/draws/nuts here? I think AQ/KQ/sets/draws is a good range to bet this flop since wouldn't you be too bluff heavy if you exclude really decent top pairs here?
I also don't like the fact that we are capping our range with this strong of a hand on the flop since villain should exclude any sets and overpairs on this wet texture so he could profitably 3barrel a decent amount here profitably, especially if you fold this strong holdings.
Well I guess river really depends on bluffing frequency of villain and how he perceives you. The bet is really polarized on the river and I think his value 3barelling range would be 77/QT/TT(which he might 3bet). I think QTs is in his calling range pre and he would fold QTo this deep here, so his value range is quite thin having 2 combos of QTs, 3 combos of TT and 3 combos of 77. I think that he will fire missed draws on his river a lot still since if he perceives you as good he would think that you would know of all missed draws and that you except him to maybe give up on this river card.
Interesting hand. I think I would call river here as his value range is really narrow and if he 3bets TT it is even narrower and since we don't block spades there is a ton of draws/combos that bluff the river.
March 4, 2015 | 2:14 p.m.
thanks :) now it works!
Feb. 26, 2015 | 5:38 p.m.
does the trial version not have this option? can't find it under 'hand'...
Feb. 26, 2015 | 1:14 p.m.
When I am in an advanced hand analysis, I can edit ranges.
But for me the ranges of other players don't adjust to changing someones range?
But this doesn't make sense.
Lets say Nash range is 26.8% and I change it to 5%, Player X can't 3 bet the same % of hands profitably.
Is there something wrong with the software or the software just doesn't adjust?
Also can I find a thread where everything is explained? Seem to be bit confused by some things.
Feb. 26, 2015 | 3:04 a.m.
of course its annoying. But its good that you posted, because I think a lot of players just snap call this without thinking neglecting ICM. Be happy that you made the correct call, I am guessing it was a flip.
Feb. 26, 2015 | 2:03 a.m.
you should call TT+, AQs+, AKo in this spot, so JJ is a call, but ICM does drastically reduce the range you should call here.
Feb. 25, 2015 | 6:06 p.m.
You say BTN is a tight live pro. While he could be generally tight he would still pick up on your looseness and could potentially 3bet a wide range here and use his tight image in this spot since he knows you probably either shove/fold and this is a profitable spot for him, also given that his tightness makes it less likely for blinds to squeeze.
BB asian could also pick up on this, but definitely looks strong from his perspective. But with 27BBs I think AKs being a double nut blocker is too strong to ever fold here.
Feb. 25, 2015 | 5:49 p.m.
I agree this is a fold. I would make flop and turn a bit smaller though. Flop is a real dry texture where I believe we should make it around 30-40% with all our range. I think its better since you lose much less when he c/r turn or does this river move for example.
Feb. 25, 2015 | 5:43 p.m.
SB: 18,657 (Hero)
BB: 25,196
UTG: 11,690
UTG+1: 15,413
MP: 25,704
MP+1: 21,563
MP+2: 20,427
CO: 6,903
Feb. 24, 2015 | 10:14 p.m.
MP+1: 2,630
MP+2: 2,610
CO: 2,830
BN: 4,070
SB: 2,560
BB: 3,679 (Hero)
UTG: 3,000
UTG+1: 2,900
Feb. 15, 2015 | 5:46 p.m.
at what BB level do you think shoving is fine? At 12;55 where u pick up AK this is a spot where i personally like to shove for 17BB since we have to check back a decent amount of flops that hits BBs defending range in order to not get shoved on. I heard shoving with 17bb is fine?
Feb. 14, 2015 | 2:24 p.m.
at what BB level do you think shoving is fine? At 12;55 where u pick up AK this is a spot where i personally like to shove for 17BB since we have to check back a decent amount of flops that hits BBs defending range in order to not get shoved on. I heard shoving with 17bb is fine?
Feb. 14, 2015 | 2:24 p.m.
Hey Owen.
If you want another hand history to analyze I have a 6th place in 16.50$ turbo just recently. Would really interest me where I made mistakes and so forth.
But I guess since you have a turbo format here you won't need it,
but just offering :)
Feb. 12, 2015 | 10:50 p.m.
yes sorry forgot to mention that.
Feb. 9, 2015 | 2:25 p.m.
Average stack 32K, I have 19,5K, Blinds 150/300
4 limpers in front of me, I make it 1200 in the SB(damn, that was way too small given that people were so loose and bad),
BB calls and all limpers call. Pot is 7650.
Flop comes J89r. What is the optimal play here?
I thought long about c-betting, but then decided to check, as the flop probably hits someone so hard.
BB bets 2500, one limper calls. Hero ???
Ive never in my life played a hand so badly imo, should have just bet flop, or check call, but I actually
check shoved. My initial plan was checking calling, but then I thought I needed protection as there are so many
turn cards that I hate. But now I feel like cbet for value half pot is best, but it is kind of awkward with my stack size.
Because I will definitely get one caller and what do I do on turns now?
Ah man that hand sucked...
Feb. 9, 2015 | 1:34 p.m.
Hey Owen,
wouldn't you tend to raise your sets on the flop given that you can rep a lot of draws, which might make him to commit his stack with a top pair hand?
The board is also very wet so isn't it better to raise sets?
Feb. 6, 2015 | 11:38 a.m.
I would like a theory video for MTT about the balance of betting to leave your hand uncapped or checking to balance your check backing range. I am having troubles in spots where checking back looks good, but caps my range too often, which makes me exploitable? ESSENTIAL please
Feb. 5, 2015 | 2:36 p.m.
100$ rebuy satellite for BSOP.
I have around 32K, Blinds 500/1000/100
Relatively solid, thinking player(Stack 38K) with bluffs in arsenal raises from the HJ for 2500
Button calls. I have A2hh and flat.
Flop comes K72r. Villain makes it 3,2K and I call with BDFD as well.
I think this is just the perfect spot for her to continue betting her air for
few chips since board is so dry and miss us so often and K hits her range well.
I call thinking I am ahead a good amount of the time.
Pot is about 15,4K now. Turn comes Qs. Goes check/check.
River is a 4.
Is this a good bluffing opportunity?
I know she was a thinking player. I was thinking I could rep quite a bit of Hands
such as 3 combos of 77 3 combos of 22 and a lot of Kx value betting here as well
as two pair combos(K7,K2) And I think here checking the turn caps her range.
I was thinking with what she checked back the turn and I thought there was a lot of Q
type of hands in her range such as QT,QJ,QA,Q9s,Q8s which she cbt and pot controlled now.
I think the top of her check back range on turn is Kx, where she thinks she doesn't need to
protect her hand too much and thinks she won't get 3 streets of value against me anyways.
Her range also includes a lot broadways which now have a gutshot, although i could see her
double barreling these quite some time. I also thought she had a lot of middle PPs.
So I knew her range is most likely ahead of me and if I check I lose.
What sizing is best for a bluff here? I made 8,5K but thinking now I think
its too small since she is getting 3:1. But I thought the flop is so dry
that I have to have something here on the river, unless she thought at
that point I am capable of floating OOP with air(which I am).
So now thinking that maybe a shove is the best option here?
It puts a lot of pressure on her and I think her range is relatively capped.
I think she checks back sets a lot of the time on the flop and not on the turn,
but might have one pair Kings that check back turn to get value on last street.
But I was thinking here range is more in the mid PPs and Qx type of hands,
which I definitely can fold out with a shove. It is really polarized, but I
don't think she would except me to overshove bluff too often here giving
that the hands that I can have that are bluffs after calling flops are almost always
only floats, which is not that likely for me to do anyway(out of her perspective).
Happy on ur thoughts
Feb. 5, 2015 | 2:27 p.m.
So 100$ rebuy tournament for BSOP.
We are in the freeze outphase.
Blinds 3000/6000/600. I have around 56k, average is 68k.
63 left, 22 get paid.
I know my shoving ranges pretty well 10bb in normal tournaments,
but not entirely sure how these have to differ in satellites considering ICM.
I have 33 UTG with 9 players.
BB has 1 BB left, BTN has 5 BB left, all others between 8-20 BB.
I shoved, because if I would get weak hands the next two hands I would loose another 10,2K.
I thought this was a good spot, since I still need to win chips to get through, can't fold my way through.
This might be a obvious question, but I am still unsure given the satellite implications.
Help would be appreciated. How far do we have to adjust our shoving ranges in a satellite when it
gets closer to the money?
Feb. 5, 2015 | 2:06 p.m.
isnt a shove at 11:40 with AQ fine too?
Imo it might be a bit too small 3bet because he is almost
inclined to flat with that price and what do we then do on 568 board or low
boards like that with that SPR? So i think maybe shoving gets you in less tricky spots, but I guess 3betting might induce him to shove some bluffs maybe...
I guess it also depends on his flat to 3bet in position stats, but i wouldn't like to play AQ to a flat there...
Also at 15min with 67o is it profitable to shove? BB is really tight and I guess it depends on what hands open limper is limping with, but if there is still a lot of SC in there a shove might be okay? Although i guess i do this a bit too often, shoving weakish hands in sb when people have limped and they end up calling KTo or something...
Feb. 4, 2015 | 4:04 p.m.
at 37:15 are you really always folding QJo here?
I mean yes he minraises UTG in a spot where he could shove,
but you are just getting pretty good odds to peel?
These are the spots, that are tough for me. I know
that I might easily go broke if I hit a top pair here with
these stack sizes against the top of his range(overpairs)
but a lot of pros also argue defending much more due to pot odds.
It also helps to get stolen less from in future I guess as a sub advantage.
Would you flat 67s rather than QJo as we are dominated less often
and flop really well?
How would you play 22-77 for example against this player with this stack size?
Shove/fold/call?
Feb. 4, 2015 | 3:10 p.m.
definitely do not think he was spazz bluffing pre. He never did anything stupid, was really solid.
I think bet flop check back turn and call any river except maybe ace and bet river if he checks is the best line.
Checking back flop is fine, but I do think you want to get money in with KK with this SPR and I could still be taking a lot of stabs after he checks so I think he only rarely 3bets pre and then just c/f.
Well, he had JJ and trapped me. Just thought afterwards that a check back on the turn could have saved my life and thought about what worse would call my shove here except QQ.
Hey Cameron,
good video!
I just wonder how you estimate the realisable equity.
So for example you say 65s has about 80% of realisable equity of our raw equity against villains utg opening range. How did you come up with that estimation, like how can I estimate accurately?
Oct. 23, 2015 | 7:53 p.m.