Manhat10ite's avatar

Manhat10ite

2 points

Hand History | Manhat10ite posted in MTT: EPT Sattlite tough river spot
Blinds: t300/t600 (9 Players) MP+1: 60,535
MP+2: 11,699
CO: 46,197
BN: 26,030
SB: 16,491
BB: 56,209 (Hero)
UTG: 25,036
UTG+1: 18,907
MP: 53,896
Preflop (900) Hero is BB with 9 A
2 folds, MP raises to 1,320, 5 folds, Hero calls 720
Flop (3,570) A 6 7
Hero checks, MP bets 1,499, Hero calls 1,499
Turn (6,568) A 6 7 A
Hero checks, MP bets 3,600, Hero calls 3,600
River (13,768) A 6 7 A Q
Hero checks, MP bets 7,800

Jan. 21, 2015 | 2:51 p.m.

at 27:15

You are talking about an opponent who is betting this turn very wide with all boats, AQ/AK for value, and random high card bluffs. The opponent then checks back a lot of rivers, and you said we can find very profitable calls with hands like AT.

I'm going to work on finding the solution to this, but I would guess increasing our x/r frequency is a good counter strategy. We would then be x/r with 9x for value, with seems bad because we would be running into the nuts quite often.

I'm curious if you could go into detail why you believe X/C'ing wide is the correct adjustment. rather then x/r. X/C feels right, but I'm having a hard time quantifying why x/c is so good here. Awesome video as usual, thanks

Dec. 6, 2014 | 3:53 a.m.

Yes i got the same question , i mean someone could be having 2-3 of those labels ... what label would you adjust to him and why ? 

Oct. 5, 2014 | 12:54 p.m.

18:05 Hand with 99s , can you please explain ur thinkin when u folded ? His stack is around 6300 (16bb) we got (46bb) , so you said you are flipping a lot at this spot , why not ? I mean we got a healthy stack so why not to gamble for 16BBs with 99s . I dont know in my mind is that this spot will be always profitable in the long term to get it in with him . Can you please explain me ur thinking ? Thank you 

Sept. 23, 2014 | 2:46 a.m.

Comment | Manhat10ite commented on KTo CREV analysis

At 32:35, how did you instantly change the call/fold percentages?  Looked like you used a key to swap ranges.

Aug. 18, 2014 | 12:40 a.m.

hey man what hud stats u use?

July 26, 2014 | 10:41 a.m.

Hey man cna you give me what hud stats are u using ?


July 26, 2014 | 2 a.m.

what are u hud stats option ? 

July 25, 2014 | 5:16 p.m.

Hello there, i saw you folding pocket 44s from EP kind o deep. What do you think about small pocket pairs EP . ? 

July 25, 2014 | 5:06 p.m.

Hey!,

You said at the end of the video that you are playing with an xbox controller; what program have you been using for this, Xpadder? How has this been working for you? 

I tried it found it far inferior to mouse + numberpad programmed to pot %'s.  Do you prefer it, or just nice break for your wrists.  Pretty crazy watching you play 5kPLO with xbox controller, you must be pretty confident in your skillz ;p

May 14, 2014 | 2:35 p.m.

at 43min you mention a "new defending thread" can you post a link for it?

April 21, 2014 | 3:38 a.m.

Hand History | Manhat10ite posted in MTT: 162 nightly close spot near the bubble
UTG1: 5087
LJ: 17891 (Hero)
HJ: 32022
CO: 14972
BN: 42706
SB: 32682
BB: 19226
UTG: 64686
Preflop (1200) (8 Players)
Hero was dealt A J
UTG folds, UTG1 folds, Hero raises to 1600, HJ folds, CO folds, BN folds, SB folds, BB raises to 3975, Hero folds
Final Pot
BB wins 4200

Dec. 3, 2013 | 5:56 a.m.

Nov. 10, 2013 | 3:25 p.m.

36min. Why 88 are easy fold against 15bb open shove. Villian should raising top range so we're in good situation

June 15, 2013 | 2:38 p.m.

there is this thing called variance in poker. You can go on a 1k game break even or even losing stretch in 180man sngs, what kinds of coclusions do you want to draw from a 2,5k game sample size in mtts? And the real sample size is even smaller when you think about how big an effect the high stakes mtts have on ur graph and how few of them you play compared to the lower buy ins.

Feb. 15, 2013 | 9:52 p.m.

one more thing regarding the hand: Also of course there is a difference still between cev and $ev. Even if was asked god about the difference between both plays in terms of chip ev in the long run and he said jamming is higher cev, still doesnt mean preserving the stack isnt higher $ev. I like the concept of using fear for future cev more when the chips i can potentially lose on a play dont hurt the utility of my stack. lets say calling a reshove with a 120bb stack vs 25bb stack that i think is slightly -cev but will make players shove less on me because they saw me calling very light in such a spot. Spots like this. There losing doesnt hurt the utility of ur stack, here it not only hurts that but finishes our tournament obv. hope that all makes some sense, playing on the side

Feb. 10, 2013 | 4:12 p.m.

i do have to criticize though the analysis was a bit chaotic at times. MAybe would be better to make notes with the math etc beforehand.

Feb. 10, 2013 | 3:48 p.m.

"There are plenty of +EV ways to be aggressive and attack in poker to win... especially against weaker players. Part of our job as professionals is to try and find as many as possible, to constantly be thinking about the way people are playing, adapting, and finding +EV aggressive ways to win. That creates momentum as well, but does it in a way that's +EV in the long run."

well what james is saying though is of course not that his play was -cev, just that the immediate chip ev was negative, but he thinks the aggressiveness will make up for it in the long run in the future by ppl folding to his opens more or giving up on flops more often because they are afraid to face huge overbets on future streets not knowing what to do then with marginal hands.

Basically by jamming there on the turn you are putting fear into the other players, this to me at least is the main argument for jamming turn. I am not saying though im convinced jamming is better than checking or vice versa, but i def see the logic behind the jamming play because putting fear into other players through certain plays that not always are optimal in immediate chip ev is something i do too from time to time if I am really convinced the play will have a big enough effect on the future behavior of other players against me. Its true that your shove doesnt look convincing here but the main idea for me seems to be that if the immediate ev isnt too bad because the guy has enough draws etc in his range still then the play could pay out in other ways.

I mean fear certainly does have an effect on the behavior of people, otherwise politicians and companies wouldnt use it that much through various forms of media for their own interests, but thats another topic.

Unfortunately the effect isnt really measurable while the immediate ev is easily measurable, which i like though, its nice that not everything in poker you can simply calculate.

Feb. 10, 2013 | 3:41 p.m.

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