OneMoreCrack

If you have some stats on the villain, please put some of those.

Your asumption is not correct, because a Flush is not gonna jam overbet the River, even the nutflush is unlikely to raise that River because in your range you have all the sets, all the QTo, ATo combos,+ the suited ones and some T9 combos (if not all). So I think you have to fold here always with the worse full house.

he means a K/J/8, which puts a 4 card straight out there.
i would guess that the board is better for us than for him, so we should be able to do quite some x/r-ing.
maybe calling down 99 and splitting TT and weighing the call % the bigger the more we think he will barrel light?
but against the usual, calldowny reg in the high-rake games which don't like to fold their AQ / KK / AA, but will check at one point during the hand raising might be better again

I forgot to mention these stats:

Fold to Raise after Flop CB = 51%
Fold to Raise after Turn Bet = 56%

So, how do you perceive this guy is going to do ? or better, what line do you think is better to take knowing these stats plus the ones i gave in the OP.

I´m sorry but, what do you mean by "any turn that puts 4 to a straight" ?

I would bet small OTF (something between 25 to 33% of the pot) you will have a lot of success by betting this texture, his calling range doesn´t impact very well, i think it isn´t bad to get hands like QhJh or JcTc folding, because that hands are maybe going to bluff us, and maybe we will have to fold or at least they already put us into a very awkward situation (let´s say holding AK, A5 or A4)

What is the coach´s name ? I just can´t find him here in RIO

I would never put 3 barrels valuff here, i mean, what hands do you expect him to call 3 barrels in this spot? it´s a 3Bet from BBvsMP. I think you won´t have 50%+ equity at most rivers.

So I would play bet flop, XC turn, and only if this guy is very aggressive and capable to Turn SD value hands into bluffs i would call that River.

As played, I would call this River vs Fish, because the Fish has stuff like JTo, KJo, A3-A5, etc you know, that stuff weights a lot, so i think you have more than 25% equity to call OTR, btw the fish is not gonna thin value enough to crush us, so he will have enough bluffs in his range to make a call.

You know it depends on a lot of things, like your 3Bet range against that position or like if you have a special 3Bet range vs that guy, etc.

What you want to look if you want to Call more 4Bets, is if you can realize your equity, so when the situation is close like this one, you want to look at their stats, first and the most important is his "4B range" if his range contains bluffs or not and how much% approximately, then you can look stats like CBet (IP) and XF (IP), there are a guys that don´t CBet too much and XF a lot, or a high CBet % Flop and really low CBet Turn% + high Fold vs RiverBet or XF turn (if you have enough sample of that villian) so you want to call against these guys because they allow you to realize your equity.

Hey there !

Thanks for the feedback, i would be interested in be part of a study group, share some hands and talk about strategy for sure. Type me your skype nickname or PM me it, and I´ll add you.

Thank you guys !

Think now the hand is more clear

That´s a great comment, thank you so much for replying.

Really appreciate this kind of stuff,

Cheers

I´m not sure about his calling range also calls an overbet, you just said people play scared this spots, so I think betting 3/4 on the river is way better than an overbet.

The only hand you are pointing to get value with an overbet is KQ right ? Because he doesn´t have AK (most part of the time, maybe never).

And also KQ is not always 3Betting vs UTG.

What I want to know is... if with that statistics i put up there, we have to do some adjustment with JJ.

Or if is it possible to tell me more or less how do you construct your 4Bet Range against this reg ? That would be awesome

I think 40-45% is what we can open at BTN, idk nowadays if 36% is what proper regs do, really ?