Rapha Nogueira's avatar

Rapha Nogueira

1616 points

Excellent level of play.

just two cents on 2:58 Ben's fold, even AJ97ss would raise on similar stack size scenarios (AJ96 fold). Having an A is crucial on these short stack RFI spots, even a hand as KQJ9ds isn't as valuable as AJ98ss.

May 15, 2024 | 6 p.m.

sorry, just realised now.

On a stack setup similar to what we have (people in average much shorter than the blinds), even vs SB pot sized raise pre, BB calls ~10% of his AA.

I think this was underestimated on the river size by OOP too.

May 15, 2024 | 10:45 a.m.

I am sorry, did misread the action. Le's hand in my mind was such a fold that I didn't even see his raise lol.

Two of the largest stacks on the blinds and you are tied with Joao at the bottom. Picking up the blinds on this setup is highly unlikely.

At 30bb for everyone it is a 50/50 hand, at the real stack setup I would say it is a fold. Later can check on monker.

May 11, 2024 | 1:44 p.m.

Top tier, as always.

3:49 River size, especially blocking an A seems a bit too large, especially at a FT that IP given risk premium would be much more restrictive on calls. Seth probably does just call pre a bunch of weak AA on this spot too. Block seems to accomplish way more.

The turn donk sizing could be a point of discussion. Range wise it is a better card for OOP than IP, but does straights bet this large? 2p+gutter seems natural to lead given the positions. A smaller bet (like half-pot) might be sufficient to put pressure on IP while allowing them to call with a wider range, including overpairs and draws.

May 9, 2024 | 8:18 p.m.

Day 4 on the oven already =)

Jan. 17, 2024 | 2:10 p.m.

Greetings, I'm Rapha!

I've been a member of RIO since I can remember, as a poker enthusiast through and through. While I haven't been very active in the past few years, I always come back to check out the videos and threads. I especially love the journaling section of the forum, and I'm excited to start a new one myself.

These days, I'm playing PLO6 up to 25/50. Poker has never been my sole focus - I've always had other ventures on the side - but it remains my passion. I'm looking for a challenge that excites me and might resonate with the lower stakes crowd, something that generally won't eat up too much of my time.

I'm not a PLO4 specialist, but I've played a decent amount of it heads-up, and I'm currently more focused on PLO High Low and PLO6 High. Mistakes will inevitably happen, but hopefully someone on the thread can help me learn and improve.

I've been playing poker for almost 10 years now, and it's definitely shaped me as a person in many ways. So, feel free to stop by and chat!

(I know this isn't the easiest challenge ever but if I don't make it one day, I will start over to make the streak the longest! I am recording with Loom but audio is a bit out of sync, hopefully I can get this fixed for day4)

Best regards,


Jan. 16, 2024 | 1:31 p.m.

In a vacuum, it is a no brainer call. On this specific situation, given its 4 way on the flop, rainbow board and people don't know even what they are supposed to bluff with, KK is a lot of times more likely than KQ.

Dec. 20, 2023 | 9:32 p.m.

Not connected enough for multi-way scenarios and your pair decreases the value of your hand. Can't continue pre.

Dec. 20, 2023 | 9:27 p.m.

3 would be relevant if there was enough 73/T3/83 on his range. If there is a minimal amount on preflop range, most of it would lay it down turn if there is no equity to go with it. Probably having a 7 or 8 is more relevant if you are considering the blocker factor. It is such a small portion that really doesn't matter. It is probably a jam in theory, you have equity, polarity and position in your favour. Would play the same.

Feb. 16, 2023 | 12:45 a.m.

Not sure if BB calls 77-88 even 50% of the time pre. Seems a spot that 99 is getting insane odds but his range is too dense on TT+. Most unpaired hands are isolating pre as well. I don't see any worse hands betting the flop frequently as well.

July 20, 2022 | 8:25 p.m.

Luke Johnson sorry, I missed the timestamp and can't find it anymore. Anyway, was J8o on the button, DavyJones on the SB and Nacho on BB $10/$20 table.

Nov. 27, 2021 | 3:22 p.m.

13:34 left-hand table. vs pot-sized bet on the turn, this hand gets into your continuing range (against an average opponent)?

Nov. 24, 2021 | 11:29 p.m.

37:12 bottom left, J8o fold. Given that 10/20 run low on the rake and the weaker player is on the BB isn't this an open? Would you rather open another hand class instead of J8o at this more fringy hands? As always, crystal clear high-stakes video.

Nov. 24, 2021 | 10:28 p.m.

Just pointing out at 3:05 left-hand table, rake on those HU games is gigantic (way larger than the already huge on 6max) so limping does decrease in EV by a large portion. Probably too weak to 3x and too strong to fold. Not sure if there is some smaller raise sizing going on at sims.

Nov. 24, 2021 | 7:20 p.m.

3:15 top right. if IP pots (vs lead or not), are you continuing with that hand? Assuming that IP generally gets it in with AA+nfd/strong draws I don't see that as a continuation and probably naked AA are naturally checking IP on that board even with that SPR. So as you stated later probably checking generates more EV and visibility for this hand.

Nov. 23, 2021 | 12:07 p.m.

28:42 Top left. Interesting hand. Didn't run a sim yet but Th seems a higher frequency bet than check with his hand class. Does A4 need to bluff vs bet so often when you can use of 2x/3x+straight blocker as bluffs too?

Nov. 22, 2021 | 11:59 p.m.

38:31. Really interesting hand on the left-hand table. As far side cards go, having no spade or club seems to be better to have it and 44 doesn't seem to hurt a lot when OOP shouldn't have that many 4's on their bluffing range either when it doesn't block either boats or straights. At first glance, I thought you can have a better 96 to call with but this one doesn't seem that bad. Can you touch a bit on what you expect the side card's relevance? Thanks, really well-documented video.

Nov. 22, 2021 | 2:33 p.m.

6:19 right table. When he narrows his range to flushs+ (I assumed that!) coming from a T76 texture I assume that at 100bb's a lot of fd's+bdoor equity are going to play more aggressively especially when IP bets 1/2. So his value range is way more strict than it would vs a larger flop cbet or a more dry flop texture.
Then I ran a sim and found that some of the non-flushes/straights can bet 2x pot vs 1/2-check line. Interesting! Maybe it is not just as common for humans. Flushes are mixing quite a lot, ranging from 75% to 500% pot, maybe very sensitive to IP strategy setup.

Nov. 22, 2021 | 12:18 p.m.

Luke Johnson sorry 48:03, table 3, the one you got the K9.

Sept. 27, 2021 | 4:54 p.m.

Tier 1 content. Curious about what is the value betting threshold for that sizing OTR. A5+ seems good enough but how the side card along with a 5 impacts the threshold here.

Sept. 25, 2021 | 12:33 a.m.

Glad to see O8 content, thanks for bringing it in Kevin!

Hand 2 @20:38. I wonder about having a larger size on this turn (not necessarily pot). If we start spliting our range OTT, 4d is a decisive card. Having 4c blocks a touch of improves from OOP and not having any diamond makes OOP more likely to continue vs larger sizings. If IP has 53 (with diamonds or not) he has incentive to bet larger since it is an uncounterfeitable low draw and the nut high. Probably not high enough to scare away AA+low/AdXd+low but to exploit how weak in general OOP range is when he checks OOP on this turn that counterfeits the flop nut low. I agree with river sizing, OOP probably only calls flush+63 and putting maximum pressure on that seems the right play.

Hand 3 @29:03. Probably a hand like A6554 (hand is good enough for the high) would perform much better than A662 as a bluff. No flush 62 would be a better candidate to raise vs somewhat weak OOP range but having two 5's does much more in blocking effects than 62.

Sept. 21, 2021 | 1:45 p.m.

Against wide openers it is a jam and against tight openers is a right away fold. May choose to shove as a bluff AQs instead of 99 since it has more equity when called and gets called less often due to blockers.

Dec. 5, 2020 | 11:36 p.m.

The call is losing slightly from just a $ev standpoint. Busting the one of the best MTT players on the table and putting yourself in 2nd to challenge a larger share of the prize pool probably fills that gap from the negativity on expected ICM value. If he loses he is tied with ben and not that far away from EEE27 as well. I don't think that can be classified as a punt.

July 26, 2020 | 3:01 a.m.

Hardest poker variant (with reasonable action) to be very good at it

Dec. 17, 2019 | 7:09 p.m.

QQ-TT should bet more frequently than AA-KK due to protection reasons OTF so having this particular combo may be harmful card removal on effects. Considering the amount of possible gutshots+ on the turn that bricked on the river on a runout that doesn't improve any of them, given that there is less than PSB left bluff frequency should decrease significantly. This probably has way different solutions on 40-80bb. On the turn I have you bluffing 3 combos (~26%) and river 1.5 combos of QTo. When 80bb, QTo enters more often on the 2 PSB sizing. The main problem of this hand is that you are too shallow to threaten stacks by repping only 8x+

Aug. 28, 2019 | 9:02 p.m.

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