__data__'s avatar


23 points

the sound is so tilting. there is someone in the background blowing into a pipe each time you talk. very good tuition as usual

Sept. 30, 2016 | 1:33 a.m.

awful sound, careful with that microphone! love you though, and such a privilege to be able to learn from you

Sept. 5, 2016 | 3:21 p.m.

you are a great teacher, but please can you pay more attention to sound quality - it's painful to listen to this!

Sept. 11, 2015 | 4:12 p.m.

enjoyed it very much, and I would like to see some more videos on other variants of poker. I'd like to know what more experienced players in these games thought about the shove 23m in which you were happy about vs Cole. In my experience when the the players gamble in such spots the nut flush draw is so heavily likely to be out there. If we assumed that you were up against a3hh-x-x-x say 70% of the time what does your equity look like then? Or maybe better question is how low does his frequency of having a3hh-x-x-x or a dominating flush draw + a3 have to be in order to make our shove ok?

May 20, 2015 | 7:26 p.m.

only problem with this stuff is once you finish the work then humans can't play the game any more. i guess if you don't do it someone else will, essentially it's all over and we can't play poker online any more.

Nov. 28, 2014 | 2:23 p.m.

51.30 open raise/call with 889jhhh from co. I also don't love this but it is possible it might be fairly neutral ev. propokertools rates it as top ~26% hand here, and when button folds you stand well. I think it may be an option to fold to the btn 3bet given the multiple problems you have now: a) you have 3 hearts in your hand b) some of the time you flop well he will shut down, 689, 789, 89t, 89j etc c) some of the higher flops you will be dominated by his range, and may have trouble with non-nut draws, or 2nd nut str8s. noone ever seems to fold pre, but there ought to be some situations where it is best?

Nov. 28, 2014 | 7:08 a.m.

nice video. although your style is a bit spewy at times, you have definitely got the better of me before in the past, so it's got some merit and very instructive to have you talk through it.
3rd from sun

Oct. 21, 2014 | 10:47 a.m.

I don't think he's checking back any wraps. I think his range that checks back and raises turn lead consists of a-k/q/j-t-x quite a bit which could well have a 3 with it. It also contains high pairs which have turned equity aa/kk/qq-2-4 and aa-2/4-x maybe also ak-8-3ds, ak53 type stuff that realises that most rivers aren't going to help much and you are going to be barrelling a lot. With this in mind I think your play is good. The only hands you can hero call successfully would be 246-x, a24x, you block checked behind wraps. Just not enough bluffs. He is a reasonable player too, and can take tricky lines

Aug. 7, 2014 | 6:08 p.m.

either would be great, all your videos are excellent in my opinion, but marginally i would prefer you to continue with your initial plan with this HU. I'm a plo player, but I've learnt loads of things that can be applied in the 4 card variant so thanks v much

Aug. 6, 2014 | 1:12 a.m.

Comment | __data__ commented on Interesting spot...

I am bipolar, I wouldn't worry too much about these comments against you. First of all being bipolar is not that bad. Secondly this comment is probably being made by an eighteen year-old who knows very little about the world. If you continue to get upset by comments in poker then turn the chat off, nothing of any worth is ever said 

July 6, 2014 | 5:33 p.m.

Comment | __data__ commented on Success Formula

Tilt is your main problem. Work out a plan to avoid tilting. Sometimes you can discover that actually it was something like an uncomfortable seat that was aggravating you or a hot stuffy room, or noise from the room next door. Or sometimes you can find that you play well for two hours but then are prone to tilt as really you have become very tired and want a break. Of course your poker strategy comes into it too and how you are running. Whatever it is that is making you tilt you must understand this and fix this problem. until you have  done this I would say all other aspects of the game are irrelevant, because your edge on others when you play well is irrelevant compared to their edge on you when you are tilting

July 6, 2014 | 5:18 p.m.

19.20 i think you are always folding without the Qh. likely flush combos he is value betting on turn+river.... 


kj,kt,k9,k7,k5,k4,k3,k2 (I think he'll defend akqx suited to king)


(19 combos)

hands you've blocked with Qh:



qj, qt, q9, q7, q5, q4, q3, q2 (assuming he'll defend some akqx suited to queen, some kqjx suited to queen, some qqxx suited to queen)

(10 combos)

let's say 1/3 of the combos have been subtracted from his value range. my question is does this really change a fold into a call here? you need to be right 27%, so if he has it 40% of time when you don't have the Qh, and so now with the discounted third it's dropping the the area where you can call. this is excluding the chances of him bluffing with a better hand, but let's leave them out at the moment. 

My problem is that you are always talking about card removal, but you don't talk very much about proportions of the hands which we are discounting. if we are only blocking 1/4 of the flushes does this change it to a fold? I'd like to know more precisely what is going on. 

Thanks very much for your time

June 24, 2014 | 4:09 p.m.

If you are going to include gutshots as hands that may continue then why haven't you included pairs which will have 5 outs a lot of the time and may also be ahead even ?

June 20, 2014 | 10:02 a.m.

..... It's time to find out what he is up to

June 8, 2014 | 11:26 p.m.

I think it's a clear call on the turn. I would lean towards a fold in a vacuum but with this player I think you have the perfect hand to call here, and call a lot of rivers. You do have some blockers, blocking ak, aq a little, and a ten to block jt a little a heart to block hearts, and a club to block that draw too. So with all the legitimate hands a little less likely and with your opponents recent show of aggression I think this call is mandatory. But raising the turn seems wrong, as a previous comment said, allows him to play correctly. If he has some junky jjxx hand that he's determined to barrel off we need to let him fire this. If he has aq a call might well slow him down, and with so many flushes completing on riv, ak hands may fail to extract any more value from you. Another bonus is that the cards that improve you he could well be bluffing or paying you off also, as a 5 won't be seen as a super dangerous card to a jt, and missed flush draws may well bluff this card and his jjxx might go for it anyway even tho he isn't repping the nuts any more figuring that you can have missed draws with a single queen etc. 

I think if you are being run over a bit then 

June 8, 2014 | 11:25 p.m.

I agree about the flop 3ball sizing. You are very keen to put the remainder of your money in now but what is opponents range? I can't imagine why 222 would flat your small 3bet and see a turn so let's discount all sets. If he has same hand as you I think he also probably wont take this line, because there won't be cards to improve his hand, if he has 5867 or 5834 or 58+gutter he's going with that on flop all day imo. So what is left? Can he play dry aaxx, kkxx the in this way? Highly unlikely. How about a hand like jj67? Now that would fit, something that is now hating life that he's bloated the pot, but your 3ball is so small that he can't fold his equity. I think any 67+ pair actually might take this line eg a567, a678, . Then there's the wraps 346, 467, 679, which make sense with this line. It used to be standard to just shove your wrap there and simplify the hand but these days I think it's more standard to see the turn with it. Then what is proportion of time he has you beat on this turn vs the amount he is still drawing? If it was half and half then I think shoving is going to lose because I think he'll fold 67+pair now and you will be 12% vs a str8, so ev = .5x372 + .5x(-415x.88)= zero ish. But as hé starts to have wraps more often this will quickly turn bad. Checking to induce vs that range is more complex as he might check 67+ pair behind also. If he say checks behind 67+ pair 50% and shoves other 50% then we get it in better when we do induce the turn shove but we lose the smaller pot to a river suckout 16% of the time. This starts to look like a good idea but it's getting murky very quickly if we start imagining that he somehow has 89tj and has played his backdoor + bigger two pairs equity on flop. In summary crappy turn spot because of small flop 3ball, and I suspect that you are against a wrap much more often than 50% anyway, and perhaps should even be starting to think of c/f this turn. 

June 8, 2014 | 9:14 a.m.

The reason I wanted to comment on this post is because I have lost a lot of money playing this way. My hope is always that I need to represent enough strength in order to stop him wanting to bluff. But it doesn't work, a good player knows your range is capped and bluffs you anyway especially if they have good reads on you, and not seen many big bluff catches, they will bluff you until you give them reason not to. I have realised that calling turn to decide on river is just setting yourself up to be in a tough spot. You want to be the person tricking your opponent and putting them off their game somehow, putting them to the decision. You want to be the aggressor rather than the hero call detective. For this reason I think try to avoid spots where you can only beat bluffs, have given him the aggressive lead and have cornered yourself into the hero call detective role. 

June 7, 2014 | 5:08 p.m.

I think to bet call $370 on turn and fold river just has to be wrong but piecing together why is more tricky. I guess firstly you have said bb is a good player, and these guys they don't wimp out on their bluffs just because you call once. He knows after your flop check that you are almost never Kq plus there is more kq in his range than yours. There is also more aq and kk in his range. I think either fold when you get raised on turn or call it down all the way. Your hand doesn't improve for a river card. I think if you are playing a river it's either to draw a card to beat him or it's to call down with what you have, you can't do the first and you didn't do the second, so I think here you got $370 stripped from you by someone with a better strategy. 

June 7, 2014 | 2:11 a.m.

I think this is very standard to both 3bet pre and bet flop with whole 3betting range. C-R flop is weaker imo as it narrows your range and gives the ip player the chance to make easier huge bluffs/value bets with the changed boards. Also what hands do you bluff checkraise flop with? Calling pre is fine too this deep and is a good way to reduce your variance . 

June 7, 2014 | 1:56 a.m.

I think pre I personally have started to fold this hand vs agro fish because it's so hard to flop something and get it in good. The low flops don't come v often at all and you will rarely be dominating him if the money goes in. When someone is playing so spazzy I prefer to just wait and exploit them by playing tight. After you raise and are 3bet I think folding is ok vs 17% as you only lose $4. Again I think when you are playing someone very bad it's just a matter of time before they make a huge mistake and there is no urgency to get playing 3bet pots with such a marginal hand. He may be playing loose but he is also definitely 3balling all the good hands too, and although he's terrible I think you may still be underestimating him if you think he can't beat your hand with 17%. Calling the 3bet is ok too and I would rate this as about equal to folding. After he checks flop the bet is clear. On the nine of clubs I think checking behind is far superior because I feel like when you have very little chance to cause him to make a big mistake now and a sizeable chance of making a big mistake yourself. When someone is oop their main weapon is the check raise. The main defence to the check raise is the check behind. When he check calls the 723 and gets a nine I feel I would be very cautious to bloat this pot now as his getting in range will be a better two pair plus which  has us so crushed, or a big draw which will be flipping, and I think the idea of checking back and calling a lot of rivers will be more profitable. You can pick off a lot of bluffs and minimize damage vs better hands. But again I come back to the point pre which is that you can bypass the turmoil of the turn decision completely by not being in the hand in the first place with something that will very often have you puzzled about whether your bottom two pairs can possibly be good here in this massive pot. 

June 7, 2014 | 1:12 a.m.

On the river your equity vs 6% is 24%. Although he has chosen a stranger line here, I am not sure that it gives ground to change the estimate to above 30% which is what it needs to be for a call. V close tho

May 30, 2014 | 11:32 a.m.

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