alefito6804
1 points
UTG1: $9.15
UTG2: $25.29
LJ: $28.62
HJ: $25
CO: $41.37
BN: $35.50
SB: $25
BB: $41.09 (Hero)
tbh im not sure if he's a reg, i believe he is but not a 100% sure. He has a pretty high 3bet% for FR and he was 3beting a reg with a high fold to 3bet, so he's probably very polarized. There could be an argument to flat pre, but decided not to since the other reg would probably call as well if i flat and it awkward postflop.
My sizing pre is probably bad tho because we are deep, i should've probably make it a little bigger.
UTG folds, UTG1 folds, UTG2 folds, LJ raises to $0.75, HJ folds, CO folds, BN raises to $2.15, SB folds, Hero raises to $4.96, LJ folds, BN calls $2.81
If i bet he folds AK, probably calls with QQ+ and im not sure how wider can his range be, he might be calling pre with random suited hands, like T9s JTs and stuff which given the nittyness of 25NL FR he'd probably give it up or at least should.
Aug. 29, 2014 | 5:13 a.m.
CO: $25
BN: $17
SB: $30.39 (Hero)
BB: $25.35
UTG: $10
He's definitely on the looser side of FR (table was breaking but it's FR )
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO raises to $0.60, BN folds, Hero raises to $2.05, BB folds, CO calls $1.45
March 12, 2014 | 12:53 a.m.
hah yeah kinda figured that i was answering my own question but i wanted to see other thoughts, thanks for your comment!
March 6, 2014 | 9:32 p.m.
Hi guys, i understand the concept of MDF%, what im struggling to understand is how to apply it at the tables.
let's put a simple example, hero opens in MP to 3bb BTN 3bets to 9bb. BTN is risking 9bb in order to win 3bb + 1.5bb + 9. 9 / 13.5 = 0,66. So we need to defend at least 33% of our opening range.
lets say that our raise 1st in MP is 15%, theoretically we need to defend at least 4,95% of our range.
now in example A BTN is a 9/8 nit with 1% 3bet
example B BTN is a 60/40 whale with 50% 3bet
Both of them 3bet to the same sizing, theoretically we need to defend AT LEAST 4,95% against both of them when they 3bet us. But while defending that range against player A is a recipe for disaster, defending that range against player B is rather too tight. Against player B we just defend wider, but how about player A? i mean the best way to go here is to be exploitable and defend less than we should.
How does MDF% matter when a mega nit bets the river to 1/3 pot forcing us to defend x% of combos when we know that he's never betting nothing but the nuts? i mean MDF is based on bet sizes and pot sizes but it doesn't take into account player tendencies.
Hope it's clear what my doubt it :D
March 5, 2014 | 11:25 p.m.
Thanks tyler. Do you think it's ok to check again OTT or you prefer a bet? if so how would you play the river?
March 5, 2014 | 5:26 a.m.
UTG: $8.82
UTG1: $19.81
LJ: $68.84
HJ: $20.09
CO: $30.22
BN: $26.95
SB: $25.10
UTG folds, UTG1 calls $0.25, LJ raises to $1, HJ folds, CO folds, BN folds, SB folds, Hero raises to $2.88, UTG1 folds, LJ calls $1.88
If i bet the turn im not sure what should i do OTR, i don't really expect to have value from anything worse, probably just check/fold ?
March 4, 2014 | 8:37 p.m.
Thanks for your comment, the math may be wrong, i did the same that we do when we calculate the MDF% when someone 4bets us for example. lets say that a 100bb reg opens in EP to 3bb, we 3bet him to 9bb, he 4bets to 20bb, he is risking 17bb to win 3bb+9bb+1.5bb+17.
17 / 30.5 = 0,55 , we need to defend 1-a = 1 - 0.55 = 0.45 45% our range
In the shortie example maybe its different because we are all in and he gets to materialize his equity (? im not sure if that's what you mean when you say that he is not actually risking 37,5bb when he jams.
Also my example is not really the best because as you say if he's only jamming 7,5% of his range and folding the rest he would be folding 85% to 3bets. That's why i asked how would it change if we also add him a call 3bet range.
March 4, 2014 | 1:05 a.m.
Hi guys, i was trying to figure out what 3bet % could i have against shortstacks in BW situation. I kinda suck at game-theory-math so please bear with me :D
Lets suppose that a shortie is opening a 50% range from the btn and he's 4beting 15%. His 4bet range would be 7,5. For the purpose of what im trying to calculate im assuming that he doesn't have a flatting range, he's either 4beting or folding.
He opens to 2,5bb SB folds (0,5bb) i 3bet to 7bb and he shoves to 40b.
He is risking 37,5bb to win 2.5bb + 0.5bb + 7bb + 37.5
37.5 / 47.5 = 0,79
1-a = 1 - 0.79 = 0.21
So we need to defend "only" 21% of our 3beting range
Now, against a 7,5% 4bet range we could call his shove with something like 88+ AQo+ AQs+ which is a 5,58% range. If we only need to defend 21% of our 3beting range below im calculating how much we could be our total 3bet %
5.58/ x = 0.21
5.58/0.21 = x
x = 26.5
x = total 3bet = 26.5%
Is this correct or did i do something wrong? how would this scenario change if he's not only 4beting that range but he also has a call 3bet range? If i wanted to have a cold calling range , not only a 3betting range do i still get to 3bet as much as that or we need to 3bet less?
Thanks!
i play 16/13/5 which is pretty std at FR, i dont have a crazy image at all. Board isn't great as you say but i still think that he's folding enough for it to be profitable. Since he's folding a lot OTF the problem of betting the turn is that his range is going to be very Qx heavy but i do think that he's still gonna have some floats + some pps like 99 TT JJ.
Do you think it's better to just check fold the flop?
March 12, 2014 | 3:05 a.m.