Thanks Pedro. If anyone is curious, the question sparked a good discussion over on 2p2, where one user ran some PIO sims. Worth a look IMO:
March 9, 2019 | 12:45 a.m.
I think 22-25 people were left, field was 600 or so entries, $45000 for 1st in a $180,000 prize pool (WSOP online tourneys seem to be quite top heavy). No reads on villain at the time of hand.
UTG: (24 bb)
LJ: (50 bb)
HJ: (24 bb)
CO: (53 bb)
BU: (18 bb)
SB : (21 bb)
BB (Hero): (35 bb)
Pre-Flop: (120) Hero is BB with A♠6♠
fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, SB calls 0.5bb, BB shoves
Only dynamic was 10 hands ago SB had limped and folded to my 3.5bb iso.
My question is, should we jam here or check back pre? I think that raising non all in is bad because we can't call any jam from villain and as such we're throwing away the equity of our hand.
I find myself in these spots a lot, and I think at ~15bb or under effective it's a clear jam, but at what stack depth do we start to check back and play flops with A6s?
March 5, 2019 | 6:20 a.m.
Around the 46:45 mark, you're talking about having J8s and saying that if you know a limpshove isn't coming, that you might have to be calling in that spot--later, you mention that we're seeing a limpshove, but it seems at that point your commentary is on SenorPokes on the right-hand table, despite the J8s hand being from the left table. I just want to make sure I'm not going crazy here hahaha
Jan. 10, 2019 | 6:32 p.m.
I think he means that the fold is better if he's holding a heart, as this reduces the number of combos the opponent can have of FDs, and thus increases the probability that opponent is holding a value combo. As such, the fold becomes better, as it's less likely villain is holding a FD combo that Ben could float turn and bet river, or raise turn, to make fold.
Or, I'm totally wrong :) the comment from him confused me as well.
Jan. 5, 2019 | 12:03 a.m.
New to Pineapple, came across a spot that gave me trouble. Maybe there's a standard approach.
Initial 5: KK QcJc 2
I believe I went with KK/2/QJ. Was also considering QJcc/2/KK for the most aggro approach.
This was first to act btw.
Oct. 16, 2015 | 5:30 p.m.
you can arrive at ~.3 using the "standard" formula as well should you so desire, assuming that's what the alpha bit is expressing:
to call: 3850-1111=2739
odds: (5581/2739)= ~2.038
equity needed to call=(1/(1+2.038))=~33%
Assumption: The c/r is a bluff, and so any call we make will win the pot with 100% frequency. Thus there is an equality between the rate at which we call and the rate at which we win. Then, from King Viktor's standpoint, if we're calling over 33%, we're showing a profit vs. his bluff, and so the bluff is a losing play.
Sept. 18, 2015 | 9:43 p.m.
Can't wait for the wide BB defense video series. It's something I engage in, and while certain peels are clearly profitable, other closer ones I'm unsure about, and there isn't much material on it out there.
Will this series be theory/math based (to form a foundation) or HH review based?
Aug. 5, 2015 | 5:36 p.m.
In the middle of watching at the moment so no specific comments, but I've watched most of your content and it's really, really solid stuff. It surpasses a good portion of the Elite MTT content I've reviewed so far.
but what in the world is a gruaiggorm?
July 15, 2015 | 8:28 p.m.
This of course assumes he's shoving "correctly" here, but even barring that (as I agree he's almost certainly shoving far more than 8% here), we'd have to make some pretty strong assumptions about the degree to which his pushing range here is too wide to have KTo enter our calling range