Amazing idea for a series. Other hands that might be interesting to see the life of: 22, ATo.
My experience with the pool is that there are many players who barrel turn after a flop xr far more than they should according to pio. Do you agree, and against such a player how would you adjust? Is 87s no bdfd potentially a fold on the flop since they wont let us get to showdown as much as they should?
Dec. 1, 2019 | 6:47 p.m.
Im trying to understand what makes a busted FD a good bluff when checked down. My understanding is this:
If we compare 75dd and 75hh as potential bluffs:
75hh has many bluff targets: hands with 7d or 5d in them.
but the equivalent hands for 75dd (those with 7h and 5h) are much less likely in villain's range.
So the general hueristic is: the more our cards are blockers to strong draws in the villain's flop and turn range, the better our hand is as a bluff. correct?
Oct. 25, 2019 | 6:43 a.m.
Hi Pete, I'm trying to understand your 3! sizing strategy. For example at 10:40 you seem to make it 3.6x vs the co's 2.75x open. Very roughly, what is your approach to different sizings OOP and IP?
Oct. 20, 2019 | 6:29 a.m.
Hi Darren, in your PIO sim, the defend range looked really wierd to me (though im more used to classic bb vs co spots, i dont think this spot should be too dissimilar). I would imagine putting in K8o ahead of 72s as a +EV, and so on. Am I badly mistaken about this?
Oct. 15, 2019 | 7:19 a.m.
Hi Henry, At 15:29 wondering about what your river continue range would be. Are you checking the A hi here because you have the ghost of a showdown value? You say not having a heart is a bad thing, but don't you think not having Ah unblocks a lot his turn peeling range that would have to give up now? Would you consider Ks as one of the worse rivers for you?
Oct. 12, 2019 | 4:24 p.m.
Looking at your sim, I noticed that you give rec 0 AK in his range, but I think many recs will have some. I think the river play might depend on this a lot. AK particular with Kh/Ah might be called more IP by villain leading to a more profitable shove for us. wdyt?
Oct. 10, 2019 | 3:57 p.m.
Great video....I have 2 questions.
UTG vs SB 3!. Is QTs a standard call? Is it because sizing is on smaller side?
Last hand, you didn't show us what the solver would do as OOP on this river at equilibrium vs a shove. Vs recs folding seems fine because of lack of natural bluffs, but will solver find enough bluffs to make it a call?
Oct. 10, 2019 | 3:54 p.m.
This is an awesome video...I even learned a new concept, "blocking your own value". It makes a lot of sense, but often do you think you use it in practice?
Disagree with those who want to start with a hand history, to me this format is a much more efficient way to learn.
Aug. 14, 2019 | 9:17 p.m.
I have been invited to a private game where they either play 2.5/5 with a rake of 3.5% uncapped or 5/10 with a rake of 3% uncapped. Stacks are mostly pretty deep and players are bad. There are also jackpots paid for from the rake pool (any full house KK over JJ gets a high hand bonus), also there might be a rakeback deal possible if I play enough. The games are full ring 90% of the time, but sometimes game gets short and people continue playing.
Does this sound like a beatable structure? Looking at my online db, it seems like the average pot in a FR game t is ~18.5 bb, so at the 2.5/5 game that comes to an average of 3.24 /hand and at 5/10 it's 5.5/hand. So that's probably beatable because the local 3/5 game drops 5/hand except where there is no drop and the 5/10 is like 6/hand, and those are definitely beatable.
Am I missing something?
Aug. 12, 2018 | 1:11 a.m.
Overall, fantastic video. However, I have a question.
If we are assuming a villain who has such an exploitable c-bet strategy, shouldn't we be even more exploitable on the river by value betting something like 2/3rd pot with K9? In my experience, we are unlikely to get value from such villains by overbetting. Since we are node-locking an exploitable strategy on the flop but then assuming optimal play from turn onwards, it feels like we end up with a strategy which is good against practically no-one.
Re: QsQx. What if you take your second sim (node-locked unbalanced cbet), then unlock your QQ combos and re-run the sim? How much PIO uses QsQx as part of a weak capped checking range can tell you something about its role in the optimal solution.
July 25, 2017 | 5:13 p.m.
Hi Julian, Good video in general, but there seems to be some inconsistency in your reasoning at times. E.g. in the JT2tt with OOP overbet analysis, we see that PIO is checking sets on flop a lot, so it must be a reasonable strategy. But then later on you say that checking sets on flop is suicidal ?