chasinjoy's avatar


4 points

I think in position 112bb deep, a person can definitely have a 2 -- especially for only 8bb. For example I would have A2ss IP for only 8 bb, and I would be floating the flop. 

I also think AJ will raise the turn a % of the time to protect its equity since we're not that deep. 

So since there aren't that many Jx (or hands of relative equal value) hands that are calling the river to a jam, we could bet smaller to induce, or we could check/call.  If I am villain, I think I am jamming a ton of my missed draws on this river, because it's a sucky spot for when the hero has 1p hands.  

March 25, 2014 | 5:15 p.m.

What's going on on the river? This shove would make even 44 stop and think before calling (though 44 raises the turn a high% of the time), so I think you're turning your hand into a bluff.

If all Jx are folding the river then wouldn't a c/c be better?  Even then I wouldn't fist pump call.

March 25, 2014 | 3:54 p.m.

how many queens are you c-betting on this board? of those how many are you checking behind on the turn? 

You're betting the top of your range (2p, sets, straights) almost always on the turn. 

I'd look you up a lot on the river since you checked behind; also you're not repping much. You could have flush draws, gutters, and pair+draw combos on the turn, and I don't think all of your queens are c-betting this flop, and it makes absolutely no sense for you to make this raise with AK.

March 23, 2014 | 10:39 p.m.

Villain sounds insanely tight to me (over 1000 hands!), and your range looks insanely strong on the turn. especially because you check raised the flop.  

How often are you c/c'ing this flop, vs c/r'ing, vs c/f'ing?  I don't think you're check-raising KK-AA on the flop here (if you are, I really don't think you should), so your hand-range here looks insanely strong. Considering stack sizes are weird, and I never feel great getting hands in on this board with anything but KQ, I wouldn't mind check/calling a lot of my range here (though I might just bet-bet-bet vs really fishy players). It keeps your KQo in your c/c range (with intentions of leading turns, CRAI on some turns, and maybe c/c on some turns too), and strengthens it. Also, wouldn't really have pure bluffs here (it's such a tough board to continue on OOP), and would hate to get blown off of any semi-bluffs if I were reraised.

As played, I might consider re-c/r'ing the turn, or betting smaller, especially with the stack sizes.

March 23, 2014 | 10:26 p.m.

Yes, my default here is to jam the river close to always, though that changes depending on my image and history with villain, and I would prefer if we didn't hold the ten.

When he calls the flop his range looks like AXcc, JTcc, diamond draws, 33, some combos of 88-AA, KQ, and some AKdx thrown in and small % of random floats. 

His range doesn't change a ton on the turn.

When the river bricks, it bricks for us as well as him, but we have a stronger top range; we'll get paid off when we have it on the river, and we'll make him fold a lot, and we'll also lose sometimes like this.

March 23, 2014 | 9:28 p.m.

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