Didier Guerin's avatar

Didier Guerin

7 points

July 11, 2013 | 3:59 a.m.

Great intro.

9.22 AQdd: do you mind elaborating on the 3b/c? what size do you like 3bing to, and what range do we expect villain to pile vs us?

May 23, 2013 | 6:54 p.m.

Loving the dual commentary. More more more.

May 22, 2013 | 6:51 p.m.

Am finding a fold very often, it's the main event, people suck at poker and we can find way easier spots. I like what one of the posters above mentioned about how one of the good players in this hand busting also increases our edge on the table.

Dec. 28, 2012 | 11:57 p.m.

Before viewing the next hand I'd ask you to pause the replayer vs the flop raise.

http://www.pokerhandreplays.com/view.php/id/4771070 - 3.3k Warmup at 2012 ACOP Macau

(Apologise for the sh**ty replayer. Notes: Ante was 25, therefore pot size on the flop was more around T2800, also my actual stack was somewhere closer to 45k and obv all the other stacks marked as having 30k aren't relevant.)

Flat in the CO is by a presumably good HS-MTT reg, was overly LAG in some spots I thought though, was easily capable of floating (and given how many times he attempted it vs me, more than likely doing so). Therefore, I was less worried about his range in this spot wth the given the action.

The raise on the BTN came from a European guy who had been sitting down for about 30 minutes, he'd done some limping and looked a bit loose-passive, just generally fishy. What was interesting was that he snap raised to 3k OTF, practically as soon as the CO had flatted. (I almost wondered if he noticed the pot wasn't HU).

Anyway, I guess I have a tendency to go a little crazy with pair+FD's, but I assigned him a range of something like this (feel free to correct me!) 99, 88, 55, 33, A8, T8, T8, 98 87, 86, 76, 64 and all AcXc excluding A8/5/3cc + little air. Basically all sets, all nut flush draws, 99 and a lot more top pair combos than usual, given a very limited read that the villain is a weak player, also leading toward me believing that I didn't think there was a whole lot of air in his range. I also include 99 because I believe that the bottom of his pair 3b range pre is likely TT+ pre and that he would raise 99 OTF.

How do you guys proceed from here? Obviously I know that I'm 'never dead' with a pair + FD but I'm looking for some deeper analysis and some thoughts on what the optimal line from here is.

I ended up raising to something like 9875, overepping in the hope to show that I'm commited and avoid what's likely a hugely high variance flip in what was still a soft, live, MTT.

Dec. 28, 2012 | 6:59 p.m.

Agree that it's deep. I think we can discount Charder's call behind fairly often if we do call, I'm not sure how often TT-JJ is just being wacked in or 30bbs here, even by a fish. It can be AK fairly often I feel though.

Dec. 28, 2012 | 6:50 p.m.

loved the intro and your thoughts on the state of the game, looking forward to all your videos dude. also lol'ed at the comment on country tells, definitely stands as being true IMO.

Dec. 27, 2012 | 2:26 p.m.

Sounds like Obst has already defended himself to me. I think it's bad to have an open jamming range in a spot if you're not going to balance it. Maybe Sisley jams a wide range in his spot while Obst likely min-raises a a wider range than most because he would never open jam monsters there.

Dec. 25, 2012 | 6:42 a.m.

dan- not sure why'd we be unable to find a fold if our read is that his range is weighted toward pairs..

Benny - so you discount air entirely?

Dec. 25, 2012 | 6:28 a.m.

In a vacuum I really don't think either option is all that bad, Tom makes a good point though.

Dec. 25, 2012 | 6:24 a.m.

Jeff, I think this really comes down to how often you think the flatter is calling you... which is an in the moment assessment that you have to make for yourself. I think that the best way to approach this is by considering exactly which hands you can take out of his flatting range which would 3b you pre. I think the only hands which *should* be taking the line that you are afraid of are TT-JJ, and, maybe, AQ. As I said, it's very villain dependant, there's no way for us to be able to deduct if the said villain likes to flat AA here for example, without knowing them.

Dec. 25, 2012 | 6:22 a.m.

I doubt stoving his flatting range matters if his calling range is much, much tighter.

Dec. 25, 2012 | 6:18 a.m.

I like to continue betting, especially multiway, definitely betting smaller though. I don't think KK is a strong enough hand to C/R in this spot generally speaking, but more importantly we'll also be folding out a heap of Jx and other hands like 88-TT that might find ways to call down.

Dec. 23, 2012 | 8:57 a.m.

Got pointed out to me that the first link was to a different hand, just fixed it.

Dec. 23, 2012 | 8 a.m.

You need to include the preflop action.

Also, this sizing is far too large on the flop. You need to be giving them some rope here. Think something to the tune of 750-900 works better.

Dec. 23, 2012 | 7:23 a.m.

Really good analysis Ben, I have to admit I thought that my position made more of a case for breaking as well. I also never thought he'd be patting Kx/Qx in the spot. I think I would have broken any Jx, do you agree?

Dec. 23, 2012 | 5:35 a.m.

so you pat J6 & J5 Jason?

Dec. 23, 2012 | 5:31 a.m.

have been thinking about my betting range on the flop, it's kinda weird because I don't *think* that I'd bluff here MW given his cold flat. So I think I'd check back everything including AA/AK/AQ and flush draws. I think stacks are okay for me to check back my value hands and get them in by the river. I think that lets me be more balanced in this spot. On another note (not that they'd be part of my 3b range tooo often) but I think it would be a really interesting decision with 22/33. Not sure how I'd play them.

Dec. 23, 2012 | 5:30 a.m.


Hey guys, thought this was a real weird spot from the Bigger 55 last week.

I'm not used to good regs like pistons87 cold calling me, although I do feel his range *should* be more face-up when he does this. I immediately began attempting to construct a range pre of something like AA, KK, AQs, KQs (is this too nutted?) and, although I really doubt it, I guess he cooould potentially have some other suited connectors like JTs? I should note that I'm not sure about the last part and feel like I'm including it for the sake of widening his range. I'd be really doubtful of him doing this considering that he has shove stacks behind.

I'm also wondering how much you guys weigh the value of a blocker in this spot (I don't really value them in NLHE anywhere near like I would in PLO)

I should note that I was 3bing @ 10%....(only like 75 hands though w villain)

As played... I think that I'm close to the bottom of my value range OTF and given the range I assigned pistons87 pre, am likely behind at this point. I'm unsure if I should just always be betting like 1/3 pot in thse spots though in case I'm wrong or in the case he has like KK. Even then I'm unsure how often I'd have the best Ace vsing a call from crazy_zade.

OTT I think it's a fold, I'm doubtful pistons87 believes that both of us has air and I certainly don't believe that he is overbet jamming the river with air vs a likely top pair kind of holding by crazy_zade.

Am really interested to hear what you guys think about his range, and his play in general.

Dec. 22, 2012 | 7:17 a.m.

Hey guys,

http://weaktight.com/5326382 - Bigger 55 last Sunday, think with about 250 players left, already ITM. Obviously CHarder is opening fairly wide in the CO, but, this villain had been sitting in for 2 hands. This was his 3rd. SS stats: Count: 4751, Avg Stake: $41.69, Ability: 69.

Not going to lie, I feel like given how soft SharkScope rewards players on the 'Ability' stat (most slightly decent players seem to be above 90), that this stat probably had the most bearing on the decision that I made and let me open his range up considerably. (Is this bad?). Am I incorrect to turn those stats into an assumption that he is a bad reg given the 'Count'?

I'm still struggling to construct what I think a fair range is based on his play.... I don't like clicking fold here though.

Dec. 22, 2012 | 6:52 a.m.

Post | Didier Guerin posted in Chatter: Unable to post in IE
Hey guys, just thought I'd note that I'm only able to create posts on Firefox and not Internet Explorer, as you are unable to select which 'Stakes' sub-forum you are posting in, might be something to check out!

Dec. 21, 2012 | 7:55 p.m.

Hey guys, apologise for the lack of specificity in advance... live hands etc. (Also apologise if this is in the wrong forum)

So; about 10-15 players off the bubble in the $1.5k @ WSOP this year, I open jammed about 7bbs from UTG+3 with a J7 perfect (J-7-4-3-2) and it folds around to a patched-up/sponsored Italian 'pro' in the BB. He doesn't think for all that long and makes the call, patting reasonably fast, within 3 seconds.

Unsure what the optimal line is here, I think it shooould be relatively close between taking one card and patting behind. Obviously I'm always very live when I draw one but I'm looking for some level of analysis beyond that.
I've played a decent amount of 2-7sd cash but I've got little to no sample in MTT's.

Thanks guys!

Dec. 21, 2012 | 7:53 p.m.

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