doorbread

Do you think your turn size is best as an exploitative play @31:30?

@13:00 or so in the T8 hand leading is imo better, but once you check and remove sets from the btn's range, don't you think that your range crushes his so much that flat > c/r? The rivers that fish will chk should be few and far in between, (4card straights, maybe ace if he has two pair) and since reg will be getting such good price can stack a lot weaker resulting in you making $200 much more often if you think he will always fold to shove (which he potentially could.)

Also, is noone else concerned that he will b/f ak some of the time vs value shoving good rivers? Given our assumptions of his range and vice versa, ak may not have enough equity to call vs a reasonable range depending on how that range is distributed

Phil,

Do you think his impression of your pf range co vs btn is enough to change any of his possible turn plays vs any other regular in these games?

I think the turn should be a check, but I'm trying to convince myself that this is not results oriented

His flop peeling range should have a lot of 5's in it. Also not shoving hands with the nut flush on the flop would be pretty poor because of how we'll we're doing a range sans set combos, even so adding an appropriate amount which will further limit the hands he can semi-bluff the turn with.

Hello

Given what most people would assume in a game with presumably aggressive dynamics I think a 50-55% fold to c/r will play too poorly on the river if we begin to raise turn and the weakest portions of your flop c/r range will be an automatic and very profitable 3-barrel.