About the last hand vs Odd_Oddsen:
you need close to 43% equity, and it's probably gonna be close to EV=0 but from the plus section ;)
I feel like there is a chance he bets with not-pot sizing with a very strong hand from time to time, so I excluded AA+nutfd from his range. However even if its not true we still have 43% equity. Considering the OddsOracle range system (more raw equity hands like QQT7rainbow, less rundowns) it should be a few bucks worth of a shove :)
April 24, 2015 | 4:18 p.m.
I think being a member of a community can be tremendously helpful in the process of achieving ones goals, so I decided to start becoming a more active RiO member.
Few words about me, I play PLO, mainly 100/200 ZOOM, been playing for a long time (~5 years, LHE -> NLHE -> PLO ) and for a last 4 years it has been how I've been getting by. I have not achieved great success, highest i've been playing was midstakes NLHE and PLO, i've been busto one time after being 100BI below EV, right after I switched to PLO but managed to get back on my feet throu staking. I've been playing 100/200 ZOOM for the last 1 or 2 years, staying in pretty much the same place in the way of poker and personal finances overall.
Anyway, last month I lost large portion of my bankroll due to some bad decision making outside of poker. I've been pretty bummed up for a day or two, then decided maybe it's a blessing in disguise for I cannot be content with how I treated myself, finances, life itself in the last couple of years.
I've made some changes, I read a book called "The Slight Edge" by Jeff Olson which has been very helpful in the process of making adjustments in my thinking and acting outside and inside poker. I'm 6 months away of getting my masters degree, which pushes me to grow in poker, since I could be starting more "traditional" career instead.
My plan for april:
-> implement daily routines, in the spirit of this article ( http://www.artofmanliness.com/2015/03/25/you-are-not-a-zoo-animal-how-to-escape-human-captivity-and-reclaim-your-primal-health/ )
-> continue to play badminton and football (usually 1-3 times a week)
-> continue not drinking alcohol
-> test: eating more fruit shakes and more steamed food
-> put a set amount on a savings account (1st of every month)
-> save more throu not ordering food more than once a week (also improves my cooking skills) and not drinking alcohol (improves overall health as well)
-> get back to 200 ZOOM (3k profit will allow me to start playing 200 with a 10BI stop loss)
I know those are far from Joey 750 day twitch stream challenge caliber, but what I've learned is for me slow and steady progress works better than trying to achieve epic goals all at once.
Apart from this I intend to continue my daily habits:
-> 30 minutes of poker video (focusing on the tought process of author and writing down notes for later usage)
-> reading (any sort - right now it will be Eckhart Tolle "New Earth" and final part of Asian Saga by Clavell - "Whirlwind")
-> lesson in duolingo
-> create a plan for the next day
Those are pretty easy to do, but intentionally so, because I've found out that difficult daily tasks do not work for me, and easy tasks with each day help to get momentum going in my favor.
Allright, that will be all for now, its time to put myself to get those goals done. GL all in april :)
March 31, 2015 | 4:17 p.m.
Personally I prefer watching you comment on other peoples play. Often when you step down and play lets say 2,5/5 zoom the dynamic changes a lot, which does not happen when you review other regulars. Also other players make more mistakes and you should be able to spot them more often than mistakes you make in your own videos, so that's more +EV for viewers as well.
Great series, enjoyed it a lot!
How would you contruct bluffing range in spots like one above? Check/raise some Ad99, Ad8xx and we should be good or .. ? It seems like he if villain is cbetting high % (any OP, any fd) it could be a good spot to make his life a little bit harder.
Feb. 2, 2015 | 9:01 p.m.
You say this hand plays badly in a multiway pot, I must say I find it hard to understand why. Your straights have to be nut straights, your boats as well, 2nd nut flush. The argument about top2pair is semi-legitimate in my opinion, because only kind of boards we will have trouble on (with 2pair that is) are AK[Q-9], KQ[J-9] etc. What kind of hand would you rather have in spot like this? Middling rundowns get easily dominated, not to mention lower flushdraws, hands like Axxx with nut flush similar story (we have nutflush working for us thou).
With this hand we also have some value in hittting boards that are going to be generally perceived as better for our opponents (of course the more ppl are in the pot the less it matters). Could you explain in more details how you view range that we should call or fold here?
Enjoying the series so far, thanks! ;)
Jan. 31, 2015 | 6:13 a.m.
It seems you put much emphasize on playing vs nut flush, however aren't we missing too much value/protection by not raising here? Yaarny nut flush frequency should be lowered a little bit when he decides not to cbet, his delayed cbet might mean a lot of things, air/twopair or AA/any flush, given his turnbet sizing he might be tempted to call our raise wide (we also checked back flop so we have less nut flushes since strong K-high flushdraws we might have bet the flop with). We need not to be too much afraid of Flamarion since so far he showed no agression, which Yaarny should also realize that we realize ;) Downside of raising is of course we lose a little bit of value vs his air (when he decides to bluff river) and vs Flamarion calling hands.
Enjoyed video a lot! <3
Dec. 30, 2014 | 7:22 a.m.
Great vid Phil, enjoyed it a lot. Managed to find a tought-process leak, thanks to yours not-so-short explanations! :)
How much the quality of the villain affects your bluffing frequency here? It would seem that your value range for bet-check-bet line is K/J high flushes, Q5 and 55 (PLO200 fishreg assumptions). Given how narrow it is villain should find a bluffcatch with his SD value heavy range pretty easily.
Dec. 9, 2014 | 2:40 a.m.
If we assume villain's range arriving at the river is 50%6h:(A2+,65) then he will have a straight 67,5% of the time according to my sim in OO. So i guess if we want to make +EVcall we need him to have a wider range to bet/call turn and/or narrower value range (65 only).
March 13, 2014 | 1:41 p.m.
vs 33/24/8, assume standard reg
Should we have a raising range OTF in such situations or should we just call 100% of our continuing range? How about flop being AK2ss / A72r ?
I decided to call because I prefer to play more passive IP in such spots + my raise would look very strong + I expect villain to make a lot of mistakes OTT/OTR.
My range arriving OTT is straightdraws, Ax, flushes. How should I decide on my sizing ? If I bet big I don't think I will have enough bluffs in my range (due to flop calling range) to make villain decision at all difficult (or will I ?). Should I bet small with wider value range (~J+ flushes, any flush ??) so that my range is more balanced?
OTR I went for a polarizing bet to make my range 'nuts or air' so that villain can more often call with his bluffcatches (flushes/2pair/sets, I block A/8 thou).
//sry for using 'post' instead of 'hand history' but couldnt get hh to work
March 13, 2014 | 1:27 p.m.
wp, I agree with you entirely. I decided to barrel river because I felt like in his shoes I'd be folding AK, even with sets I'd call but figured i'm not making a lot of money. My range for betting is QT + bluffs, but because of the board texture it's very difficult for me to show up at river with air. If i want to have a bluffing frequency I guess I should use straight blockers to do it, instead of hands that block twopair.
Feb. 23, 2014 | 12:31 p.m.
I don't think we should be coldcalling wide given the positions, especially if the game is loose. I would not mind cold4betting given your reads, however would be better if BTN 3bet% was higher (10% is his total% not positional%, correct?). Good thing is we can get flops on which we can benefit greatly from our perceived range being AA-heavy, by check/calling or check/raising.
I don't play this high, so i might be off thou.
Feb. 21, 2014 | 8:01 a.m.
BB: $225.20 (Hero)
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO folds, BN raises to $4, SB folds, Hero raises to $13, BN calls $9
Feb. 21, 2014 | 7:26 a.m.
@10:33, you said that parafrasing 'when he bluffs he does not have a 5 so we are more likely to hold one'. So basically when thinking about bluffing you consider how often the villain can block made hands with his own bluffs, is this correct? The opposite case would be when we re-bluff repping nut flush into a villain who is bluffing with a naked ace?
It's a little confusing to me since what you said could apply to 99% of situations (when someone bluffs => not strong hand => more likely opponent has one).
Feb. 21, 2014 | 4:57 a.m.
I did a very simplified analysis and what comes out is a no-brainer call. Given how narrow is his river value betting range (boats which are almost non-existant due to his (preflop range, flop and turn action), nutflush (we block king of clubs, he is probably not value betting Q high flushes) and how much air is in his overall river range he has to bluff with his air more than ~10% in order for us to make a +EV river bluffcatch.
Feb. 11, 2014 | 7:17 p.m.
24:28, 9842ds on K92s, just a quick checkup, because you didn't mention anything about checking back this hand. Vs calling range our turn playability is decent, however what if this is top of our check-back range - we can continue on literally any turn (usually calling) with a bluffcatching hand in a small pot. If we do cbet flop we blow the pot up (just a little bit admittedly) with the same bluffcatcher, however the villain call cbet range is stronger, therefore our bluffcatching might generate little bit less EV (obv not taking into account other factors like villain frequencies). Do you consider this hand too good in terms of barreling opportunities to put it into check-backing range ?
Great video so far, one can really take out a lot when focuses on the way you think and not just dry information!
Jan. 28, 2014 | 2:18 a.m.
Less tables = less action = boring = let's go to sleep :D But as I said, it's a matter of personal preference.
Jan. 18, 2014 | 10:21 a.m.
It may be hectic sometimes but i still prefer it over 4-tabling, during which it is difficult for me personally to maintain high level of focus.