I don't like it without blocking the A. I much prefer to turn hands like A987ds into 4b bluffs, due to removal of the A and smooth rundowns. Not blocking the A, we not only run into a higher portion of AAxx, but also AK, AQ as well. Sure we're blocking those, but there are more combos of AK/AQ ds than AA that will continue. Then we stack off on board we think are good for our range, and get called down. You're also blocking the hands that your range wants him to call with, which you'll stack when you do have it.
Feb. 3, 2020 | 8:48 a.m.
Apologies, WPN HH are not supported by the site.
Feb. 3, 2020 | 8:44 a.m.
I have always been in admiration of Phil's level headedness. This challenge has only proved it to me. We all know that he has been semi out of the game for a few years, yet we all know he's still a crusher in some of the line ups available. Venividi holds the fort in a lot of the HS games online, so this result is somewhat expected. As somebody going through a downswing of sorts, it is comforting seeing a seasoned professional carry themselves far better than I would be able to.
I think if anything, there are many learning points focussed on mental game available not only to us, but to Phil. Once he is done with the Veni match, I think he'll be in a really strong position to make some good advancement on the other matches with his mindset.
Keep going Phil. We respect and appreciate what you're doing for the great game.
Jan. 31, 2020 | 2:23 p.m.
I think what nittyoldman was talking about ties in what I was talking to you offline about regarding relationships between stats. I think it is something understood very poorly by people below 500PLO. For instance, high/cbet and how it can be tied to the check/fold stat.
There's a couple of theory videos on RIO, but I think seeing some live exploits would be worth it.
Jan. 24, 2020 | 6:31 a.m.
Hi Richard, you mention opening AQ93ds CO, std open, agreed. You mention that the short BB inclines you to open even wider... Why?
Is it because the BTN/SB have to be aware of the shorty's squeezing size? I think this is something that I'm not doing properly.
Jan. 22, 2020 | 12:42 a.m.
Sorry guys, WPN HH, couldn't post the raw format here.
Villain is 36/16 over 552 hands. 67% bet vs missed cbet in 3bet pots OTT OOP. Turn Agg % 49, River 39.
I don't have too much history with villian, we haven't gotten too out of line against him. Our stats are 34/22/10.2, with a 16% 3bet SB vs BB.
We have a 66% cbet HU in 3bet pots.
Thoughts on river?
WPN $1/2 PLO
SB (V): 194.57
BB (H): 233.6
Hero is dealt: AAK7dddc
BTN folds, SB raise to $4, Hero 3bets to $16, SB calls.
($32) Flop: Jd Ts 7h
SB checks, Hero checks
($32) Turn: Jd Ts 7h Th
SB bets $23.58, Hero calls $23.58
($78.50) River: Jd Ts 7h Th Qc
SB bets $58.93, Hero?
May 18, 2019 | 2:02 p.m.
Had 2 (AQ22cc), I think the half pot bet is preferable. Do you not think that by sizing up OTR you're going to narrow his calling range too much? I feel that we're going to have far more A's up combos in our range holding the Ah, and as such, I don't see him having too much of a value range that can pay a larger bet size.
I think he's fairly capped to middling two pairs max, and med strength draws. As you were betting I said to myself I didn't think any more than $40 was warranted. I feel that even with that sizing we can pressure his range with our bluffs at a reasonable price.
April 19, 2019 | 12:05 p.m.
I most likely call, and continue calling on all dry board runouts. Villian will definitely barrel AA, AKxx on turns that don't hit him. You have to remember, run outs that get scary for your hand also probably get scary for his range too by the river.
July 4, 2014 | 2:34 a.m.
What do you think of C/R this board? I like to include a C/R range on boards that shouldn't hit me too hard. I think this is the perfect hand to do it with, we can make him put $$ in w/ added fold equity. The way we played it, I think when he continues we obviously have zero fold equity. If we can make him fold a 35-45% hand, I wouldn't be too sad.
July 4, 2014 | 2:28 a.m.
I'm probably leaning towards a fold. We've got a horrible draw, w/ a horrible made hand. And terrible visibility to go with it. Hitting a T can be uncomfortable, whilst improving our draw, but meaning we'll just get it in against a bunch of 78 combos. We have a guy, who you said when he flops big isn't prone to pumping $$ into the pot. Even if we call, we just get owned too much.
Nobody is folding pair+NFD here either, so we just set ourselves up for bad times.
July 4, 2014 | 2:24 a.m.
Do you really think he's C/R mid FD's OTT? it's kind of worst case scenario if he get's it in w/ a K/Q/Thi FD against a NFD, which would be a big part of our bet/calling range here.
I like betting, whether it be for value, or just to straight clean up our equity. I'd probably bump $300-330 -> 400.
July 4, 2014 | 2:22 a.m.
I definitely 4b these AA. I'm happy to play a bloated pot IP w/ AAK6ss.
As played, I probably take a free turn card. It's a board where I'm not going to get out of line here, I think we have enough hand's w/ equity/zero equity to valuebet/bluff here. I think this hand is middling, and I'm pretty happy to try to get to showdown.
I would check turn, w/ intention of bluffing rivers against aggression (hearts) and value raising board pairs.