Sorry guys, WPN HH, couldn't post the raw format here.
Villain is 36/16 over 552 hands. 67% bet vs missed cbet in 3bet pots OTT OOP. Turn Agg % 49, River 39.
I don't have too much history with villian, we haven't gotten too out of line against him. Our stats are 34/22/10.2, with a 16% 3bet SB vs BB.
We have a 66% cbet HU in 3bet pots.
Thoughts on river?
WPN $1/2 PLO
SB (V): 194.57
BB (H): 233.6
Hero is dealt: AAK7dddc
BTN folds, SB raise to $4, Hero 3bets to $16, SB calls.
($32) Flop: Jd Ts 7h
SB checks, Hero checks
($32) Turn: Jd Ts 7h Th
SB bets $23.58, Hero calls $23.58
($78.50) River: Jd Ts 7h Th Qc
SB bets $58.93, Hero?
May 18, 2019 | 2:02 p.m.
Had 2 (AQ22cc), I think the half pot bet is preferable. Do you not think that by sizing up OTR you're going to narrow his calling range too much? I feel that we're going to have far more A's up combos in our range holding the Ah, and as such, I don't see him having too much of a value range that can pay a larger bet size.
I think he's fairly capped to middling two pairs max, and med strength draws. As you were betting I said to myself I didn't think any more than $40 was warranted. I feel that even with that sizing we can pressure his range with our bluffs at a reasonable price.
April 19, 2019 | 12:05 p.m.
I most likely call, and continue calling on all dry board runouts. Villian will definitely barrel AA, AKxx on turns that don't hit him. You have to remember, run outs that get scary for your hand also probably get scary for his range too by the river.
July 4, 2014 | 2:34 a.m.
What do you think of C/R this board? I like to include a C/R range on boards that shouldn't hit me too hard. I think this is the perfect hand to do it with, we can make him put $$ in w/ added fold equity. The way we played it, I think when he continues we obviously have zero fold equity. If we can make him fold a 35-45% hand, I wouldn't be too sad.
July 4, 2014 | 2:28 a.m.
I'm probably leaning towards a fold. We've got a horrible draw, w/ a horrible made hand. And terrible visibility to go with it. Hitting a T can be uncomfortable, whilst improving our draw, but meaning we'll just get it in against a bunch of 78 combos. We have a guy, who you said when he flops big isn't prone to pumping $$ into the pot. Even if we call, we just get owned too much.
Nobody is folding pair+NFD here either, so we just set ourselves up for bad times.
July 4, 2014 | 2:24 a.m.
Do you really think he's C/R mid FD's OTT? it's kind of worst case scenario if he get's it in w/ a K/Q/Thi FD against a NFD, which would be a big part of our bet/calling range here.
I like betting, whether it be for value, or just to straight clean up our equity. I'd probably bump $300-330 -> 400.
July 4, 2014 | 2:22 a.m.
I definitely 4b these AA. I'm happy to play a bloated pot IP w/ AAK6ss.
As played, I probably take a free turn card. It's a board where I'm not going to get out of line here, I think we have enough hand's w/ equity/zero equity to valuebet/bluff here. I think this hand is middling, and I'm pretty happy to try to get to showdown.
I would check turn, w/ intention of bluffing rivers against aggression (hearts) and value raising board pairs.
July 4, 2014 | 2:16 a.m.
I'm letting it go. Even if nobody has AA, an AKBB hand has us in bad shape, alongside any KK. Even JJTT seems bad for us. I probably let it go, but if you think you have an edge if you win the hand and you're deep, it's always good for a chance to get deep.
July 3, 2014 | 7:16 a.m.
Hey guys, not so much a strat post, but I guess a tech theory post?
I've got a pretty detailed HUD, however, I feel that the plethora of stats that I like to have popped up could be better used. I'll post my current HUD layout, you can post yours, and we can discuss the pro's and con's of each others I guess.
My biggest peeve is that my HUD takes up so much space, from memory, I think it's about 4-5 lines. When playing multiple tables, you can imagine just how much table room this takes up.
My current PLO HUD:
Name / #Hands
VPIP / PFR / 3bet
VPIP by pos - EP / MP / CO STL / BTN STL
Flop Cbet / Turn Cbet / River Cbet / Flop Fold 2 Cb / Turn Fold 2 Cb / River Fold to Cb
BB Fold 2 BTN STL / BB Fold v SB STL / BTN 3b / TOT 4b
July 3, 2014 | 6:47 a.m.
Villian is a 25/21 w\ 18.4% 3b over 525 hands (probably wasn't this big at the time of hand, was probably 50 hands or so beforehand).
PF is satandard, we've got a 25/19 and 13/9 behind us, so we're going to isolate the limper a high % of the time. Maybe have the blinds come along, which isn't too bad, we've got a decent MW hand + position.
June 22, 2014 | 6:06 p.m.
Man, when you timed out with the Nutflush against the raise it was such a sweat. I was like "NOOOOO!". UL man, for future videos I dont think we'd mind too much if you're breaking tables to get more timebank if it gives you more time to explain.