2x Over bets at 25nl are usually the nuts.
Regs at this stakes underbluff these spots massively so I don't mind exploitively folding
April 13, 2017 | 10:02 p.m.
I don't like flop raise because you don't have enough value hands on this flop to balance all your semi bluffs. For value you only have 66, 55 and maybe 56s.
I prefer to flat my whole continuing range on this flop.
On turn you have 75% psb left how can you bet and get raised??
I like turn give up tbh. The 6 is terrible card as it reduces combos of 66 and 56 that you can have making you very bluff heavy and I think he will station a lot. Just c/b and hope to bink on river.
If you have asome Axhh Axdd in your flop raising range then river is fine imo
Feb. 8, 2017 | 9:23 a.m.
You are oop vs both villains so they can call wider vs your squeeze. This small size allows them to continue with a large % of their opening range profitably vs you. So I like a larger squeeze size here. 1.50+
As played I guess villain can have some offsuit Ad hands like AK and AQ which could take this line.
However we don't block the Qd which would block a lot of villains flush combos.... QT AQ KQ.
I call because multiway I think it's fairly likely villain will slow play the NF on this board making his jam more draw heavy
Feb. 5, 2017 | 9:05 p.m.
Seems fine to me. We block kk and qq and although we don't expect him to take this line with flushes, having the Qd means he doesn't have it and can't use it as a reason to bluff catch (as a blocker).
Might like a bigger size of river. Closer to psb to make it tougher for him to call with 1 pair type hands
Feb. 2, 2017 | 12:51 a.m.
Playing poker is certainly classed as gambling whether we like it or not . Although we are using our skill edge to make profitable decisions at the table we are also at the mercy of luck/varience, especially in the short term and even more especially playing live poker as our volume is so low.
Playing with poor bankroll management can send even the best players broke.
It is never a good idea to borrow money to play. It's hard to play A game when you are losing money you don't have.
Better off buy in shorter or drop stakes until you build a roll big enough to withstand varience
Jan. 30, 2017 | 5:25 p.m.
4bet is good and standard btn vs sb vs bb.
We cant make assumptions about sb 3b % of just a 35 hand sample. It's way too small.
Turn is a weird line from villain. He shouldn't really hit this flop hard with his 4b calling range oop so I call and hope to see a bluff
Jan. 24, 2017 | 5:09 p.m.
Turn check is good imo as you aren't strong enough for 3 street vs his range.
On river you block bluffs like AK and KQs.
Also not having the Ks means he can have more possible flush combos.
Population at these stakes tend to underbluff these spots and he never bets worse for value so I like the fold
Jan. 24, 2017 | 5:04 p.m.
I started a thread here a few months ago about limping sb and it was found to be the general consensus that limping the sb at micros wa's a lower eV strategy than open raising mainly because :
-People at micros underdefend blinds.
-Rake is too high when we see a flop.
Jan. 20, 2017 | 9:16 p.m.
I agree with calling pre vs 4betting.
I know 58 hands is very limited sample but villain appears to be super nitty indicating his 4b calling range is super tight. I would say AK+ QQ+. If he is a bit looser you could add JJ and AQs but I doubt it.
This range has strong eq on this flop and I can see is ever getting the money in ahead.
I like the x on flop for pot control. Turn is fine after flop xb.
River is too thin though imo. When we have to A of spades we don't expect him to have any flushes but he is also never folding a chop or better and he doesn't really have any worse hands to call unless he has AQ or JJ which is very unlikely.
Fwiw vs 25/19 river jam is fine
Jan. 20, 2017 | 11:47 a.m.
These river min raises at these stakes usually are always nutted hands. He has played it like a flopped set and that is usually what he will have so I like a fold.
I like a slightly smaller size on river (1/2 pot or so) as we don't want to let him get away from 99-QQ by pricing him out
Jan. 20, 2017 | 10:57 a.m.
Great turnaround congrats :D
Jan. 19, 2017 | 4:12 p.m.
Vs such a huge jam on river I would never call with less than flush unless I had read he was massive bluffing whale
Jan. 18, 2017 | 9:30 p.m.
Yup agree with poker logical!!
If you are review your stats I'd say you will find you are over folding and unbluffing in most spots and probably too tight from every position.
Having said that you are a winning player so it can't be that bad
Jan. 18, 2017 | 8:31 p.m.
Ya I like another bet on turn as the board is pretty wet and we don't want to give him a free card with a straight or flush draw.
He shouldn't have many Kx hands when he calls flop oop unless it's Kxhh so you can bet turn safely for value.
I call river as played as he can have 67s 56s type hands and missed hearts flush draw. You are getting 3:1 so you only need to win <25% of time to profit.
Fwiw it's better if you hide results as we are not influenced by results and can post unbiased thoughts
Jan. 18, 2017 | 8:24 p.m.
I agree that we have good hand for 2 streets of value but I rather fire the second barrel on the river than the turn because:
-A bet check bet line looks weaker imo and is more likely to be looked up with JJ, QQ
-we don't expect villain to play any flush draws like this so his bluffcatchers only have 1-3 outs to win on river which is fine to let them realise.
-We will make it to showdown vs a larger part of his range: if we bet turn he will raise bluffs (if he has any ) and raise monster's and call with bluffcatchers. If we are always folding KQ to raise we only get to river vs bluffcatchers.
If we x/b turn , he will bet most monsters and bluffs on river and x/c bluffcatchers.
Jan. 18, 2017 | 8:11 p.m.
When villain doesn't cbet flop imo his range is split between:
(A) marginal hands weaker than TPTK that want to pot control and are not strong enough to cbet 4way.
(B) Monster hands like sets that are trapping or trying to X/R and get the money in.
(C) Give ups that bricked the flop and are check folding 4 way.
*note a 17/14 nit will rarely have 2 pair or a straight draw on this flop. The K of spades on the board hugely reduces the amount of flush draws he should have.
Flop cbet is good as we get value from A, fold out C. However since the 2 other players fold villain might now decide to slow play his monster as c/r looks very strong and he only has 1 player to worry about drawing out on him instead of 3.
I like your 1/2 bet size as we want to get called by as much of range A as possible.
This turn shouldnt change anything. Villain is repping very strong and unless he is turning marginal hand's from range A into a bluff (which would be strange) then he doesn't have enough bluffs for us to do anything but fold.
So clear fold imo.
However I think the mistake in this hand is the turn bet. The only worse hand I can see us getting 3 streets of value is maybe KJs ( as he won't have any other kings in his preflop range). So by betting turn we are folding out most worse hands and only getting action from the slow played monsters. If we xb we are more likely to get value from range A on river and we lose less to his monsters
Jan. 18, 2017 | 5:55 p.m.
Looks okay to me. I don't see a whole lot of bluffs in his range besides 67 and a few gut shots. He isn't raising river with worse imo so your hand is a bluff catcher.
He can have a lot of flushes because of your small cbet size and because population underbluffs these spots I think fold is good