konrad's avatar


14 points

At first I couldn't imagine Andy's 3x with Q5s (20:00) being profitable but after playing around with HRC, it seems to do well (of course only because such a large open will force players behind into jam/fold mode, and their rejam ranges will be tighter than vs, say, a 2.5x open). Indeed, it seems that a 3x with ATC is profitable when players to act rejam only 8.6% each (66+, AJo+, KJs+, QJs), except for the BB, who will shove 12.5%. In this case, Q5s nets .19BB. I realize this is is not an accurate model of how the spot plays IRL (you will get flatted sometimes and rejam ranges might be wider), but your point about manipulating the rejam ranges of the players behind with a different raise size is interesting and worth studying (at least for me). Seems like something you can only do once in a while though ;)

May 13, 2015 | 10:46 p.m.

Hi Dylan,

About the J9s vs the rejam at around 7 min. Now, because of his perceived lack of fold equity, I doubt that villain is jamming as wide as HRC suggests he should, but assuming that he is, I'm not so sure you can afford to pass up the expected .73 BB of a call.  Im dont think I agree with the argument about passing up on this EV because of the way losing would effect the utility of your stack. After all,  this is a turbo and I think edges come from taking these "small" EV spots, and you'd still be left with 60k if you call and lose, i.e. more than villain had to start the hand, and therefore, you'd still have decent FE on future rejams.  This is my intuition, and its likely wrong, but Id be curious to hear what you and others think.

April 29, 2014 | 12:50 a.m.

Yeah those are nash calling ranges, way wider than the blinds' actual in game ranges, eg. it has sb calling q9o and j10s with a big stack in the bb. Most players fold 98s and k4o in bb to that shove too. With realistic calling ranges, Id estimate the j8o shove nets at least a small blind.

April 14, 2014 | 4:02 a.m.

Christian, if you happen to have a copy of "Mathematics of Poker", take a look at pages 323-327 for a discussion on what edges we can pass up in tournaments based on an assumed edge.  It doesn't address your question directly but its definitely relevant and enlightening, at least it was for me.

April 5, 2014 | 1:30 a.m.

Hi Stephen, great video as usual. I don't quite understand why you add 3k to pots when a player is AI in the superKO.  My reasoning in such spots has always been the following: (1) at the start of the tournament, I buy in for 300 and get 3000; (2) 3000 chips is worth 300 dollars, at least early on; (3) the bounty is 150; (4) therefore I need to add to add half the starting stack (1500) to the pot when a player is AI. 

Can you please tell me where I'm going wrong? Thanks!

April 5, 2014 | 1:26 a.m.

Its fine.

Dec. 3, 2013 | 12:38 a.m.

you have a soothing voice.

Oct. 28, 2013 | 3:12 a.m.

Suppose I'm in the BB with 10BB, and it folds around to the SB who has me covered and jams.  How much of an EV difference do I need to justify calling?  Is 1 SB edge enough?  What if the stacks are 15BB effective?

Also,  is it true the SB can shove a range with a smaller EV difference than the edge that the BB needs to call?  I'm assuming this must be the case because the BB will always have to win at showdown whereas the BB does not. 

Aug. 20, 2013 | 1:14 p.m.

hi, im just curious why you decide to 4b/fold Zwacke in the 500 2 minutes into the video. your hud has him at 14/10 over 50 hands. I'm not criticizing, just curious about your thought process. thanks.

March 26, 2013 | 2:56 a.m.

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