If a new player would be starting out. Would you advice them to play PLO or NLH? Why?
Jan. 23, 2021 | 8:40 p.m.
Looking forward to reading about a journey from a pro!
Jan. 22, 2021 | 6:52 a.m.
I have added you.
Jan. 21, 2021 | 1:56 p.m.
Theoretically villain should be getting to the turn relatively capped given he should be check raising a lot against my small sizing and I'm obviously still uncapped.
This stops applying if the turn is a card that uncaps your opponents range though.
9 connects well with the 8, giving decent 2 pair. Most of all, it completes 76, making it a straight.
If you still go for overbets on this turn you'd want to use cards that block that range as your bluffs. 87s, 86s, 56s, A7, etc...
Assuming your opponent raises 67 a bunch isn't going to suddenly make your line correct if you want to look at it from a theoretical standpoint.
Would have an overbet range. Not including this hand.
Jan. 21, 2021 | 8:59 a.m.
I haven't watched FTGU in a while. I did study a lot about cbetting though. There's a difference between OOP, IP, Single raised pots, 3bet pots.
If I recall correctly then Peter was talking about cbets IP. Even there the logic he presents doesn't fully apply.
In single raised pots IP: Cbetting is based around the amount of "marginal hands" that have incentive to bet. If you look at BTN vs BB on A84r and AK4r you'll notice the difference.
In single raised pots OOP: You rarely want to cbet at a high frequency. Only K high flops apply. Range cbetting OOP is suicidal, don't do it.
3bet pots are a totally different beast. Similar rule for OOP applies though. Range cbets aren't a thing.
Jan. 21, 2021 | 7:28 a.m.
For this to be a bluff he would have to fold enough better hands. JJ-99 and some Qx come to mind. Not sure he even folds a lot of Qx. Still seems fine to use as a bluff. Although our showdown might be non 0. Meaning it has some showdown EV.
Turn could be a bluff as well. Going for multiple street bluff.
Jan. 20, 2021 | 12:13 p.m.
Online poker is legal. Poker in general is only allowed in the 7 casino's in Belgium. One exception is venues that got a license. They can only organise tournaments with a maximum buyin of 20€, that's the max you're allowed to lose in an evening outside of a casino.
Any pokersite that wants to operate in Belgium has to be tied to a casino in Belgium. So we have Pokerstars and PartyPoker.
As an employee of the police force we are forbidden to gamble. Blacklisted as you want. When I first started this job this rule only applied to the actual police officers, not the administrative workers. This changed a few years back in March. Deontological code forbids it. We also can't publicly show any political affiliation for example. Got to remain neutral.
Jan. 20, 2021 | 10:38 a.m.
I come to you today with bad news.
Earlier this week I was called into the office of internal affairs. Not a huge deal as it's one person and I tend to work with him on other stuff as well. This time he asked me if I was gambling. I got a slap on the wrist, so nothing serious yet.
At the moment of writing this I can still log into my Pokerstars account. I have secured my funds, they have been transferred to my bank account. So it doesn't seem to be that I'm banned (yet). I don't feel comfortable keeping a few thousand online right now though, with a decent potential of losing that.
So my journey has come to an abrupt end, an end that came too soon. What does the future hold?
I'll still be studying, probably more now than before as I won't play online for a bit. Preparing for when I can play again. It is possible that I eventually do switch jobs which will allow me to play again. I'll share my work with you guys as I have done in the past. Not sure if I'll do it in this thread or make a new one.
Current study will be OOP cbet in 3bet pots. Looking at sizings and frequency on different types of flops. Trying to find good heuristics. BB vs BTN and SB vs BTN are the two I will look into. The database solves have been made, need to create the aggregated reports now and look into them. I will probably go over them on Peter Clarke's stream as well. Might be educational, who knows. People seemed to like the two cashgame streams I did on there.
Good luck at the tables guys! It's a bit safer out there right now with me gone ;).
Jan. 20, 2021 | 8:13 a.m.
opponent would then therefore need to win atleast 33.3% to break even so id want my bluff to value range contain 66% bluffs and 33% value bets.
If you have 66% bluffs then your opponent is winning 66% off the time. You'd want 33% bluffs.
The formula would be betsize/(pot+betsize+betsize). I suggest learning some breakpoints by heart
50% potsize bet: 25% bluffs
75% potsize bet: 30% bluffs
100% potsize bet: 33.33% bluffs
150% potsize bet: 37.5% bluffs
Any sizing in between those you can estimate while playing. Knowing these 4 will give you a good feel for it. It also helps to decide if your opponent is bluffing enough or not in specific spots.
Do keep in mind that this does not keep in mind future play. If these betsizes are done with more action possible (such as on the flop) then the frequencies are not so easy to calculate.
Jan. 17, 2021 | 2:53 p.m.
Good promotions. If you offer decent deals with rakeback and such it will bring people to your poker room.
Solid software. This is an issue for lots of other decent sites. Bad network, terrible software, etc... .
Activity. A bit harder for a site that is starting out. Having tables running during hours a player wants to play is crucial.
Jan. 15, 2021 | 1:59 p.m.
Ooooh, looking forward to this one. Always enjoyed his videos!
Jan. 15, 2021 | 1:57 p.m.
4:05 Marle: "Easy value bet, I think I do want to... go on the big side to protect my bluffs"
I have never heard such a statement. This does not seem like a thing.
29:30 Peter: Nice talk about adjustment when we notice them having a coldcall range. Allowing more flats. Def something I should look into.
Is this because our middling hands are less dominated/beating bluffs?
30:30 Cosmos: Deciding on the turn that you'll double barrel a hand. Isn't this quite river dependant?
Jan. 15, 2021 | 10:53 a.m.
It isn't, by far.
While coolers will jump out in your graph, you play a lot more small pots that have significant gains over the long run.
In single raised pots it's normal that only strong hands get shown when all the money goes in. That's how SPR works. This isn't true for 3bet pots. In ring games those 3bets will be tighter ranges. Which will increase the effect of seeing strong hands.
Fight for small pots more often, just do it!
Jan. 15, 2021 | 9:49 a.m.
It is best to realize which strategy is best for each type of flop. And then simplify to using a single betsize combined with a checking range.
Some boards you'll be able to bet small with your entire range.
Some boards you'll want to bet big and have a decent checking range.
Some boards will be small and checking range.
Study partner and I have found that simplifying to a single betsize (and check) on flop isn't a huge loss in Expected Value. Still relevant to know when to bet big and when to bet small.
Good luck at the tables!
Jan. 15, 2021 | 8:15 a.m.
I occasionally encounter people raising my turn overbet probes when I'm oop, I was wondering how to react to such plays or at least study these spots.
Depends on the runout you are doing this on. Sometimes there are no slowplays from IP and the turn is a blank. In those cases I call and basicly ask "What you doing over there?". If it's a board he does slowplay or a turn that does connect with decent amount of his hands I proceed with caution.
In general I don't probe bet with overbets often.
The same goes for people 3betting checkraises on flops that favor me as BB.
They cbet merged, you raise merged, they get to have a 3bet range. It's normal. Proceed by playing your hand the way you want. This isn't unique.
Jan. 15, 2021 | 8:11 a.m.
His Stars streaming contract ended. So he started streaming on his own again, after 3 years or so.
Have you had coaching from him? Seems like youve been making good progress.
I had 5 lessons. I mainly attribute my progress through lots of studying though.
Jan. 12, 2021 | 7:20 p.m.
Decent amount of things going on here.
Actually, in the Grinder's Manual he himself lines out that one crucial factor for bluff candidates in polarized raising ranges needs to be that they can easily fold to a 3-bet without having much equity denied.
This is commonly true with bluff selection. The aggression/fold line is something we don't like doing with hands with good equity. Let's say SB 3bets BTN and we call. Flop comes Jd7h2h, bet, call. Turn is 3s. SB checks. On the BTN we rather bet with KhQs over Th9h. Because when we bet and get jammed on we hate folding Th9h's equity. While not minding the fold with KhQs.
This only occurs when we actually get into the aggression/fold node often enough. There are 2 clear examples when this isn't the case:
- Stack to Pot ratio is still high: SPR is high enough that even when we get raised we can continue. The fold part is never reached as it is now another action. This is common on the first street of aggression postflop in a single raised pot.
- There is no(or very low) raise % from opponent: When we raise polarized and opponent is more of a bluffcatcher range then they will not have a raising range (in most cases). Here the fold section isn't reached because we aren't being put in that node often. Common on boards where polarized range has decent nut advantage.
There is another reason possible. If you are so polarized that it's either the nuts or air. In those cases you want to bluff with nut blockers.
I suggest looking at BTN's response to a polarized raise and see which one is applicable.
Jan. 12, 2021 | 8:10 a.m.
Flush completing turns in a 3bet pot OOP aren't good for you. You should be checking very often.
I would check jam this combination. Keep overbet jams, if you want them, for flushes/flush blockers. Or at least stronger straights.