perspective

We were down to final 6 tables from 7000 players who started in Stars' 215$. Next payout was 2.4k, then like 4k at 15 left, 10k at 9 left, and 210k up top.

With 15 BBs I got dealt AQo UTG
I opened 2.2x
Everyone folds, SB jams a 25bb stack, BB folds

I'm getting a price of 13 BB to win 19 BB so I need 40.6% equity on avg to break even from a chip EV perspective. Without reads or history, what do we expect most ranges to be in this spot deep in a tournament like this? How much equity does AQo have against the different plausible ranges?

But there are obviously more important tournament aspects to consider; such as the overall macro strategy/ICM/cyclical waves of aggression/passiveness. What are general views? Some guys seem to love to jam over shorter stacks preflop and take any flip whereas others seem to want to wait for QQ+ even if it means folding down to as little as 5-8 BB.

If it's late position there's a different dynamic; but from my experience, the SB almost always has QQ+ here when I'm UTG. Is this a shared perspective?

I hate calling off because I think he has me crushed with a monster, but at the same time, is my next opportunity going to be any better? I have the blinds next, so in 3 hands I'll have 11.5BBs, and then when the blinds go up in 5 minutes I have like 8BBs effectively... the payout isn't too much higher from 50th place to 15th place, and there's no way I can survive until then without doubling up at least a couple times.

Can I ever fold?