rizzer10

Round 2:

EV Bet: (1/2)p + (1/2 * (4/6 2p + 2/6 * -p)) = p

EV Check: (2/6)*0.5 = 0.165
(It makes sense that our weaker checking range would make less than in Round 1)

EV Total: (1/2)p + (1/2)(0.65) = 0.5825

Round 3:

EV Bet: (1/2)p + 1/2(4/102p+6/10-p) = 0.6

EV Check: 0

EV Total: (10/12)0.6 + (2/12)0 = 0.5

Ah great thanks, I was surprised you gave it no thought at the time. I play HU sng's and was wondering was there something if I was missing something in tourneys.

Hi Nuno,

At 13 min, with the 56 on the 6Q9108 board.

Why not check raise vs an obviously capped range after his turn check?

1. Fold
2. Fold, there's no draw on the turn.except for the fd. If btn overcalls he likely has the ace fd, so then what can the mp have? Medium pairs like 88 and 66 are in his range.
3. I am going to stop raising ako from the blinds vs limps. It gives away my hand and im oop with a high spr. Instead I can limp it and cover high boards while repping low boards.
   As played I prefer a medium bet on the river to get called by medium flushes, an overbet is too value heavy on a flush board here imo. A smaller blocker bet with 3rd and 4th nut flushes and lower.

So sb vs co and btn you're 3 betting all suited aces, as opposed to just the straightening ones?

Please add me Ryan +3530838171056

And you would still bet full pot on flop and turn?

Hi Robin,

I think our bet on 567 in the last hand should be bigger, or if we are doing a high frequency c bet on the flop, we should size up on the turn.

I was thinking as the hand played out, when he calls the flop and you say alarm bells this is not the case.

We bet so small that he has to defend a high percentage of his range. This means that we will of course have to two barrel to fold out his over pairs that called flop.

Around 26min,

You 3 barrel for pot size bets vs a fish on 8910.

Would you use a slightly less transparent sizing vs regs? Such as:
75%, 75%, 100%
75%, 150%, 150%

Hi Dekkers,

At 19min you fold QJ btn vs Co.

Would you ever 3 bet here?

At 31min on Q810A7, where you block the river.

Does his quick turn check make you think he won't stab river with his misses?

Is our block more for protection? It's hard to see hands that call that we beat IMO. I think he's pretty polar here.

Hi Ben,

At 15:50, if he checked to us on Q78 in the 3 bet, what would our bet size be with AQ?

40%?

Hi Zach,

So if his value to bluffs is say 3 to 1. What does that mean for our calling range? 25%?

Ah very good Laurens thanks.

At 27min, flatting 33 in the CO.

Are we not really vulnerable to a 3 bet here?

Will we call a 3 bet from the button and blinds respectively?

Hi Grayson,

At 26min, you fold AJ to a check raise on 10610.

What hands would you continue here? QJ, KQ type hands and pairs?

Ah right cool. That's interesting to note thanks.

Ok I see.

Hi Nuno,

With the 84s fold at 35 min on K10810.

I think this looks at least closer than you made it seem no?

I mean does Pio not think it's a call?

Hi Nuno,

At 5 min with A10s, why don't we bet the turn after villain gives up the lead in the 3 bet pot?

We can rep (and block) J10, and we have a flush draw. We also don't fear a check raise.

It seems like a good spot to two barrel.

Hi Nuno,

At 29 min where he 3 bets pre.

You say his 33% c bet on 343 is too small because you can defend against it easily.

However, given his range rates to be stronger than yours pre, and he has the lead, this seems like a standard high frequency c bet on a flop that likely misses both ranges.

It seems like standard play on his part to me.

Hi Laurens,

At 27 mins you say you're not worried about getting bluffed by an Ace of clubs because it will have to be without another club to be a bluff, which is unlikely.

It seems like you could say this about every bluff with a nut flush blocker.

Is it because he raised pre flop that you think it's unlikely to be without another club?

True but a bet check bet line is easier for our villain to call than a triple barrel.
After check raising the flop, we can expect him to check behind the turn a good bit anyway.
So this way, in villain's view, our bluffs are cheaper with this line, and he might be more inclined to call?

So you like a bet on the turn with QQ?

Hi Chris,

At 36 min we block on the Ace turn with QQ.

He'll continue all Ax, and fold out pairs we beat.

Does it really benefit our hand to block here?

Quote of the day:

'I think your hands just too strong to call the river'

Hi Viktor,

With the quad eight's at 28min...

Do you not think the turn plays better as a check? A barrel is very strong looking.

Maybe if we are bluffing we can bet turn.

And when we have value we can exploitively go for two streets, by checking turn and betting river.

I just feel like a barrel here is too much, if he has JJ he might bet it if we check, we block an 8 for him to call with, all of his other hands pretty much have to fold.

I can't get that on a mac.

Thanks anyway.